TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136709
Played Sep 16Finished
Iurii Hrekh
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711116118119––
Gregory Kuzmenko
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:27 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeGregory Kuzmenko to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIurii Hrekh above · Gregory Kuzmenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 74 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Gregory Kuzmenko at 55.7%
74 points played in total.
H2H Iurii Hrekh 10–23 Gregory Kuzmenko Iurii Hrekh has won 10 of their 33 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:27What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kuzmenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-23 in 33
Kuzmenko
Wrong
gap of 13 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrekh 1710 vs Kuzmenko 1827
Kuzmenko
Wrong
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrekh 60% vs Kuzmenko 80%
Kuzmenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrekh 60% vs Kuzmenko 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrekh -1 · Kuzmenko +4
Kuzmenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kuzmenko) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrekh 2.25 / Kuzmenko 1.57
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Kuzmenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13136709
Hrekh2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 82 of 180
Down 0–1, comes back20% 19 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 53
Kuzmenko1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 64 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it81% 46 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrekh4wins
AwayKuzmenko6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKuzmenko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrekh57.1%4 of 7
AwayKuzmenko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrekh7Kuzmenko3n = 10Hrekh took 7 of 10
S2Hrekh5Kuzmenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Hrekh5Kuzmenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Hrekh1Kuzmenko4n = 5Kuzmenko took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrekhKuzmenkoH − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match34.833.5+1.3per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrekhKuzmenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime278 / 534 vs 281 / 55952.1%50.3%278 / 534 vs 281 / 559Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmenkoHrekh 2.25/Kuzmenko 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.9%
Kuzmenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hrekh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 02:00I. Hrekh331111113G. Kuzmenko207850
WAug 21 · 09:05I. Hrekh43111011113G. Kuzmenko33612781
LAug 14 · 09:05I. Hrekh4011311872G. Kuzmenko46811511113
WAug 13 · 16:35I. Hrekh331111113G. Kuzmenko194960
LAug 13 · 24:00I. Hrekh216780G. Kuzmenko331111113
LJul 24 · 09:05I. Hrekh313117101G. Kuzmenko4111711123
LJul 23 · 16:35I. Hrekh4411118952G. Kuzmenko44381111113
WJul 22 · 22:30I. Hrekh331111113G. Kuzmenko103160
LJul 17 · 06:05I. Hrekh32107150G. Kuzmenko401211173
LJul 16 · 16:35I. Hrekh38187851G. Kuzmenko49161111113
I. Hrekh10
LSep 16 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.83712100A. Romanenko1.831114123WSep 16 · 12:05I. Hrekh1.8011118113O. Pohonov1.91691171WSep 15 · 02:15I. Hrekh1.831111113R. Konkulovskyi1.835870WSep 15 · 24:45I. Hrekh1.5312114113D. Shchegelskyi2.381081171LSep 14 · 23:15I. Hrekh1.80512491O. Pohonov1.91111011113WSep 14 · 21:45I. Hrekh1.731211113V. Krokhmal2.0010590LSep 13 · 20:14I. Hrekh2.006950M. Loboda1.731111113WSep 11 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.1011911113M. Loboda1.67511561LSep 11 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.44711631D. Shchegelskyi2.6311911113WSep 11 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.67111178113V. Slozka2.1087111162
G. Kuzmenko10
WSep 16 · 14:05G. Kuzmenko1.441111113O. Pohonov2.634660WSep 16 · 13:05I. Sukovatyi1.61791181G. Kuzmenko2.2011115113WSep 16 · 02:00G. Kuzmenko1.671111113R. Konkulovskyi2.109540WSep 16 · 24:30G. Kuzmenko2.631111113B. Chaikovskyi1.447970LSep 15 · 23:00G. Kuzmenko2.10128111162I. Sukovatyi1.67141147113WSep 15 · 21:30G. Kuzmenko3.001111123A. Romanenko1.3648100WSep 15 · 20:00G. Kuzmenko1.6111812123V. Krokhmal2.2091110101LSep 8 · 02:00I. Hrekh2.251111113G. Kuzmenko1.577850WSep 8 · 01:00G. Kuzmenko1.671111123V. Slozka2.1079100LSep 8 · 24:00G. Kuzmenko2.206111081M. Loboda1.6111912113
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