TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13128469
Played Sep 14Finished
Roman Konkulovskyi
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191181412––––
Dmytro Shchegelskyi
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:10 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeRoman Konkulovskyi to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Konkulovskyi above · Dmytro Shchegelskyi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 14-12
Point 65 set 3, 14-12 — our read held Roman Konkulovskyi at 65.3%
65 points played in total.
H2H Roman Konkulovskyi 1–0 Dmytro Shchegelskyi Dmytro Shchegelskyi has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:10What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Konkulovskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Konkulovskyi 1614 vs Shchegelskyi 1560
Konkulovskyi
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Konkulovskyi 20% vs Shchegelskyi 80%
Shchegelskyi
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Konkulovskyi 40% vs Shchegelskyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Konkulovskyi +1 · Shchegelskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Konkulovskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shchegelskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKonkulovskyi 1.44 / Shchegelskyi 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Konkulovskyi)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13128469
Konkulovskyi1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 76 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it97% 35 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it82% 53 of 65
Shchegelskyi2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 57 of 157
Down 0–1, comes back21% 22 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKonkulovskyi1wins
AwayShchegelskyi0wins
Konkulovskyi leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKonkulovskyiShchegelskyiK − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match40.038.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKonkulovskyiShchegelskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime342 / 692 vs 481 / 91149.4%52.8%342 / 692 vs 481 / 911Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.639.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KonkulovskyiKonkulovskyi 1.44/Shchegelskyi 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Konkulovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Konkulovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 17 · 02:45R. Konkulovskyi4061112113D. Shchegelskyi381181091
R. Konkulovskyi10
WSep 14 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi2.10119611113V. Krokhmal1.6751111772LSep 13 · 24:45A. Romanenko1.531111113R. Konkulovskyi2.385790LSep 12 · 23:15R. Konkulovskyi2.0011711442I. Sukovatyi1.73711611113LSep 12 · 21:45R. Konkulovskyi1.5713980B. Chaikovskyi2.251511113LSep 12 · 20:15R. Konkulovskyi2.201051291O. Pohonov1.61121110113LSep 9 · 02:00B. Chaikovskyi2.2511811133R. Konkulovskyi1.577118111LSep 9 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi2.251011751A. Romanenko1.5712611113WSep 9 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi2.631112113V. Zharskiy1.4471030WSep 8 · 22:30R. Konkulovskyi2.101111129113S. Maksymiv1.67813101152WSep 8 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi2.25115411113O. Pohonov1.5781111762
D. Shchegelskyi10
WSep 14 · 23:45D. Shchegelskyi2.501114143V. Krokhmal1.50812120WSep 14 · 21:15D. Shchegelskyi2.381181111113O. Pohonov1.5381171392LSep 11 · 11:05D. Shchegelskyi2.107660Y. Vorsuliak1.671111113WSep 11 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.44711631D. Shchegelskyi2.6311911113WSep 11 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi2.75111110113V. Krokhmal1.40461291WSep 11 · 07:05M. Loboda1.5781261142D. Shchegelskyi2.251110116113LSep 11 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.5041280V. Slozka1.501114113LSep 10 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi3.258890V. Krokhmal1.331111113LSep 10 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.4411211113D. Shchegelskyi2.63611691LSep 10 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.2010111081Y. Vorsuliak1.6112912113
Upcoming Matches
R. Konkulovskyi
Sep 15 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi1.44M. Loboda2.63—Sep 15 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.25O. Pohonov1.57—Sep 15 · 02:15R. Konkulovskyi1.83I. Hrekh1.83—Sep 15 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi2.50A. Romanenko1.50—Sep 15 · 22:30R. Konkulovskyi1.61B. Chaikovskyi2.20—Sep 16 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi2.10V. Krokhmal1.67—Sep 16 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi2.00I. Sukovatyi1.73—Sep 16 · 02:00R. Konkulovskyi2.10G. Kuzmenko1.67—
D. Shchegelskyi
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