TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116999
Played Sep 12Finished
Roman Konkulovskyi
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10125111210911––
Oleksandr Pohonov
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:22 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Pohonov to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Konkulovskyi above · Oleksandr Pohonov below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 80 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandr Pohonov at 58.1%
80 points played in total.
H2H Roman Konkulovskyi 25–38 Oleksandr Pohonov Roman Konkulovskyi has won 25 of their 63 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:22What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Pohonov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-38 in 63
Pohonov
Correct
gap of 13 in 63, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Konkulovskyi 1673 vs Pohonov 1715
Pohonov
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Konkulovskyi 60% vs Pohonov 40%
Konkulovskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Konkulovskyi 50% vs Pohonov 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Konkulovskyi -2 · Pohonov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Pohonov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pohonov form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKonkulovskyi 2.20 / Pohonov 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Pohonov)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13116999
Konkulovskyi2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 120 of 294
Down 0–1, comes back22% 36 of 163
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 91
Pohonov1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 192 of 342
Up 2–0, closes it93% 97 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it78% 141 of 182
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKonkulovskyi4wins
AwayPohonov6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPohonov leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKonkulovskyi66.7%4 of 6
AwayPohonov100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Konkulovskyi6Pohonov4n = 10Konkulovskyi took 6 of 10
S2Konkulovskyi2Pohonov8n = 10Pohonov took 8 of 10
S3Konkulovskyi4Pohonov6n = 10Pohonov took 6 of 10
S4Konkulovskyi3Pohonov2n = 5Konkulovskyi took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKonkulovskyiPohonovK − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match32.936.7−3.8per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKonkulovskyiPohonovBasisWin rate · lifetime341 / 687 vs 265 / 51349.6%51.7%341 / 687 vs 265 / 513Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PohonovKonkulovskyi 2.20/Pohonov 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Pohonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pohonov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi42115411113O. Pohonov4381111762
LSep 5 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi3151790O. Pohonov411119113
LAug 25 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi198560O. Pohonov331111113
LAug 16 · 22:15R. Konkulovskyi206680O. Pohonov331111113
WJul 29 · 18:35R. Konkulovskyi44111111113O. Pohonov33613591
LJul 28 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi34119591O. Pohonov4291111113
LJul 26 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi351131471O. Pohonov4681116113
WJul 23 · 11:05R. Konkulovskyi351112123O. Pohonov26610100
WJul 22 · 18:35R. Konkulovskyi331111113O. Pohonov218580
LJul 21 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi3665111132O. Pohonov49111188113
R. Konkulovskyi10
LSep 9 · 02:00B. Chaikovskyi2.2511811133R. Konkulovskyi1.577118111LSep 9 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi2.251011751A. Romanenko1.5712611113WSep 9 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi2.631112113V. Zharskiy1.4471030WSep 8 · 22:30R. Konkulovskyi2.101111129113S. Maksymiv1.67813101152WSep 8 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi2.25115411113O. Pohonov1.5781111762WSep 8 · 02:30R. Konkulovskyi1.441212133M. Loboda2.631010110LSep 8 · 24:30I. Hrekh2.001111611113R. Konkulovskyi1.7386111382LSep 7 · 23:30R. Konkulovskyi1.9111461192V. Krokhmal1.80911117113LSep 7 · 22:30G. Kuzmenko1.671210116113R. Konkulovskyi2.10101241172WSep 7 · 21:00R. Konkulovskyi1.83118115113V. Slozka1.8371161132
O. Pohonov10
WSep 10 · 11:35A. Romanenko2.258780O. Pohonov1.571111113WSep 10 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.4011115133I. Sukovatyi2.759911111LSep 10 · 08:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5791111113O. Pohonov2.25118531LSep 10 · 06:05S. Maksymiv1.331111113O. Pohonov3.256550LSep 10 · 05:05V. Zharskiy1.731111113O. Pohonov2.009840LSep 9 · 18:35O. Pohonov3.003940S. Maksymiv1.361111113LSep 9 · 16:35V. Zharskiy1.9111811113O. Pohonov1.80911671LSep 9 · 15:35O. Pohonov2.38812111242B. Chaikovskyi1.531110131093WSep 9 · 14:35A. Romanenko2.50811691O. Pohonov1.5011611113LSep 8 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi2.25115411113O. Pohonov1.5781111762
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