TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111655
Played Sep 11Finished
Viktor Slozka
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119811117911118
Yaroslav Vorsuliak
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:43 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeViktor Slozka to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Slozka above · Yaroslav Vorsuliak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 96 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Viktor Slozka at 60.9%
96 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Slozka 31–15 Yaroslav Vorsuliak Yaroslav Vorsuliak has won 15 of their 46 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:43What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Slozka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-15 in 46
Slozka
Correct
gap of 16 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slozka 1683 vs Vorsuliak 1616
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slozka 60% vs Vorsuliak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slozka 60% vs Vorsuliak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Slozka +1 · Vorsuliak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Slozka) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorsuliak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlozka 1.61 / Vorsuliak 2.20
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Slozka)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13111655
Slozka1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 95 of 172
Up 2–0, closes it90% 47 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it71% 64 of 90
Vorsuliak2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 106 of 245
Down 0–1, comes back23% 29 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlozka6wins
AwayVorsuliak4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSlozka leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlozka85.7%6 of 7
AwayVorsuliak100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slozka7Vorsuliak3n = 10Slozka took 7 of 10
S2Slozka5Vorsuliak5n = 10split evenly
S3Slozka7Vorsuliak3n = 10Slozka took 7 of 10
S4Slozka1Vorsuliak4n = 5Vorsuliak took 4 of 5
S5Slozka2Vorsuliak1n = 3Slozka took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlozkaVorsuliakS − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.733.5+4.2per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlozkaVorsuliakBasisWin rate · lifetime384 / 843 vs 449 / 89345.6%50.3%384 / 843 vs 449 / 893Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaSlozka 1.61/Vorsuliak 2.20
Hit
What we said
59.7%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 06:35V. Slozka—118119113Y. Vorsuliak—91171182
LSep 10 · 19:05V. Slozka—115111182Y. Vorsuliak—611413113
LSep 10 · 03:00V. Slozka—811751Y. Vorsuliak—11111113
WSep 4 · 06:35V. Slozka—15111011113Y. Vorsuliak—131312392
WSep 3 · 01:30V. Slozka—1111123Y. Vorsuliak—46100
WAug 28 · 08:05V. Slozka—1112113Y. Vorsuliak—61030
WAug 27 · 19:05V. Slozka—1111133Y. Vorsuliak—58110
LAug 27 · 03:00V. Slozka—971191Y. Vorsuliak—11117113
LJul 31 · 08:05V. Slozka—4850Y. Vorsuliak—1111113
WJul 30 · 19:05V. Slozka—1111143Y. Vorsuliak—39120
V. Slozka10
LSep 11 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.67111178113V. Slozka2.1087111162WSep 11 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.5041280V. Slozka1.501114113LSep 10 · 19:05V. Slozka1.57115111182Y. Vorsuliak2.25611413113LSep 10 · 17:05M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.006970WSep 10 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.6761291162V. Slozka2.101110119113WSep 10 · 14:05V. Slozka1.8361112113V. Krokhmal1.831171031WSep 10 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi2.5015961192V. Slozka1.501311119113LSep 10 · 03:00Y. Vorsuliak2.5011111113V. Slozka1.50811751WSep 10 · 01:30V. Slozka1.911111113V. Krokhmal1.804680WSep 9 · 23:30D. Shchegelskyi2.63131110052V. Slozka1.441181211113
Y. Vorsuliak10
WSep 11 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.447590Y. Vorsuliak2.631111113WSep 10 · 19:05V. Slozka1.57115111182Y. Vorsuliak2.25611413113LSep 10 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak1.83111151272V. Krokhmal1.831391110113WSep 10 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.2010111081Y. Vorsuliak1.6112912113LSep 10 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.4411113113Y. Vorsuliak2.63751171LSep 10 · 12:35M. Loboda1.4411138113Y. Vorsuliak2.636111161WSep 10 · 03:00Y. Vorsuliak2.5011111113V. Slozka1.50811751LSep 10 · 01:00M. Loboda1.441181112123Y. Vorsuliak2.63811814102LSep 9 · 23:00I. Hrekh1.4471111143Y. Vorsuliak2.631151121WSep 9 · 22:00Y. Vorsuliak1.911111812113V. Krokhmal1.80213111082
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