TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117649
Played Sep 12Finished
Andrii Romanenko
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
12148111113––––
Bohdan Chaikovskyi
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:42 and never touched — 62.8% is still 62.8%
Graded at full timeBohdan Chaikovskyi to win
62.8%
62.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Romanenko above · Bohdan Chaikovskyi below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 69 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Bohdan Chaikovskyi at 62.8%
69 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Romanenko 21–44 Bohdan Chaikovskyi Andrii Romanenko has won 21 of their 65 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:42What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Chaikovskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-44 in 65
Chaikovskyi
Correct
gap of 23 in 65, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Romanenko 1694 vs Chaikovskyi 1784
Chaikovskyi
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Romanenko 40% vs Chaikovskyi 60%
Chaikovskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Romanenko 50% vs Chaikovskyi 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Romanenko -1 · Chaikovskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Chaikovskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRomanenko 2.63 / Chaikovskyi 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 69%
Edge (Chaikovskyi)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13117649
Romanenko2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 80 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back22% 25 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 66
Chaikovskyi1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 94 of 139
Up 2–0, closes it90% 35 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it82% 64 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRomanenko3wins
AwayChaikovskyi7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderChaikovskyi leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRomanenko75%3 of 4
AwayChaikovskyi100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Romanenko4Chaikovskyi6n = 10Chaikovskyi took 6 of 10
S2Romanenko5Chaikovskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Romanenko3Chaikovskyi7n = 10Chaikovskyi took 7 of 10
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricRomanenkoChaikovskyiR − CBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match30.333.4−3.1per matchSweeps35−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRomanenkoChaikovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime292 / 545 vs 391 / 75753.6%51.7%292 / 545 vs 391 / 757Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChaikovskyiRomanenko 2.63/Chaikovskyi 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Chaikovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Chaikovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 05:35A. Romanenko32611691B. Chaikovskyi4011711113
WSep 9 · 12:35A. Romanenko351111133B. Chaikovskyi2283110
LSep 8 · 23:00A. Romanenko55111498132B. Chaikovskyi567121111153
WAug 29 · 22:45A. Romanenko331111113B. Chaikovskyi199640
WAug 27 · 04:35A. Romanenko351113113B. Chaikovskyi2671180
LAug 22 · 21:15A. Romanenko259880B. Chaikovskyi331111113
LAug 20 · 09:38A. Romanenko2461080B. Chaikovskyi341112113
LAug 20 · 05:05A. Romanenko2410590B. Chaikovskyi341211113
LAug 19 · 19:05A. Romanenko1731040B. Chaikovskyi341112113
LAug 18 · 21:00A. Romanenko2312470B. Chaikovskyi361411113
A. Romanenko10
LSep 12 · 22:15A. Romanenko2.10611651I. Sukovatyi1.6711611113WSep 12 · 21:15A. Romanenko2.63891111113O. Pohonov1.4411114872LSep 10 · 11:35A. Romanenko2.258780O. Pohonov1.571111113WSep 10 · 09:35V. Zharskiy2.63512981A. Romanenko1.44111011113LSep 10 · 07:35S. Maksymiv1.6191111123A. Romanenko2.201185101WSep 10 · 06:35A. Romanenko2.2011911113I. Sukovatyi1.61811491LSep 10 · 05:35B. Chaikovskyi1.5011711113A. Romanenko2.50611691WSep 9 · 18:05V. Zharskiy2.5010860A. Romanenko1.501211113LSep 9 · 17:05A. Romanenko2.20991181I. Sukovatyi1.6111118113WSep 9 · 16:05A. Romanenko2.251113113S. Maksymiv1.5781180
B. Chaikovskyi10
LSep 12 · 22:45B. Chaikovskyi1.4411391192O. Pohonov2.63911112113WSep 12 · 21:45R. Konkulovskyi1.5713980B. Chaikovskyi2.251511113WSep 12 · 20:45B. Chaikovskyi1.83411811113I. Sukovatyi1.8311911662WSep 10 · 11:05B. Chaikovskyi1.9111114113I. Sukovatyi1.80661171LSep 10 · 09:05S. Maksymiv1.73118711113B. Chaikovskyi2.0071111282WSep 10 · 08:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5791111113O. Pohonov2.25118531LSep 10 · 07:05V. Zharskiy1.611111113B. Chaikovskyi2.206460WSep 10 · 05:35B. Chaikovskyi1.5011711113A. Romanenko2.50611691WSep 9 · 19:05I. Sukovatyi1.807650B. Chaikovskyi1.911111113LSep 9 · 17:35B. Chaikovskyi2.1011101151S. Maksymiv1.6713128113
Upcoming Matches
A. Romanenko
B. Chaikovskyi
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