TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13110967
Played Sep 11Finished
Iurii Hrekh
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711511911––––
Yaroslav Vorsuliak
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:55 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeIurii Hrekh to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIurii Hrekh above · Yaroslav Vorsuliak below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 54 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Iurii Hrekh at 65.7%
54 points played in total.
H2H Iurii Hrekh 22–12 Yaroslav Vorsuliak Yaroslav Vorsuliak has won 12 of their 34 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 15h before this match
Hrekh beat Vorsuliak 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:55What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hrekh
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-12 in 34
Hrekh
Wrong
gap of 10 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrekh 1739 vs Vorsuliak 1592
Hrekh
Wrong
both rated, 146 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrekh 60% vs Vorsuliak 40%
Hrekh
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrekh 80% vs Vorsuliak 40%
Hrekh
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrekh -1 · Vorsuliak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Hrekh)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrekh 1.44 / Vorsuliak 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Hrekh)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13110967
Hrekh1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 174 of 304
Up 2–0, closes it96% 101 of 105
Up 1–0, closes it78% 136 of 174
Vorsuliak2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 105 of 242
Down 0–1, comes back22% 28 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrekh7wins
AwayVorsuliak3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHrekh leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrekh75%6 of 8
AwayVorsuliakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrekh8Vorsuliak2n = 10Hrekh took 8 of 10
S2Hrekh6Vorsuliak4n = 10Hrekh took 6 of 10
S3Hrekh5Vorsuliak5n = 10split evenly
S4Hrekh5Vorsuliak2n = 7Hrekh took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrekhVorsuliakH − VBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match35.531.5+4.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrekhVorsuliakBasisWin rate · lifetime272 / 522 vs 452 / 89652.1%50.5%272 / 522 vs 452 / 896Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrekhHrekh 1.44/Vorsuliak 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Hrekh · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vorsuliak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 13:35I. Hrekh—11113113Y. Vorsuliak—751171
WSep 9 · 23:00I. Hrekh—71111143Y. Vorsuliak—1151121
WSep 6 · 13:35I. Hrekh—1111113Y. Vorsuliak—8480
LSep 4 · 07:35I. Hrekh—114131072Y. Vorsuliak—7111112113
LSep 3 · 12:05I. Hrekh—118551Y. Vorsuliak—61111113
WSep 2 · 20:00I. Hrekh—13119113Y. Vorsuliak—1161171
LAug 28 · 06:05I. Hrekh—5560Y. Vorsuliak—1111113
WAug 27 · 13:35I. Hrekh—11511113Y. Vorsuliak—911251
WAug 26 · 21:30I. Hrekh—1211113Y. Vorsuliak—10460
WAug 13 · 13:35I. Hrekh—11114113Y. Vorsuliak—761161
I. Hrekh10
LSep 10 · 18:05I. Hrekh2.00612851M. Loboda1.73111011113WSep 10 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.4411211113D. Shchegelskyi2.63611691LSep 10 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.6761291162V. Slozka2.101110119113WSep 10 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.4411113113Y. Vorsuliak2.63751171WSep 10 · 12:05I. Hrekh1.61119118123V. Krokhmal2.20911311102WSep 10 · 02:00I. Hrekh2.1051313113M. Loboda1.6711111161WSep 10 · 24:30I. Hrekh1.531211113D. Shchegelskyi2.3810730WSep 9 · 23:00I. Hrekh1.4471111143Y. Vorsuliak2.631151121WSep 9 · 21:30I. Hrekh1.6711119113V. Slozka2.10891171WSep 9 · 20:00I. Hrekh1.671111113V. Krokhmal2.104660
Y. Vorsuliak10
WSep 10 · 19:05V. Slozka1.57115111182Y. Vorsuliak2.25611413113LSep 10 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak1.83111151272V. Krokhmal1.831391110113WSep 10 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.2010111081Y. Vorsuliak1.6112912113LSep 10 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.4411113113Y. Vorsuliak2.63751171LSep 10 · 12:35M. Loboda1.4411138113Y. Vorsuliak2.636111161WSep 10 · 03:00Y. Vorsuliak2.5011111113V. Slozka1.50811751LSep 10 · 01:00M. Loboda1.441181112123Y. Vorsuliak2.63811814102LSep 9 · 23:00I. Hrekh1.4471111143Y. Vorsuliak2.631151121WSep 9 · 22:00Y. Vorsuliak1.911111812113V. Krokhmal1.80213111082LSep 9 · 21:00D. Shchegelskyi2.2081111113Y. Vorsuliak1.61117581
Upcoming Matches
I. Hrekh
Y. Vorsuliak
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.