TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13106212
Played Sep 10Finished
Oleksandr Pohonov
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191195111311––
Ihor Sukovatyi
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:34 and never touched — 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Pohonov to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Pohonov above · Ihor Sukovatyi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 80 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Oleksandr Pohonov at 67.5%
80 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Pohonov 46–21 Ihor Sukovatyi Ihor Sukovatyi has won 21 of their 67 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:34What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Pohonov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
46-21 in 67
Pohonov
Correct
gap of 25 in 67, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pohonov 1689 vs Sukovatyi 1690
Sukovatyi
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pohonov 0% vs Sukovatyi 80%
Sukovatyi
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pohonov 40% vs Sukovatyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pohonov -5 · Sukovatyi +1
Pohonov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Pohonov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sukovatyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPohonov 1.40 / Sukovatyi 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 33%
Edge (Pohonov)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13106212
Pohonov1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 193 of 343
Up 2–0, closes it93% 97 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it78% 142 of 183
Sukovatyi2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 54 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePohonov10wins
AwaySukovatyi0wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPohonov leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePohonov100%7 of 7
AwaySukovatyi0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pohonov7Sukovatyi3n = 10Pohonov took 7 of 10
S2Pohonov8Sukovatyi2n = 10Pohonov took 8 of 10
S3Pohonov7Sukovatyi3n = 10Pohonov took 7 of 10
S4Pohonov5Sukovatyi0n = 5Pohonov took 5 of 5
S5Pohonov3Sukovatyi0n = 3Pohonov took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPohonovSukovatyiP − SBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.226.7+12.5per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPohonovSukovatyiBasisWin rate · lifetime263 / 511 vs 268 / 49051.5%54.7%263 / 511 vs 268 / 490Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PohonovPohonov 1.40/Sukovatyi 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.5%
Pohonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pohonov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 13:05O. Pohonov—611511113I. Sukovatyi—11711882
WSep 3 · 10:05O. Pohonov—1111113I. Sukovatyi—4530
WSep 2 · 17:35O. Pohonov—761111113I. Sukovatyi—11115662
WSep 1 · 23:30O. Pohonov—1111113I. Sukovatyi—5630
WAug 30 · 21:15O. Pohonov—101111173I. Sukovatyi—1246151
WAug 29 · 22:15O. Pohonov—1311113I. Sukovatyi—11750
WAug 27 · 11:35O. Pohonov—11115113I. Sukovatyi—471161
WAug 26 · 17:13O. Pohonov—119611113I. Sukovatyi—71111632
WAug 26 · 16:05O. Pohonov—1111113I. Sukovatyi—5650
WAug 25 · 23:30O. Pohonov—1111113I. Sukovatyi—3930
O. Pohonov10
LSep 10 · 08:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5791111113O. Pohonov2.25118531LSep 10 · 06:05S. Maksymiv1.331111113O. Pohonov3.256550LSep 10 · 05:05V. Zharskiy1.731111113O. Pohonov2.009840LSep 9 · 18:35O. Pohonov3.003940S. Maksymiv1.361111113LSep 9 · 16:35V. Zharskiy1.9111811113O. Pohonov1.80911671LSep 9 · 15:35O. Pohonov2.38812111242B. Chaikovskyi1.531110131093WSep 9 · 14:35A. Romanenko2.50811691O. Pohonov1.5011611113WSep 9 · 13:05O. Pohonov1.40611511113I. Sukovatyi2.7511711882WSep 9 · 03:00A. Romanenko2.255960O. Pohonov1.571111113WSep 9 · 01:30O. Pohonov2.0011119113V. Zharskiy1.73551191
I. Sukovatyi10
LSep 10 · 11:05B. Chaikovskyi1.9111114113I. Sukovatyi1.80661171WSep 10 · 08:35V. Zharskiy2.638330I. Sukovatyi1.441111113LSep 10 · 06:35A. Romanenko2.2011911113I. Sukovatyi1.61811491WSep 10 · 04:35S. Maksymiv1.736270I. Sukovatyi2.001111113LSep 9 · 19:05I. Sukovatyi1.807650B. Chaikovskyi1.911111113WSep 9 · 17:05A. Romanenko2.20991181I. Sukovatyi1.6111118113WSep 9 · 15:05V. Zharskiy2.385540I. Sukovatyi1.531111113WSep 9 · 14:05I. Sukovatyi1.911112113S. Maksymiv1.8081060LSep 9 · 13:05O. Pohonov1.40611511113I. Sukovatyi2.7511711882LSep 3 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko2.251111113I. Sukovatyi1.579870
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.