TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136754
Played Sep 16Finished
Ihor Sukovatyi
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711911115811––
Gregory Kuzmenko
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:26 and never touched — 54.6% is still 54.6%
Graded at full timeIhor Sukovatyi to win
54.6%
54.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIhor Sukovatyi above · Gregory Kuzmenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 73 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Ihor Sukovatyi at 54.6%
73 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Sukovatyi 13–4 Gregory Kuzmenko Gregory Kuzmenko has won 4 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:26What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sukovatyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-4 in 17
Sukovatyi
Wrong
gap of 9 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sukovatyi 1736 vs Kuzmenko 1807
Kuzmenko
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sukovatyi 100% vs Kuzmenko 80%
Sukovatyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sukovatyi 70% vs Kuzmenko 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sukovatyi +5 · Kuzmenko +2
Sukovatyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Sukovatyi) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSukovatyi 1.61 / Kuzmenko 2.20
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Sukovatyi)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13136754
Sukovatyi1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 174 of 293
Up 2–0, closes it97% 95 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it82% 134 of 163
Kuzmenko2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 60 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back26% 19 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSukovatyi6wins
AwayKuzmenko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSukovatyi leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSukovatyi66.7%4 of 6
AwayKuzmenko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sukovatyi6Kuzmenko4n = 10Sukovatyi took 6 of 10
S2Sukovatyi7Kuzmenko3n = 10Sukovatyi took 7 of 10
S3Sukovatyi3Kuzmenko7n = 10Kuzmenko took 7 of 10
S4Sukovatyi3Kuzmenko4n = 7Kuzmenko took 4 of 7
S5Sukovatyi2Kuzmenko1n = 3Sukovatyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSukovatyiKuzmenkoS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.635.0+2.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSukovatyiKuzmenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 504 vs 279 / 55754.8%50.1%276 / 504 vs 279 / 557Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SukovatyiSukovatyi 1.61/Kuzmenko 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.5%
Sukovatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kuzmenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 23:00I. Sukovatyi47141147113G. Kuzmenko48128111162
LSep 3 · 11:05I. Sukovatyi249870G. Kuzmenko331111113
WSep 2 · 18:35I. Sukovatyi3611113113G. Kuzmenko28931151
WAug 29 · 23:15I. Sukovatyi331111113G. Kuzmenko104240
LAug 27 · 05:35I. Sukovatyi169430G. Kuzmenko331111113
LAug 26 · 12:35I. Sukovatyi31119831G. Kuzmenko3961111113
LAug 22 · 20:15I. Sukovatyi58111118992G. Kuzmenko58882011113
WJun 10 · 20:00I. Sukovatyi48611118123G. Kuzmenko42113711102
WMar 29 · 21:45I. Sukovatyi4291111113G. Kuzmenko29114591
WMar 11 · 13:05I. Sukovatyi4111118113G. Kuzmenko30961141
I. Sukovatyi10
WSep 16 · 03:00I. Sukovatyi1.671111113A. Romanenko2.104860WSep 16 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi2.0091050I. Sukovatyi1.731112113WSep 15 · 23:00G. Kuzmenko2.10128111162I. Sukovatyi1.67141147113WSep 15 · 22:00I. Sukovatyi1.57211115113V. Krokhmal2.2511641192WSep 15 · 21:00B. Chaikovskyi1.838101271I. Sukovatyi1.83111210113LSep 13 · 01:14I. Sukovatyi1.671021151A. Romanenko2.1012116113LSep 13 · 24:15I. Sukovatyi2.756101361O. Pohonov1.40111211113WSep 12 · 23:15R. Konkulovskyi2.0011711442I. Sukovatyi1.73711611113WSep 12 · 22:15A. Romanenko2.10611651I. Sukovatyi1.6711611113LSep 12 · 20:45B. Chaikovskyi1.83411811113I. Sukovatyi1.8311911662
G. Kuzmenko10
WSep 16 · 14:05G. Kuzmenko1.441111113O. Pohonov2.634660WSep 16 · 02:00G. Kuzmenko1.671111113R. Konkulovskyi2.109540WSep 16 · 24:30G. Kuzmenko2.631111113B. Chaikovskyi1.447970LSep 15 · 23:00G. Kuzmenko2.10128111162I. Sukovatyi1.67141147113WSep 15 · 21:30G. Kuzmenko3.001111123A. Romanenko1.3648100WSep 15 · 20:00G. Kuzmenko1.6111812123V. Krokhmal2.2091110101LSep 8 · 02:00I. Hrekh2.251111113G. Kuzmenko1.577850WSep 8 · 01:00G. Kuzmenko1.671111123V. Slozka2.1079100LSep 8 · 24:00G. Kuzmenko2.206111081M. Loboda1.6111912113WSep 7 · 22:30G. Kuzmenko1.671210116113R. Konkulovskyi2.10101241172
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