TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111223
Played Sep 11Finished
Dmytro Shchegelskyi
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4111214811––––
Viktor Slozka
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:40 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeViktor Slozka to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Shchegelskyi above · Viktor Slozka below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 60 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Viktor Slozka at 66.9%
60 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Shchegelskyi 5–14 Viktor Slozka Dmytro Shchegelskyi has won 5 of their 19 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 17h before this match
Slozka beat Shchegelskyi 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:40What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Slozka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-14 in 19
Slozka
Correct
gap of 9 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shchegelskyi 1494 vs Slozka 1691
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 197 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shchegelskyi 0% vs Slozka 60%
Slozka
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shchegelskyi 20% vs Slozka 60%
Slozka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shchegelskyi -5 · Slozka -2
Shchegelskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Slozka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shchegelskyi form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShchegelskyi 2.50 / Slozka 1.50
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Slozka)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13111223
Shchegelskyi2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 67 of 175
Down 0–1, comes back24% 27 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 63
Slozka1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 95 of 172
Up 2–0, closes it90% 47 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it71% 64 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShchegelskyi2wins
AwaySlozka8wins
7 of 10 to a deciderSlozka leads 8–2, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShchegelskyi25%1 of 4
AwaySlozka83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shchegelskyi4Slozka6n = 10Slozka took 6 of 10
S2Shchegelskyi5Slozka5n = 10split evenly
S3Shchegelskyi4Slozka6n = 10Slozka took 6 of 10
S4Shchegelskyi4Slozka6n = 10Slozka took 6 of 10
S5Shchegelskyi2Slozka5n = 7Slozka took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricShchegelskyiSlozkaShchegelskyi − SlozkaBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.247.1−5.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShchegelskyiSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime477 / 905 vs 382 / 84352.7%45.3%477 / 905 vs 382 / 843Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaShchegelskyi 2.50/Slozka 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi—15961192V. Slozka—1311119113
LSep 9 · 23:30D. Shchegelskyi—131110052V. Slozka—1181211113
LSep 4 · 11:05D. Shchegelskyi—121411102V. Slozka—1011117123
WSep 2 · 23:30D. Shchegelskyi—111268113V. Slozka—910111192
LAug 28 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi—8117101V. Slozka—11511123
LAug 27 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi—71181172V. Slozka—118119113
LAug 26 · 21:00D. Shchegelskyi—751361V. Slozka—111111113
LJun 28 · 02:45D. Shchegelskyi—75111172V. Slozka—111188113
WJun 18 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi—1011115113V. Slozka—12671142
LMay 19 · 02:45D. Shchegelskyi—891191V. Slozka—11117113
D. Shchegelskyi10
WSep 11 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi2.75111110113V. Krokhmal1.40461291WSep 11 · 07:05M. Loboda1.5781261142D. Shchegelskyi2.251110116113LSep 10 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi3.258890V. Krokhmal1.331111113LSep 10 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.4411211113D. Shchegelskyi2.63611691LSep 10 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.2010111081Y. Vorsuliak1.6112912113LSep 10 · 14:35M. Loboda1.611111113D. Shchegelskyi2.207750LSep 10 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi2.5015961192V. Slozka1.501311119113LSep 10 · 02:30D. Shchegelskyi2.2589150V. Krokhmal1.571111173LSep 10 · 24:30I. Hrekh1.531211113D. Shchegelskyi2.3810730LSep 9 · 23:30D. Shchegelskyi2.63131110052V. Slozka1.441181211113
V. Slozka10
LSep 11 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.67111178113V. Slozka2.1087111162WSep 11 · 06:35V. Slozka1.61118119113Y. Vorsuliak2.2091171182LSep 10 · 19:05V. Slozka1.57115111182Y. Vorsuliak2.25611413113LSep 10 · 17:05M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.006970WSep 10 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.6761291162V. Slozka2.101110119113WSep 10 · 14:05V. Slozka1.8361112113V. Krokhmal1.831171031WSep 10 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi2.5015961192V. Slozka1.501311119113LSep 10 · 03:00Y. Vorsuliak2.5011111113V. Slozka1.50811751WSep 10 · 01:30V. Slozka1.911111113V. Krokhmal1.804680WSep 9 · 23:30D. Shchegelskyi2.63131110052V. Slozka1.441181211113
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