TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131184
Played Sep 16Finished
Ihor Sukovatyi
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114118116––––
Andrii Romanenko
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:09 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeIhor Sukovatyi to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Sukovatyi above · Andrii Romanenko below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 51 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Ihor Sukovatyi at 56.2%
51 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Sukovatyi 39–35 Andrii Romanenko Andrii Romanenko has won 35 of their 74 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:09What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sukovatyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
39-35 in 74
Sukovatyi
Correct
gap of 4 in 74, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sukovatyi 1723 vs Romanenko 1701
Sukovatyi
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sukovatyi 80% vs Romanenko 60%
Sukovatyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sukovatyi 60% vs Romanenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sukovatyi +4 · Romanenko -1
Sukovatyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Sukovatyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Romanenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSukovatyi 1.67 / Romanenko 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Sukovatyi)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13131184
Sukovatyi1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 170 of 289
Up 2–0, closes it97% 92 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it82% 131 of 160
Romanenko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 72 of 188
Down 0–1, comes back21% 22 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSukovatyi7wins
AwayRomanenko3wins
Sukovatyi leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSukovatyi100%7 of 7
AwayRomanenko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sukovatyi7Romanenko3n = 10Sukovatyi took 7 of 10
S2Sukovatyi5Romanenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Sukovatyi6Romanenko4n = 10Sukovatyi took 6 of 10
S4Sukovatyi6Romanenko3n = 9Sukovatyi took 6 of 9
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSukovatyiRomanenkoS − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.234.1+3.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSukovatyiRomanenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime275 / 503 vs 296 / 55254.7%53.6%275 / 503 vs 296 / 552Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SukovatyiSukovatyi 1.67/Romanenko 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Sukovatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sukovatyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 01:14I. Sukovatyi281021151A. Romanenko4012116113
WSep 12 · 22:15I. Sukovatyi3911611113A. Romanenko28611651
LSep 10 · 06:35I. Sukovatyi32811491A. Romanenko4211911113
WSep 9 · 17:05I. Sukovatyi4111118113A. Romanenko37991181
WAug 31 · 02:45I. Sukovatyi331111113A. Romanenko228950
WAug 29 · 20:45I. Sukovatyi47111011153A. Romanenko398126131
WAug 27 · 07:35I. Sukovatyi3911611113A. Romanenko33911761
WAug 26 · 14:05I. Sukovatyi4011711113A. Romanenko33811681
LAug 25 · 21:00I. Sukovatyi377111181A. Romanenko4111613113
WAug 23 · 02:45I. Sukovatyi3611113113A. Romanenko26461151
I. Sukovatyi10
WSep 16 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi2.0091050I. Sukovatyi1.731112113WSep 15 · 23:00G. Kuzmenko2.10128111162I. Sukovatyi1.67141147113WSep 15 · 22:00I. Sukovatyi1.57211115113V. Krokhmal2.2511641192WSep 15 · 21:00B. Chaikovskyi1.838101271I. Sukovatyi1.83111210113LSep 13 · 01:14I. Sukovatyi1.671021151A. Romanenko2.1012116113LSep 13 · 24:15I. Sukovatyi2.756101361O. Pohonov1.40111211113WSep 12 · 23:15R. Konkulovskyi2.0011711442I. Sukovatyi1.73711611113WSep 12 · 22:15A. Romanenko2.10611651I. Sukovatyi1.6711611113LSep 12 · 20:45B. Chaikovskyi1.83411811113I. Sukovatyi1.8311911662LSep 10 · 11:05B. Chaikovskyi1.9111114113I. Sukovatyi1.80661171
A. Romanenko10
LSep 16 · 01:30A. Romanenko1.808611101V. Krokhmal1.9111118123WSep 15 · 23:30B. Chaikovskyi1.531181111102A. Romanenko2.38611713123LSep 15 · 21:30G. Kuzmenko3.001111123A. Romanenko1.3648100WSep 15 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi2.504511101A. Romanenko1.5011116123WSep 13 · 01:14I. Sukovatyi1.671021151A. Romanenko2.1012116113WSep 13 · 24:45A. Romanenko1.531111113R. Konkulovskyi2.385790LSep 12 · 23:45A. Romanenko2.63128110B. Chaikovskyi1.441411133LSep 12 · 22:15A. Romanenko2.10611651I. Sukovatyi1.6711611113WSep 12 · 21:15A. Romanenko2.63891111113O. Pohonov1.4411114872LSep 10 · 11:35A. Romanenko2.258780O. Pohonov1.571111113
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