TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116865
Played Sep 13Finished
Ihor Sukovatyi
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
61110121311611––
Oleksandr Pohonov
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:03 and never touched — 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Pohonov to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Sukovatyi above · Oleksandr Pohonov below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 80 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Oleksandr Pohonov at 67.5%
80 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Sukovatyi 21–47 Oleksandr Pohonov Ihor Sukovatyi has won 21 of their 68 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Pohonov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-47 in 68
Pohonov
Correct
gap of 26 in 68, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sukovatyi 1696 vs Pohonov 1750
Pohonov
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sukovatyi 40% vs Pohonov 80%
Pohonov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sukovatyi 50% vs Pohonov 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sukovatyi +2 · Pohonov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Pohonov)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSukovatyi 2.75 / Pohonov 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 68%
Edge (Pohonov)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13116865
Sukovatyi2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 55 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 44
Pohonov1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 192 of 342
Up 2–0, closes it93% 97 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it78% 141 of 182
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSukovatyi0wins
AwayPohonov10wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPohonov leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSukovatyi0%0 of 3
AwayPohonov100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sukovatyi3Pohonov7n = 10Pohonov took 7 of 10
S2Sukovatyi2Pohonov8n = 10Pohonov took 8 of 10
S3Sukovatyi4Pohonov6n = 10Pohonov took 6 of 10
S4Sukovatyi0Pohonov6n = 6Pohonov took 6 of 6
S5Sukovatyi0Pohonov3n = 3Pohonov took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSukovatyiPohonovS − PBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match29.239.9−10.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSukovatyiPohonovBasisWin rate · lifetime271 / 497 vs 267 / 51654.5%51.7%271 / 497 vs 267 / 516Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PohonovSukovatyi 2.75/Pohonov 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.5%
Pohonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pohonov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 10:05I. Sukovatyi409911111O. Pohonov4011115133
LSep 9 · 13:05I. Sukovatyi4511711882O. Pohonov44611511113
LSep 3 · 10:05I. Sukovatyi124530O. Pohonov331111113
LSep 2 · 17:35I. Sukovatyi3911115662O. Pohonov46761111113
LSep 1 · 23:30I. Sukovatyi145630O. Pohonov331111113
LAug 30 · 21:15I. Sukovatyi371246151O. Pohonov49101111173
LAug 29 · 22:15I. Sukovatyi2311750O. Pohonov351311113
LAug 27 · 11:35I. Sukovatyi28471161O. Pohonov3811115113
LAug 26 · 17:13I. Sukovatyi3871111632O. Pohonov48119611113
LAug 26 · 16:05I. Sukovatyi165650O. Pohonov331111113
I. Sukovatyi10
WSep 12 · 23:15R. Konkulovskyi2.0011711442I. Sukovatyi1.73711611113WSep 12 · 22:15A. Romanenko2.10611651I. Sukovatyi1.6711611113LSep 12 · 20:45B. Chaikovskyi1.83411811113I. Sukovatyi1.8311911662LSep 10 · 11:05B. Chaikovskyi1.9111114113I. Sukovatyi1.80661171LSep 10 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.4011115133I. Sukovatyi2.759911111WSep 10 · 08:35V. Zharskiy2.638330I. Sukovatyi1.441111113LSep 10 · 06:35A. Romanenko2.2011911113I. Sukovatyi1.61811491WSep 10 · 04:35S. Maksymiv1.736270I. Sukovatyi2.001111113LSep 9 · 19:05I. Sukovatyi1.807650B. Chaikovskyi1.911111113WSep 9 · 17:05A. Romanenko2.20991181I. Sukovatyi1.6111118113
O. Pohonov10
WSep 12 · 22:45B. Chaikovskyi1.4411391192O. Pohonov2.63911112113LSep 12 · 21:15A. Romanenko2.63891111113O. Pohonov1.4411114872WSep 12 · 20:15R. Konkulovskyi2.201051291O. Pohonov1.61121110113WSep 10 · 11:35A. Romanenko2.258780O. Pohonov1.571111113WSep 10 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.4011115133I. Sukovatyi2.759911111LSep 10 · 08:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5791111113O. Pohonov2.25118531LSep 10 · 06:05S. Maksymiv1.331111113O. Pohonov3.256550LSep 10 · 05:05V. Zharskiy1.731111113O. Pohonov2.009840LSep 9 · 18:35O. Pohonov3.003940S. Maksymiv1.361111113LSep 9 · 16:35V. Zharskiy1.9111811113O. Pohonov1.80911671
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.