TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117613
Played Sep 12Finished
Andrii Romanenko
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811911114118117
Oleksandr Pohonov
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:23 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Pohonov to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Romanenko above · Oleksandr Pohonov below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 91 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Pohonov at 65.7%
91 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Romanenko 20–42 Oleksandr Pohonov Andrii Romanenko has won 20 of their 62 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:23What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Pohonov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-42 in 62
Pohonov
Wrong
gap of 22 in 62, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Romanenko 1695 vs Pohonov 1750
Pohonov
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Romanenko 40% vs Pohonov 60%
Pohonov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Romanenko 50% vs Pohonov 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Romanenko -1 · Pohonov +3
Pohonov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Pohonov)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRomanenko 2.63 / Pohonov 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Pohonov)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13117613
Romanenko2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 80 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back22% 25 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 66
Pohonov1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 192 of 342
Up 2–0, closes it93% 97 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it78% 141 of 182
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRomanenko2wins
AwayPohonov8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPohonov leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRomanenko50%2 of 4
AwayPohonov100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Romanenko4Pohonov6n = 10Pohonov took 6 of 10
S2Romanenko4Pohonov6n = 10Pohonov took 6 of 10
S3Romanenko1Pohonov9n = 10Pohonov took 9 of 10
S4Romanenko1Pohonov4n = 5Pohonov took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricRomanenkoPohonovR − PBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.637.0−4.4per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRomanenkoPohonovBasisWin rate · lifetime291 / 543 vs 266 / 51453.6%51.8%291 / 543 vs 266 / 514Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PohonovRomanenko 2.63/Pohonov 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Pohonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Romanenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 11:35A. Romanenko238780O. Pohonov331111113
LSep 9 · 14:35A. Romanenko34811691O. Pohonov3911611113
LSep 9 · 03:00A. Romanenko205960O. Pohonov331111113
LAug 30 · 22:15A. Romanenko2671180O. Pohonov351113113
LAug 29 · 23:45A. Romanenko31611771O. Pohonov3911611113
WAug 27 · 06:05A. Romanenko51111199113O. Pohonov4378111162
LAug 26 · 13:05A. Romanenko341176101O. Pohonov4171111123
LAug 26 · 03:00A. Romanenko204880O. Pohonov331111113
WAug 26 · 01:13A. Romanenko331111113O. Pohonov205780
LAug 19 · 14:05A. Romanenko541410911102O. Pohonov541212117123
A. Romanenko10
LSep 12 · 22:15A. Romanenko2.10611651I. Sukovatyi1.6711611113LSep 10 · 11:35A. Romanenko2.258780O. Pohonov1.571111113WSep 10 · 09:35V. Zharskiy2.63512981A. Romanenko1.44111011113LSep 10 · 07:35S. Maksymiv1.6191111123A. Romanenko2.201185101WSep 10 · 06:35A. Romanenko2.2011911113I. Sukovatyi1.61811491LSep 10 · 05:35B. Chaikovskyi1.5011711113A. Romanenko2.50611691WSep 9 · 18:05V. Zharskiy2.5010860A. Romanenko1.501211113LSep 9 · 17:05A. Romanenko2.20991181I. Sukovatyi1.6111118113WSep 9 · 16:05A. Romanenko2.251113113S. Maksymiv1.5781180LSep 9 · 14:35A. Romanenko2.50811691O. Pohonov1.5011611113
O. Pohonov10
WSep 12 · 20:15R. Konkulovskyi2.201051291O. Pohonov1.61121110113WSep 10 · 11:35A. Romanenko2.258780O. Pohonov1.571111113WSep 10 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.4011115133I. Sukovatyi2.759911111LSep 10 · 08:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5791111113O. Pohonov2.25118531LSep 10 · 06:05S. Maksymiv1.331111113O. Pohonov3.256550LSep 10 · 05:05V. Zharskiy1.731111113O. Pohonov2.009840LSep 9 · 18:35O. Pohonov3.003940S. Maksymiv1.361111113LSep 9 · 16:35V. Zharskiy1.9111811113O. Pohonov1.80911671LSep 9 · 15:35O. Pohonov2.38812111242B. Chaikovskyi1.531110131093WSep 9 · 14:35A. Romanenko2.50811691O. Pohonov1.5011611113
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