TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105619
Played Sep 10Finished
Yaroslav Vorsuliak
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11131195111210711
Vitalii Krokhmal
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitalii Krokhmal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYaroslav Vorsuliak above · Vitalii Krokhmal below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 100 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Vitalii Krokhmal at 54.0%
100 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Vorsuliak 6–11 Vitalii Krokhmal Yaroslav Vorsuliak has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:28What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Krokhmal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-11 in 17
Krokhmal
Correct
gap of 5 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vorsuliak 1589 vs Krokhmal 1591
Krokhmal
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorsuliak 40% vs Krokhmal 20%
Vorsuliak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorsuliak 30% vs Krokhmal 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorsuliak +1 · Krokhmal -3
Krokhmal
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krokhmal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorsuliak 1.83 / Krokhmal 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krokhmal)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13105619
Vorsuliak1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Krokhmal1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorsuliak5wins
AwayKrokhmal5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorsuliak60%3 of 5
AwayKrokhmal60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorsuliak5Krokhmal5n = 10split evenly
S2Vorsuliak4Krokhmal6n = 10Krokhmal took 6 of 10
S3Vorsuliak7Krokhmal3n = 10Vorsuliak took 7 of 10
S4Vorsuliak4Krokhmal4n = 8split evenly
S5Vorsuliak3Krokhmal4n = 7Krokhmal took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorsuliakKrokhmalV − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.341.9+1.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorsuliakKrokhmalBasisWin rate · lifetime451 / 894 vs 160 / 35150.5%45.6%451 / 894 vs 160 / 351Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrokhmalVorsuliak 1.83/Krokhmal 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Krokhmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Krokhmal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 22:00Y. Vorsuliak—1111812113V. Krokhmal—213111082
LJul 31 · 11:35Y. Vorsuliak—118111152V. Krokhmal—131148113
LJul 30 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak—69100V. Krokhmal—1111123
LJul 30 · 24:00Y. Vorsuliak—11811992V. Krokhmal—711911113
WJul 27 · 20:15Y. Vorsuliak—51115113V. Krokhmal—1191391
LJul 24 · 10:05Y. Vorsuliak—71111792V. Krokhmal—118911113
LJul 23 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak—11911962V. Krokhmal—811511113
WJul 9 · 03:00Y. Vorsuliak—118129113V. Krokhmal—611101142
WJul 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak—1111113V. Krokhmal—7580
WJul 6 · 01:45Y. Vorsuliak—711411113V. Krokhmal—11811872
Y. Vorsuliak10
WSep 10 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.2010111081Y. Vorsuliak1.6112912113LSep 10 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.4411113113Y. Vorsuliak2.63751171LSep 10 · 12:35M. Loboda1.4411138113Y. Vorsuliak2.636111161WSep 10 · 03:00Y. Vorsuliak2.5011111113V. Slozka1.50811751LSep 10 · 01:00M. Loboda1.441181112123Y. Vorsuliak2.63811814102LSep 9 · 23:00I. Hrekh1.4471111143Y. Vorsuliak2.631151121WSep 9 · 22:00Y. Vorsuliak1.911111812113V. Krokhmal1.80213111082LSep 9 · 21:00D. Shchegelskyi2.2081111113Y. Vorsuliak1.61117581LSep 7 · 10:13Y. Vorsuliak1.67111177102D. Shchegelskyi2.10681111123LSep 7 · 08:35O. Rodin2.0011114133Y. Vorsuliak1.737611111
V. Krokhmal10
WSep 10 · 16:05M. Loboda1.80711971V. Krokhmal1.9111311113LSep 10 · 14:05V. Slozka1.8361112113V. Krokhmal1.831171031LSep 10 · 12:05I. Hrekh1.61119118123V. Krokhmal2.20911311102WSep 10 · 02:30D. Shchegelskyi2.2589150V. Krokhmal1.571111173LSep 10 · 01:30V. Slozka1.911111113V. Krokhmal1.804680LSep 10 · 24:00M. Loboda1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.835810LSep 9 · 22:00Y. Vorsuliak1.911111812113V. Krokhmal1.80213111082LSep 9 · 20:00I. Hrekh1.671111113V. Krokhmal2.104660WSep 8 · 03:00V. Slozka1.91917111152V. Krokhmal1.80111957113WSep 8 · 01:30V. Krokhmal1.83811119123M. Loboda1.83118911102
Upcoming Matches
Y. Vorsuliak
V. Krokhmal
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