TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126396
Played Sep 14Finished
Yurii Parahailo
Home
4.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
311141210121181311
Maksym Khomenko
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:32 and never touched — 82.9% is still 82.9%
Graded at full timeMaksym Khomenko to win
82.9%
82.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYurii Parahailo above · Maksym Khomenko below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 105 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Maksym Khomenko at 82.9%
105 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Parahailo 13–66 Maksym Khomenko Yurii Parahailo has won 13 of their 79 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:32What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Khomenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-66 in 79
Khomenko
Wrong
gap of 53 in 79, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Parahailo 1543 vs Khomenko 1738
Khomenko
Wrong
both rated, 195 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Parahailo 20% vs Khomenko 80%
Khomenko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Parahailo 30% vs Khomenko 90%
Khomenko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Parahailo -1 · Khomenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Khomenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsParahailo 4.00 / Khomenko 1.22
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Khomenko)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13126396
Parahailo4.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog36% won 66 of 182
Down 0–1, comes back15% 14 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 61
Khomenko1.22
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite67% won 75 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it100% 45 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it87% 54 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeParahailo2wins
AwayKhomenko8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKhomenko leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeParahailo33.3%1 of 3
AwayKhomenko85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Parahailo3Khomenko7n = 10Khomenko took 7 of 10
S2Parahailo2Khomenko8n = 10Khomenko took 8 of 10
S3Parahailo1Khomenko9n = 10Khomenko took 9 of 10
S4Parahailo1Khomenko2n = 3Khomenko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricParahailoKhomenkoP − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match27.634.1−6.5per matchSweeps16−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricParahailoKhomenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime406 / 811 vs 472 / 85550.1%55.2%406 / 811 vs 472 / 855Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhomenkoParahailo 4.00/Khomenko 1.22
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
82.9%
Khomenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Parahailo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 19:05Y. Parahailo2771190M. Khomenko341113103
LSep 13 · 24:00Y. Parahailo185760M. Khomenko331111113
WAug 31 · 10:35Y. Parahailo331111113M. Khomenko164840
LAug 30 · 12:35Y. Parahailo381198101M. Khomenko3951111123
LAug 29 · 22:30Y. Parahailo26116541M. Khomenko4291111113
LAug 24 · 10:35Y. Parahailo197660M. Khomenko331111113
LAug 23 · 12:05Y. Parahailo185670M. Khomenko331111113
WAug 23 · 02:00Y. Parahailo43211811113M. Khomenko3811711362
LJul 26 · 02:00Y. Parahailo226880M. Khomenko331111113
LJul 18 · 22:30Y. Parahailo3216970M. Khomenko401811113
Y. Parahailo10
LSep 14 · 09:05Y. Parahailo1.5059111172V. Kovalchuk2.50111172113WSep 14 · 07:35Y. Parahailo2.001311113Y. Tebenko1.7311190LSep 14 · 06:05Y. Parahailo2.633870O. Rodin1.441111113LSep 14 · 04:35Y. Parahailo2.2512790Y. Vorsuliak1.571411113LSep 13 · 19:05Y. Parahailo3.7571190M. Khomenko1.251113103LSep 13 · 17:05Y. Kolos1.361111113Y. Parahailo3.006870LSep 13 · 15:05R. Novak1.831461110113Y. Parahailo1.83121191292LSep 13 · 14:05Y. Parahailo2.388980O. Rodin1.531111113WSep 13 · 13:05V. Kovalchuk2.50591181Y. Parahailo1.5011117113WSep 13 · 02:30V. Kovalchuk2.501110451Y. Parahailo1.5071211113
M. Khomenko10
WSep 14 · 09:35M. Khomenko1.40117118113Y. Tebenko2.7531181172LSep 14 · 08:35M. Khomenko2.50511811112Y. Vorsuliak1.50118119133WSep 14 · 07:05M. Khomenko1.73171111113V. Kovalchuk2.001513371WSep 14 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.80141198113O. Rodin1.91128111192WSep 13 · 19:05Y. Parahailo3.7571190M. Khomenko1.251113103WSep 13 · 17:35M. Khomenko1.8311118102O. Rodin1.836411101WSep 13 · 15:35V. Kovalchuk1.837860M. Khomenko1.83111193WSep 13 · 13:35R. Novak1.8091111882M. Khomenko1.91116711113WSep 13 · 12:35Y. Kolos4.0093110M. Khomenko1.221111133WSep 13 · 02:00Y. Tebenko2.503490M. Khomenko1.501111113
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