TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105715
Played Sep 10Finished
Myroslav Loboda
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117115––––
Dmytro Shchegelskyi
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:54 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeMyroslav Loboda to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMyroslav Loboda above · Dmytro Shchegelskyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 52 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Myroslav Loboda at 60.9%
52 points played in total.
H2H Myroslav Loboda 24–21 Dmytro Shchegelskyi Dmytro Shchegelskyi has won 21 of their 45 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:54What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Loboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-21 in 45
Loboda
Correct
gap of 3 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Loboda 1661 vs Shchegelskyi 1528
Loboda
Correct
both rated, 133 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Loboda 60% vs Shchegelskyi 20%
Loboda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Loboda 40% vs Shchegelskyi 60%
Shchegelskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Loboda +1 · Shchegelskyi -4
Shchegelskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Loboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shchegelskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLoboda 1.61 / Shchegelskyi 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Loboda)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13105715
Loboda1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 170 of 317
Up 2–0, closes it89% 94 of 106
Up 1–0, closes it70% 137 of 196
Shchegelskyi2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 68 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back25% 27 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLoboda4wins
AwayShchegelskyi6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderShchegelskyi leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLoboda66.7%4 of 6
AwayShchegelskyi100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Loboda6Shchegelskyi4n = 10Loboda took 6 of 10
S2Loboda6Shchegelskyi4n = 10Loboda took 6 of 10
S3Loboda5Shchegelskyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Loboda3Shchegelskyi5n = 8Shchegelskyi took 5 of 8
S5Loboda1Shchegelskyi3n = 4Shchegelskyi took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLobodaShchegelskyiL − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.740.2+0.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLobodaShchegelskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime485 / 937 vs 477 / 90151.8%52.9%485 / 937 vs 477 / 901Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaLoboda 1.61/Shchegelskyi 2.20
Hit
What we said
60.9%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Loboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 22:30M. Loboda—81111282D. Shchegelskyi—118911113
WSep 6 · 18:35M. Loboda—1111113D. Shchegelskyi—9970
LSep 4 · 07:05M. Loboda—111111892D. Shchegelskyi—591311113
LSep 3 · 14:35M. Loboda—1011371D. Shchegelskyi—12811113
WSep 2 · 22:30M. Loboda—1191211123D. Shchegelskyi—411146102
WAug 28 · 09:35M. Loboda—11411113D. Shchegelskyi—911391
LAug 27 · 14:35M. Loboda—911671D. Shchegelskyi—11611113
WAug 26 · 22:30M. Loboda—1113113D. Shchegelskyi—61180
LAug 23 · 22:15M. Loboda—11121012102D. Shchegelskyi—5141210123
LAug 21 · 09:35M. Loboda—7911111D. Shchegelskyi—11117133
M. Loboda10
WSep 10 · 12:35M. Loboda1.4411138113Y. Vorsuliak2.636111161LSep 10 · 02:00I. Hrekh2.1051313113M. Loboda1.6711111161WSep 10 · 01:00M. Loboda1.441181112123Y. Vorsuliak2.63811814102WSep 10 · 24:00M. Loboda1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.835810LSep 9 · 22:30M. Loboda1.6181111282D. Shchegelskyi2.20118911113LSep 9 · 20:30M. Loboda1.73109111172V. Slozka2.00121147113LSep 8 · 02:30R. Konkulovskyi1.441212133M. Loboda2.631010110LSep 8 · 01:30V. Krokhmal1.83811119123M. Loboda1.83118911102WSep 8 · 24:00G. Kuzmenko2.206111081M. Loboda1.6111912113LSep 7 · 22:00V. Slozka2.1011115113M. Loboda1.67681171
D. Shchegelskyi10
LSep 10 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi2.5015961192V. Slozka1.501311119113LSep 10 · 02:30D. Shchegelskyi2.2589150V. Krokhmal1.571111173LSep 10 · 24:30I. Hrekh1.531211113D. Shchegelskyi2.3810730LSep 9 · 23:30D. Shchegelskyi2.63131110052V. Slozka1.441181211113WSep 9 · 22:30M. Loboda1.6181111282D. Shchegelskyi2.20118911113WSep 9 · 21:00D. Shchegelskyi2.2081111113Y. Vorsuliak1.61117581WSep 7 · 10:13Y. Vorsuliak1.67111177102D. Shchegelskyi2.10681111123WSep 7 · 09:05D. Shchegelskyi1.8312311153Y. Kolos1.8310118131WSep 7 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi1.571381111113M. Khomenko2.2515115982WSep 7 · 06:35D. Shchegelskyi1.73117112153O. Rodin2.00811911132
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