TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105771
Played Sep 10Finished
Dmytro Shchegelskyi
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121191012811––
Yaroslav Vorsuliak
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:42 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Vorsuliak to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Shchegelskyi above · Yaroslav Vorsuliak below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 83 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Yaroslav Vorsuliak at 59.3%
83 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Shchegelskyi 39–46 Yaroslav Vorsuliak Dmytro Shchegelskyi has won 39 of their 85 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:42What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vorsuliak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
39-46 in 85
Vorsuliak
Correct
gap of 7 in 85, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shchegelskyi 1519 vs Vorsuliak 1579
Vorsuliak
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shchegelskyi 0% vs Vorsuliak 20%
Vorsuliak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shchegelskyi 50% vs Vorsuliak 30%
Shchegelskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shchegelskyi -5 · Vorsuliak -2
Shchegelskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vorsuliak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorsuliak form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShchegelskyi 2.20 / Vorsuliak 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Vorsuliak)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13105771
Shchegelskyi2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 68 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back25% 27 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 61
Vorsuliak1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 102 of 171
Up 2–0, closes it90% 43 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it78% 73 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShchegelskyi4wins
AwayVorsuliak6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVorsuliak leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShchegelskyin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVorsuliak62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shchegelskyi2Vorsuliak8n = 10Vorsuliak took 8 of 10
S2Shchegelskyi3Vorsuliak7n = 10Vorsuliak took 7 of 10
S3Shchegelskyi6Vorsuliak4n = 10Shchegelskyi took 6 of 10
S4Shchegelskyi3Vorsuliak4n = 7Vorsuliak took 4 of 7
S5Shchegelskyi2Vorsuliak1n = 3Shchegelskyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricShchegelskyiVorsuliakS − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.241.2−6.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShchegelskyiVorsuliakBasisWin rate · lifetime477 / 902 vs 450 / 89352.9%50.4%477 / 902 vs 450 / 893Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorsuliakShchegelskyi 2.20/Vorsuliak 1.61
Hit
What we said
58.9%
Vorsuliak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vorsuliak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 21:00D. Shchegelskyi—81111113Y. Vorsuliak—117581
WSep 7 · 10:13D. Shchegelskyi—681111123Y. Vorsuliak—111177102
LSep 7 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi—1011111582Y. Vorsuliak—125917113
LSep 6 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi—135221Y. Vorsuliak—111111113
LSep 4 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi—4470Y. Vorsuliak—1111113
WSep 3 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi—411113123Y. Vorsuliak—117711102
WSep 3 · 02:30D. Shchegelskyi—13717133Y. Vorsuliak—111115111
LAug 30 · 16:35D. Shchegelskyi—10101171Y. Vorsuliak—12128113
LAug 28 · 11:35D. Shchegelskyi—8670Y. Vorsuliak—1111113
LAug 27 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi—74100Y. Vorsuliak—1111123
D. Shchegelskyi10
LSep 10 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.4411211113D. Shchegelskyi2.63611691LSep 10 · 14:35M. Loboda1.611111113D. Shchegelskyi2.207750LSep 10 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi2.5015961192V. Slozka1.501311119113LSep 10 · 02:30D. Shchegelskyi2.2589150V. Krokhmal1.571111173LSep 10 · 24:30I. Hrekh1.531211113D. Shchegelskyi2.3810730LSep 9 · 23:30D. Shchegelskyi2.63131110052V. Slozka1.441181211113WSep 9 · 22:30M. Loboda1.6181111282D. Shchegelskyi2.20118911113WSep 9 · 21:00D. Shchegelskyi2.2081111113Y. Vorsuliak1.61117581WSep 7 · 10:13Y. Vorsuliak1.67111177102D. Shchegelskyi2.10681111123WSep 7 · 09:05D. Shchegelskyi1.8312311153Y. Kolos1.8310118131
Y. Vorsuliak10
LSep 10 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak1.83111151272V. Krokhmal1.831391110113LSep 10 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.4411113113Y. Vorsuliak2.63751171LSep 10 · 12:35M. Loboda1.4411138113Y. Vorsuliak2.636111161WSep 10 · 03:00Y. Vorsuliak2.5011111113V. Slozka1.50811751LSep 10 · 01:00M. Loboda1.441181112123Y. Vorsuliak2.63811814102LSep 9 · 23:00I. Hrekh1.4471111143Y. Vorsuliak2.631151121WSep 9 · 22:00Y. Vorsuliak1.911111812113V. Krokhmal1.80213111082LSep 9 · 21:00D. Shchegelskyi2.2081111113Y. Vorsuliak1.61117581LSep 7 · 10:13Y. Vorsuliak1.67111177102D. Shchegelskyi2.10681111123LSep 7 · 08:35O. Rodin2.0011114133Y. Vorsuliak1.737611111
Upcoming Matches
D. Shchegelskyi
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Y. Vorsuliak
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