TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111312
Played Sep 11Finished
Viktor Slozka
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
91114128111012––
Vitalii Krokhmal
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeViktor Slozka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingViktor Slozka above · Vitalii Krokhmal below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 87 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Viktor Slozka at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Slozka 28–25 Vitalii Krokhmal Vitalii Krokhmal has won 25 of their 53 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:56What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Krokhmal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-25 in 53
Slozka
Wrong
gap of 3 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slozka 1672 vs Krokhmal 1634
Slozka
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slozka 40% vs Krokhmal 20%
Slozka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slozka 50% vs Krokhmal 20%
Slozka
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slozka -2 · Krokhmal -3
Krokhmal
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Slozka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlozka 1.83 / Krokhmal 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Slozka)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13111312
Slozka1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Krokhmal1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlozka6wins
AwayKrokhmal4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSlozka leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlozka100%4 of 4
AwayKrokhmal66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slozka4Krokhmal6n = 10Krokhmal took 6 of 10
S2Slozka3Krokhmal7n = 10Krokhmal took 7 of 10
S3Slozka5Krokhmal5n = 10split evenly
S4Slozka6Krokhmal1n = 7Slozka took 6 of 7
S5Slozka3Krokhmal1n = 4Slozka took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlozkaKrokhmalS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.938.2+2.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlozkaKrokhmalBasisWin rate · lifetime383 / 843 vs 165 / 35745.4%46.2%383 / 843 vs 165 / 357Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaSlozka 1.83/Krokhmal 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krokhmal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 14:05V. Slozka—61112113V. Krokhmal—1171031
WSep 10 · 01:30V. Slozka—1111113V. Krokhmal—4680
LSep 8 · 03:00V. Slozka—917111152V. Krokhmal—111957113
WSep 5 · 22:15V. Slozka—781111113V. Krokhmal—11115742
WSep 1 · 22:00V. Slozka—1110911123V. Krokhmal—712119102
LJul 31 · 05:35V. Slozka—81090V. Krokhmal—1112113
LJul 30 · 14:05V. Slozka—871181V. Krokhmal—11117113
WJul 29 · 22:30V. Slozka—137911123V. Krokhmal—1111114102
LJul 28 · 02:45V. Slozka—7980V. Krokhmal—1111113
WJul 24 · 06:35V. Slozka—11118153V. Krokhmal—7811131
V. Slozka10
LSep 11 · 09:35M. Loboda1.67111158123V. Slozka2.10961111102LSep 11 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.67111178113V. Slozka2.1087111162WSep 11 · 06:35V. Slozka1.61118119113Y. Vorsuliak2.2091171182WSep 11 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.5041280V. Slozka1.501114113LSep 10 · 19:05V. Slozka1.57115111182Y. Vorsuliak2.25611413113LSep 10 · 17:05M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.006970WSep 10 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.6761291162V. Slozka2.101110119113WSep 10 · 14:05V. Slozka1.8361112113V. Krokhmal1.831171031WSep 10 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi2.5015961192V. Slozka1.501311119113LSep 10 · 03:00Y. Vorsuliak2.5011111113V. Slozka1.50811751
V. Krokhmal10
WSep 11 · 10:05V. Krokhmal1.8061111133Y. Vorsuliak1.911199111LSep 11 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi2.75111110113V. Krokhmal1.40461291WSep 11 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.671168111V. Krokhmal2.1091111133WSep 11 · 05:05M. Loboda1.8311611382V. Krokhmal1.83511811113WSep 10 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi3.258890V. Krokhmal1.331111113WSep 10 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak1.83111151272V. Krokhmal1.831391110113WSep 10 · 16:05M. Loboda1.80711971V. Krokhmal1.9111311113LSep 10 · 14:05V. Slozka1.8361112113V. Krokhmal1.831171031LSep 10 · 12:05I. Hrekh1.61119118123V. Krokhmal2.20911311102WSep 10 · 02:30D. Shchegelskyi2.2589150V. Krokhmal1.571111173
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