TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131268
Played Sep 15Finished
Ihor Sukovatyi
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
211116114511119
Vitalii Krokhmal
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:29 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeIhor Sukovatyi to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Sukovatyi above · Vitalii Krokhmal below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 81 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Ihor Sukovatyi at 60.1%
81 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Sukovatyi 16–7 Vitalii Krokhmal Vitalii Krokhmal has won 7 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:29What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Sukovatyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-7 in 23
Sukovatyi
Correct
gap of 9 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sukovatyi 1690 vs Krokhmal 1605
Sukovatyi
Correct
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sukovatyi 60% vs Krokhmal 20%
Sukovatyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sukovatyi 40% vs Krokhmal 20%
Sukovatyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sukovatyi +1 · Krokhmal -3
Krokhmal
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Sukovatyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSukovatyi 1.57 / Krokhmal 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Sukovatyi)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13131268
Sukovatyi1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 170 of 289
Up 2–0, closes it97% 92 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it82% 131 of 160
Krokhmal2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 90 of 202
Down 0–1, comes back24% 24 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSukovatyi4wins
AwayKrokhmal6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKrokhmal leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSukovatyi100%4 of 4
AwayKrokhmal100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sukovatyi4Krokhmal6n = 10Krokhmal took 6 of 10
S2Sukovatyi5Krokhmal5n = 10split evenly
S3Sukovatyi7Krokhmal3n = 10Sukovatyi took 7 of 10
S4Sukovatyi2Krokhmal4n = 6Krokhmal took 4 of 6
S5Sukovatyi1Krokhmal2n = 3Krokhmal took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSukovatyiKrokhmalS − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.535.9−0.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSukovatyiKrokhmalBasisWin rate · lifetime272 / 500 vs 167 / 36454.4%45.9%272 / 500 vs 167 / 364Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SukovatyiSukovatyi 1.57/Krokhmal 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Sukovatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sukovatyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 06:35I. Sukovatyi143380V. Krokhmal331111113
LSep 2 · 14:05I. Sukovatyi371081181V. Krokhmal3812114113
WSep 1 · 21:00I. Sukovatyi341111123V. Krokhmal2284100
LAug 27 · 09:35I. Sukovatyi4449141162V. Krokhmal511111126113
WAug 26 · 15:05I. Sukovatyi3311111111V. Krokhmal228777
WAug 26 · 15:04I. Sukovatyi341112113V. Krokhmal2491050
LAug 26 · 02:30I. Sukovatyi29611481V. Krokhmal4011711113
WAug 23 · 01:45I. Sukovatyi51119119113V. Krokhmal4261161182
LAug 19 · 01:30I. Sukovatyi48710111192V. Krokhmal46111248113
LAug 15 · 22:45I. Sukovatyi31411971V. Krokhmal4111811113
I. Sukovatyi10
WSep 15 · 23:00G. Kuzmenko2.10128111162I. Sukovatyi1.67141147113WSep 15 · 21:00B. Chaikovskyi1.838101271I. Sukovatyi1.83111210113LSep 13 · 01:14I. Sukovatyi1.671021151A. Romanenko2.1012116113LSep 13 · 24:15I. Sukovatyi2.756101361O. Pohonov1.40111211113WSep 12 · 23:15R. Konkulovskyi2.0011711442I. Sukovatyi1.73711611113WSep 12 · 22:15A. Romanenko2.10611651I. Sukovatyi1.6711611113LSep 12 · 20:45B. Chaikovskyi1.83411811113I. Sukovatyi1.8311911662LSep 10 · 11:05B. Chaikovskyi1.9111114113I. Sukovatyi1.80661171LSep 10 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.4011115133I. Sukovatyi2.759911111WSep 10 · 08:35V. Zharskiy2.638330I. Sukovatyi1.441111113
V. Krokhmal10
LSep 15 · 20:00G. Kuzmenko1.6111812123V. Krokhmal2.2091110101LSep 15 · 03:15O. Pohonov1.67111512113V. Krokhmal2.1013131041WSep 15 · 01:45V. Krokhmal1.835131014113M. Loboda1.831111121282LSep 14 · 23:45D. Shchegelskyi2.501114143V. Krokhmal1.50812120LSep 14 · 21:45I. Hrekh1.731211113V. Krokhmal2.0010590LSep 14 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi2.10119611113V. Krokhmal1.6751111772WSep 11 · 11:35V. Slozka1.839148101V. Krokhmal1.83111211123WSep 11 · 10:05V. Krokhmal1.8061111133Y. Vorsuliak1.911199111LSep 11 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi2.75111110113V. Krokhmal1.40461291WSep 11 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.671168111V. Krokhmal2.1091111133
Upcoming Matches
I. Sukovatyi
Sep 16 · 01:00I. Sukovatyi1.73R. Konkulovskyi2.00—Sep 16 · 03:00I. Sukovatyi1.67A. Romanenko2.10—Sep 16 · 13:05I. Sukovatyi1.73G. Kuzmenko2.00—Sep 16 · 14:35I. Sukovatyi1.83B. Chaikovskyi1.83—Sep 16 · 15:35I. Sukovatyi1.67A. Romanenko2.10—Sep 16 · 16:35I. Sukovatyi1.61I. Hrekh2.20—Sep 16 · 18:35I. Sukovatyi2.75O. Pohonov1.40—
V. Krokhmal
Sep 16 · 24:00V. Krokhmal1.73R. Konkulovskyi2.00—Sep 16 · 01:30V. Krokhmal1.91A. Romanenko1.80—Sep 16 · 02:30V. Krokhmal2.75B. Chaikovskyi1.40—Sep 16 · 20:00V. Krokhmal1.73O. Rodin2.00—Sep 16 · 22:00V. Krokhmal1.80Y. Vorsuliak1.91—Sep 17 · 24:00V. Krokhmal1.83M. Loboda1.83—Sep 17 · 01:30V. Krokhmal1.83V. Slozka1.83—Sep 17 · 02:30V. Krokhmal1.61D. Shchegelskyi2.20—
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