TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126185
Played Sep 14Finished
Maksym Khomenko
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
113711118811117
Yaroslav Tebenko
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:21 and never touched — 70.6% is still 70.6%
Graded at full timeMaksym Khomenko to win
70.6%
70.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Khomenko above · Yaroslav Tebenko below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 88 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Maksym Khomenko at 70.6%
88 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Khomenko 28–10 Yaroslav Tebenko Yaroslav Tebenko has won 10 of their 38 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:21What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Khomenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-10 in 38
Khomenko
Correct
gap of 18 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khomenko 1730 vs Tebenko 1624
Khomenko
Correct
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khomenko 80% vs Tebenko 40%
Khomenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khomenko 90% vs Tebenko 50%
Khomenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khomenko -1 · Tebenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Khomenko) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhomenko 1.40 / Tebenko 2.75
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Khomenko)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13126185
Khomenko1.40
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite67% won 75 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it100% 45 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it87% 54 of 62
Tebenko2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 120 of 253
Down 0–1, comes back31% 42 of 136
Down 0–2, comes back12% 9 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhomenko8wins
AwayTebenko2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKhomenko leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhomenko100%5 of 5
AwayTebenko40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khomenko5Tebenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Khomenko5Tebenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Khomenko6Tebenko4n = 10Khomenko took 6 of 10
S4Khomenko6Tebenko1n = 7Khomenko took 6 of 7
S5Khomenko3Tebenko0n = 3Khomenko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhomenkoTebenkoK − TBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.635.7+4.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhomenkoTebenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime471 / 854 vs 401 / 83155.2%48.3%471 / 854 vs 401 / 831Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhomenkoKhomenko 1.40/Tebenko 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.6%
Khomenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Khomenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 02:00M. Khomenko331111113Y. Tebenko163490
WSep 5 · 21:00M. Khomenko4312911113Y. Tebenko361011781
WAug 31 · 07:05M. Khomenko48711811113Y. Tebenko4811911892
LMar 27 · 23:45M. Khomenko2257100Y. Tebenko341111123
WFeb 15 · 03:30M. Khomenko4281211113Y. Tebenko361110781
WJan 17 · 23:30M. Khomenko331111113Y. Tebenko188550
LJan 16 · 15:25M. Khomenko30961141Y. Tebenko3811115113
WOct 15 · 07:05M. Khomenko51131111163Y. Tebenko431595141
WOct 14 · 24:30M. Khomenko531181111123Y. Tebenko47911134102
WOct 8 · 07:05M. Khomenko51119911113Y. Tebenko4171111752
M. Khomenko10
LSep 14 · 08:35M. Khomenko2.50511811112Y. Vorsuliak1.50118119133WSep 14 · 07:05M. Khomenko1.73171111113V. Kovalchuk2.001513371WSep 14 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.80141198113O. Rodin1.91128111192WSep 13 · 19:05Y. Parahailo3.7571190M. Khomenko1.251113103WSep 13 · 17:35M. Khomenko1.8311118102O. Rodin1.836411101WSep 13 · 15:35V. Kovalchuk1.837860M. Khomenko1.83111193WSep 13 · 13:35R. Novak1.8091111882M. Khomenko1.91116711113WSep 13 · 12:35Y. Kolos4.0093110M. Khomenko1.221111133WSep 13 · 02:00Y. Tebenko2.503490M. Khomenko1.501111113WSep 13 · 01:00M. Khomenko2.001111113R. Novak1.739570
Y. Tebenko10
LSep 14 · 07:35Y. Parahailo2.001311113Y. Tebenko1.7311190LSep 14 · 06:35Y. Tebenko2.209149101Y. Vorsuliak1.61111211123WSep 14 · 05:35V. Kovalchuk1.67135641Y. Tebenko2.10111111113LSep 13 · 02:00Y. Tebenko2.503490M. Khomenko1.501111113WSep 13 · 24:30Y. Tebenko2.20261111113V. Kovalchuk1.6111115872WSep 12 · 23:00Y. Tebenko2.10151111113R. Novak1.671313771LSep 12 · 21:30Y. Tebenko2.508830O. Rodin1.501111113WSep 12 · 20:00Y. Tebenko1.831111113Y. Parahailo1.837470LSep 12 · 02:15M. Potapov1.80821111113Y. Tebenko1.9111118992WSep 12 · 01:15Y. Tebenko2.2081111113R. Novak1.61114661
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