TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116710
Played Sep 12Finished
Roman Konkulovskyi
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1315911811––––
Bohdan Chaikovskyi
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:33 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeRoman Konkulovskyi to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRoman Konkulovskyi above · Bohdan Chaikovskyi below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 67 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Roman Konkulovskyi at 54.9%
67 points played in total.
H2H Roman Konkulovskyi 70–38 Bohdan Chaikovskyi Bohdan Chaikovskyi has won 38 of their 108 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:33What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Konkulovskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
70-38 in 108
Konkulovskyi
Wrong
gap of 32 in 108, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Konkulovskyi 1638 vs Chaikovskyi 1780
Chaikovskyi
Correct
both rated, 142 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Konkulovskyi 40% vs Chaikovskyi 60%
Chaikovskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Konkulovskyi 40% vs Chaikovskyi 70%
Chaikovskyi
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Konkulovskyi -3 · Chaikovskyi +2
Konkulovskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Konkulovskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chaikovskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKonkulovskyi 1.57 / Chaikovskyi 2.25
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Konkulovskyi)-4.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13116710
Konkulovskyi1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 87 of 145
Up 2–0, closes it93% 42 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it79% 63 of 80
Chaikovskyi2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 160 of 356
Down 0–1, comes back27% 54 of 199
Down 0–2, comes back10% 11 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKonkulovskyi7wins
AwayChaikovskyi3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKonkulovskyi leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKonkulovskyi100%5 of 5
AwayChaikovskyi60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Konkulovskyi5Chaikovskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Konkulovskyi7Chaikovskyi3n = 10Konkulovskyi took 7 of 10
S3Konkulovskyi3Chaikovskyi7n = 10Chaikovskyi took 7 of 10
S4Konkulovskyi4Chaikovskyi5n = 9Chaikovskyi took 5 of 9
S5Konkulovskyi4Chaikovskyi0n = 4Konkulovskyi took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKonkulovskyiChaikovskyiK − CBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.239.3+0.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKonkulovskyiChaikovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime341 / 688 vs 390 / 75549.6%51.7%341 / 688 vs 390 / 755Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KonkulovskyiKonkulovskyi 1.57/Chaikovskyi 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Konkulovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Chaikovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 02:00R. Konkulovskyi377118111B. Chaikovskyi4311811133
LSep 5 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi27751141B. Chaikovskyi3911116113
WAug 23 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi42111181113B. Chaikovskyi3965111162
WAug 18 · 23:00R. Konkulovskyi481151011113B. Chaikovskyi4381112662
WAug 15 · 23:15R. Konkulovskyi48711118113B. Chaikovskyi4211991122
WAug 13 · 07:05R. Konkulovskyi48711118113B. Chaikovskyi3711831142
LAug 12 · 16:35R. Konkulovskyi186660B. Chaikovskyi331111113
WAug 12 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi48141210123B. Chaikovskyi44121012101
WAug 8 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi3911116113B. Chaikovskyi31681161
WAug 6 · 05:35R. Konkulovskyi4716119113B. Chaikovskyi421481191
R. Konkulovskyi10
LSep 12 · 20:15R. Konkulovskyi2.201051291O. Pohonov1.61121110113LSep 9 · 02:00B. Chaikovskyi2.2511811133R. Konkulovskyi1.577118111LSep 9 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi2.251011751A. Romanenko1.5712611113WSep 9 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi2.631112113V. Zharskiy1.4471030WSep 8 · 22:30R. Konkulovskyi2.101111129113S. Maksymiv1.67813101152WSep 8 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi2.25115411113O. Pohonov1.5781111762WSep 8 · 02:30R. Konkulovskyi1.441212133M. Loboda2.631010110LSep 8 · 24:30I. Hrekh2.001111611113R. Konkulovskyi1.7386111382LSep 7 · 23:30R. Konkulovskyi1.9111461192V. Krokhmal1.80911117113LSep 7 · 22:30G. Kuzmenko1.671210116113R. Konkulovskyi2.10101241172
B. Chaikovskyi10
WSep 12 · 20:45B. Chaikovskyi1.83411811113I. Sukovatyi1.8311911662WSep 10 · 11:05B. Chaikovskyi1.9111114113I. Sukovatyi1.80661171LSep 10 · 09:05S. Maksymiv1.73118711113B. Chaikovskyi2.0071111282WSep 10 · 08:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5791111113O. Pohonov2.25118531LSep 10 · 07:05V. Zharskiy1.611111113B. Chaikovskyi2.206460WSep 10 · 05:35B. Chaikovskyi1.5011711113A. Romanenko2.50611691WSep 9 · 19:05I. Sukovatyi1.807650B. Chaikovskyi1.911111113LSep 9 · 17:35B. Chaikovskyi2.1011101151S. Maksymiv1.6713128113WSep 9 · 15:35O. Pohonov2.38812111242B. Chaikovskyi1.531110131093WSep 9 · 02:00B. Chaikovskyi2.2511811133R. Konkulovskyi1.577118111
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