TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13107057
Played Sep 10Finished
Myroslav Loboda
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711113911711––
Vitalii Krokhmal
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMyroslav Loboda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMyroslav Loboda above · Vitalii Krokhmal below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 70 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Myroslav Loboda at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Myroslav Loboda 32–35 Vitalii Krokhmal Myroslav Loboda has won 32 of their 67 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:03What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Loboda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-35 in 67
Krokhmal
Correct
gap of 3 in 67, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Loboda 1670 vs Krokhmal 1576
Loboda
Wrong
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Loboda 80% vs Krokhmal 20%
Loboda
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Loboda 50% vs Krokhmal 20%
Loboda
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Loboda +2 · Krokhmal -3
Krokhmal
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Loboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLoboda 1.80 / Krokhmal 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Loboda)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13107057
Loboda1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 170 of 317
Up 2–0, closes it89% 94 of 106
Up 1–0, closes it70% 137 of 196
Krokhmal1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 109 of 241
Down 0–1, comes back24% 29 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLoboda5wins
AwayKrokhmal5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLoboda57.1%4 of 7
AwayKrokhmal66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Loboda7Krokhmal3n = 10Loboda took 7 of 10
S2Loboda3Krokhmal7n = 10Krokhmal took 7 of 10
S3Loboda6Krokhmal4n = 10Loboda took 6 of 10
S4Loboda4Krokhmal2n = 6Loboda took 4 of 6
S5Loboda1Krokhmal3n = 4Krokhmal took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLobodaKrokhmalL − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.434.7+1.7per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLobodaKrokhmalBasisWin rate · lifetime486 / 938 vs 159 / 35051.8%45.4%486 / 938 vs 159 / 350Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaLoboda 1.80/Krokhmal 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krokhmal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 24:00M. Loboda—1111113V. Krokhmal—5810
LSep 8 · 01:30M. Loboda—118911102V. Krokhmal—811119123
WAug 21 · 08:35M. Loboda—11611113V. Krokhmal—811761
WAug 20 · 12:05M. Loboda—71111113V. Krokhmal—116851
LAug 16 · 20:45M. Loboda—91180V. Krokhmal—1113113
WAug 2 · 20:15M. Loboda—1111113V. Krokhmal—4770
LJul 31 · 09:35M. Loboda—116111062V. Krokhmal—811812113
LJul 30 · 16:05M. Loboda—6610V. Krokhmal—1111113
LJul 29 · 20:00M. Loboda—11712742V. Krokhmal—5111011113
WJul 28 · 24:15M. Loboda—112911113V. Krokhmal—41111192
M. Loboda10
WSep 10 · 17:05M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.006970WSep 10 · 14:35M. Loboda1.611111113D. Shchegelskyi2.207750WSep 10 · 12:35M. Loboda1.4411138113Y. Vorsuliak2.636111161LSep 10 · 02:00I. Hrekh2.1051313113M. Loboda1.6711111161WSep 10 · 01:00M. Loboda1.441181112123Y. Vorsuliak2.63811814102WSep 10 · 24:00M. Loboda1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.835810LSep 9 · 22:30M. Loboda1.6181111282D. Shchegelskyi2.20118911113LSep 9 · 20:30M. Loboda1.73109111172V. Slozka2.00121147113LSep 8 · 02:30R. Konkulovskyi1.441212133M. Loboda2.631010110LSep 8 · 01:30V. Krokhmal1.83811119123M. Loboda1.83118911102
V. Krokhmal10
WSep 10 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak1.83111151272V. Krokhmal1.831391110113LSep 10 · 14:05V. Slozka1.8361112113V. Krokhmal1.831171031LSep 10 · 12:05I. Hrekh1.61119118123V. Krokhmal2.20911311102WSep 10 · 02:30D. Shchegelskyi2.2589150V. Krokhmal1.571111173LSep 10 · 01:30V. Slozka1.911111113V. Krokhmal1.804680LSep 10 · 24:00M. Loboda1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.835810LSep 9 · 22:00Y. Vorsuliak1.911111812113V. Krokhmal1.80213111082LSep 9 · 20:00I. Hrekh1.671111113V. Krokhmal2.104660WSep 8 · 03:00V. Slozka1.91917111152V. Krokhmal1.80111957113WSep 8 · 01:30V. Krokhmal1.83811119123M. Loboda1.83118911102
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V. Krokhmal
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