TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122788
Played Sep 13Finished
Ihor Sukovatyi
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012211116511––
Andrii Romanenko
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingIhor Sukovatyi above · Andrii Romanenko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 68 set 4, 5-11
68 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Sukovatyi 39–34 Andrii Romanenko Andrii Romanenko has won 34 of their 73 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Sukovatyi beat Romanenko 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Sukovatyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sukovatyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSukovatyi 1.67 / Romanenko 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Sukovatyi)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13122788
Sukovatyi1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 170 of 288
Up 2–0, closes it97% 92 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it82% 131 of 160
Romanenko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 74 of 190
Down 0–1, comes back21% 22 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSukovatyi7wins
AwayRomanenko3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSukovatyi leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSukovatyi100%7 of 7
AwayRomanenko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sukovatyi7Romanenko3n = 10Sukovatyi took 7 of 10
S2Sukovatyi5Romanenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Sukovatyi6Romanenko4n = 10Sukovatyi took 6 of 10
S4Sukovatyi7Romanenko2n = 9Sukovatyi took 7 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSukovatyiRomanenkoS − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.534.8+3.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSukovatyiRomanenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime271 / 498 vs 293 / 54754.4%53.6%271 / 498 vs 293 / 547Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SukovatyiSukovatyi 1.67/Romanenko 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Sukovatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Romanenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 22:15I. Sukovatyi3911611113A. Romanenko28611651
LSep 10 · 06:35I. Sukovatyi32811491A. Romanenko4211911113
WSep 9 · 17:05I. Sukovatyi4111118113A. Romanenko37991181
WAug 31 · 02:45I. Sukovatyi331111113A. Romanenko228950
WAug 29 · 20:45I. Sukovatyi47111011153A. Romanenko398126131
WAug 27 · 07:35I. Sukovatyi3911611113A. Romanenko33911761
WAug 26 · 14:05I. Sukovatyi4011711113A. Romanenko33811681
LAug 25 · 21:00I. Sukovatyi377111181A. Romanenko4111613113
WAug 23 · 02:45I. Sukovatyi3611113113A. Romanenko26461151
LAug 20 · 07:05I. Sukovatyi4147111182A. Romanenko47111168113
I. Sukovatyi10
LSep 13 · 24:15I. Sukovatyi2.756101361O. Pohonov1.40111211113WSep 12 · 23:15R. Konkulovskyi2.0011711442I. Sukovatyi1.73711611113WSep 12 · 22:15A. Romanenko2.10611651I. Sukovatyi1.6711611113LSep 12 · 20:45B. Chaikovskyi1.83411811113I. Sukovatyi1.8311911662LSep 10 · 11:05B. Chaikovskyi1.9111114113I. Sukovatyi1.80661171LSep 10 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.4011115133I. Sukovatyi2.759911111WSep 10 · 08:35V. Zharskiy2.638330I. Sukovatyi1.441111113LSep 10 · 06:35A. Romanenko2.2011911113I. Sukovatyi1.61811491WSep 10 · 04:35S. Maksymiv1.736270I. Sukovatyi2.001111113LSep 9 · 19:05I. Sukovatyi1.807650B. Chaikovskyi1.911111113
A. Romanenko10
WSep 13 · 24:45A. Romanenko1.531111113R. Konkulovskyi2.385790LSep 12 · 23:45A. Romanenko2.63128110B. Chaikovskyi1.441411133LSep 12 · 22:15A. Romanenko2.10611651I. Sukovatyi1.6711611113WSep 12 · 21:15A. Romanenko2.63891111113O. Pohonov1.4411114872LSep 10 · 11:35A. Romanenko2.258780O. Pohonov1.571111113WSep 10 · 09:35V. Zharskiy2.63512981A. Romanenko1.44111011113LSep 10 · 07:35S. Maksymiv1.6191111123A. Romanenko2.201185101WSep 10 · 06:35A. Romanenko2.2011911113I. Sukovatyi1.61811491LSep 10 · 05:35B. Chaikovskyi1.5011711113A. Romanenko2.50611691WSep 9 · 18:05V. Zharskiy2.5010860A. Romanenko1.501211113
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