TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148392
Played Sep 18Finished
Iurii Hrekh
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1198111181311––
Maksym Khomenko
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:34 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeMaksym Khomenko to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIurii Hrekh above · Maksym Khomenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 82 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Maksym Khomenko at 58.6%
82 points played in total.
H2H Iurii Hrekh 1–1 Maksym Khomenko Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:34What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hrekh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hrekh 1704 vs Khomenko 1679
Hrekh
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrekh 60% vs Khomenko 40%
Hrekh
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrekh 40% vs Khomenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrekh +3 · Khomenko +1
Hrekh
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hrekh) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khomenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrekh 1.80 / Khomenko 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hrekh)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13148392
Hrekh1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 156 of 268
Up 2–0, closes it98% 94 of 96
Up 1–0, closes it80% 124 of 156
Khomenko1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 68 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back30% 29 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back14% 9 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHrekh1wins
AwayKhomenko1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricHrekhKhomenkoH − KBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match34.039.0−5.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrekhKhomenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime284 / 544 vs 466 / 84252.2%55.3%284 / 544 vs 466 / 842Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrekhHrekh 1.80/Khomenko 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hrekh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hrekh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 18 · 07:35I. Hrekh4311811133M. Khomenko399118111
LSep 6 · 18:05I. Hrekh2515730M. Khomenko391711113
I. Hrekh10
WSep 18 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.6761113113V. Slozka2.101111171WSep 18 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.531111113Y. Vorsuliak2.385520WSep 17 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.101111113A. Romanenko1.677460LSep 17 · 09:05I. Hrekh2.20811981G. Kuzmenko1.6111611113LSep 17 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.671011481B. Chaikovskyi2.1012511113LSep 17 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.731110961O. Pohonov2.0081211113LSep 17 · 04:35I. Hrekh2.3813118952I. Sukovatyi1.531171111113LSep 16 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.53931191B. Chaikovskyi2.3811119113LSep 16 · 16:35I. Hrekh2.209630I. Sukovatyi1.611111113WSep 16 · 15:05I. Hrekh2.2571111113G. Kuzmenko1.57116891
M. Khomenko10
WSep 18 · 06:35M. Khomenko2.501081111113Y. Vorsuliak1.5012115682LSep 18 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi1.6771111113M. Khomenko2.10115281WSep 17 · 18:05M. Khomenko1.73101113113M. Loboda2.001251121LSep 17 · 16:35M. Khomenko2.6351191192D. Shchegelskyi1.44114113113LSep 17 · 15:05M. Khomenko1.8389111142O. Rodin1.83111154113LSep 17 · 13:35M. Khomenko2.3876110Y. Vorsuliak1.531111133WSep 17 · 12:05M. Khomenko1.531111113V. Slozka2.389770LSep 14 · 10:35Y. Parahailo4.003141011133M. Khomenko1.221112128112WSep 14 · 09:35M. Khomenko1.40117118113Y. Tebenko2.7531181172LSep 14 · 08:35M. Khomenko2.50511811112Y. Vorsuliak1.50118119133
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