TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131102
Played Sep 15Finished
Bohdan Chaikovskyi
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11681111711131012
Andrii Romanenko
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:49 and never touched — 64.8% is still 64.8%
Graded at full timeBohdan Chaikovskyi to win
64.8%
64.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingBohdan Chaikovskyi above · Andrii Romanenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 100 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Bohdan Chaikovskyi at 64.8%
100 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Chaikovskyi 45–21 Andrii Romanenko Andrii Romanenko has won 21 of their 66 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:49What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-21 in 66
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
gap of 24 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chaikovskyi 1772 vs Romanenko 1704
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chaikovskyi 40% vs Romanenko 60%
Romanenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chaikovskyi 60% vs Romanenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chaikovskyi -2 · Romanenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Chaikovskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Romanenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChaikovskyi 1.53 / Romanenko 2.38
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Chaikovskyi)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13131102
Chaikovskyi1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 88 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it89% 33 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it80% 60 of 75
Romanenko2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 72 of 188
Down 0–1, comes back21% 22 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChaikovskyi7wins
AwayRomanenko3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderChaikovskyi leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChaikovskyi100%6 of 6
AwayRomanenko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chaikovskyi6Romanenko4n = 10Chaikovskyi took 6 of 10
S2Chaikovskyi5Romanenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Chaikovskyi7Romanenko3n = 10Chaikovskyi took 7 of 10
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricChaikovskyiRomanenkoC − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match33.631.1+2.5per matchSweeps53+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChaikovskyiRomanenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 761 vs 295 / 55051.6%53.6%393 / 761 vs 295 / 550Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChaikovskyiChaikovskyi 1.53/Romanenko 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.8%
Chaikovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Romanenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 23:45B. Chaikovskyi381411133A. Romanenko31128110
WSep 10 · 05:35B. Chaikovskyi4011711113A. Romanenko32611691
LSep 9 · 12:35B. Chaikovskyi2283110A. Romanenko351111133
WSep 8 · 23:00B. Chaikovskyi567121111153A. Romanenko55111498132
LAug 29 · 22:45B. Chaikovskyi199640A. Romanenko331111113
LAug 27 · 04:35B. Chaikovskyi2671180A. Romanenko351113113
WAug 22 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi331111113A. Romanenko259880
WAug 20 · 09:38B. Chaikovskyi341112113A. Romanenko2461080
WAug 20 · 05:05B. Chaikovskyi341211113A. Romanenko2410590
WAug 19 · 19:05B. Chaikovskyi341112113A. Romanenko1731040
B. Chaikovskyi10
LSep 16 · 24:30G. Kuzmenko2.631111113B. Chaikovskyi1.447970LSep 15 · 22:30R. Konkulovskyi1.61119116133B. Chaikovskyi2.20511811112LSep 15 · 21:00B. Chaikovskyi1.838101271I. Sukovatyi1.83111210113WSep 13 · 01:43O. Pohonov2.3811421182B. Chaikovskyi1.53611114113WSep 12 · 23:45A. Romanenko2.63128110B. Chaikovskyi1.441411133LSep 12 · 22:45B. Chaikovskyi1.4411391192O. Pohonov2.63911112113WSep 12 · 21:45R. Konkulovskyi1.5713980B. Chaikovskyi2.251511113WSep 12 · 20:45B. Chaikovskyi1.83411811113I. Sukovatyi1.8311911662WSep 10 · 11:05B. Chaikovskyi1.9111114113I. Sukovatyi1.80661171LSep 10 · 09:05S. Maksymiv1.73118711113B. Chaikovskyi2.0071111282
A. Romanenko10
LSep 15 · 21:30G. Kuzmenko3.001111123A. Romanenko1.3648100WSep 15 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi2.504511101A. Romanenko1.5011116123WSep 13 · 01:14I. Sukovatyi1.671021151A. Romanenko2.1012116113WSep 13 · 24:45A. Romanenko1.531111113R. Konkulovskyi2.385790LSep 12 · 23:45A. Romanenko2.63128110B. Chaikovskyi1.441411133LSep 12 · 22:15A. Romanenko2.10611651I. Sukovatyi1.6711611113WSep 12 · 21:15A. Romanenko2.63891111113O. Pohonov1.4411114872LSep 10 · 11:35A. Romanenko2.258780O. Pohonov1.571111113WSep 10 · 09:35V. Zharskiy2.63512981A. Romanenko1.44111011113LSep 10 · 07:35S. Maksymiv1.6191111123A. Romanenko2.201185101
Upcoming Matches
B. Chaikovskyi
A. Romanenko
Sep 16 · 01:30A. Romanenko1.80V. Krokhmal1.91—Sep 16 · 03:00A. Romanenko2.10I. Sukovatyi1.67—Sep 16 · 12:35A. Romanenko2.38B. Chaikovskyi1.53—Sep 16 · 13:35A. Romanenko1.83I. Hrekh1.83—Sep 16 · 15:35A. Romanenko2.10I. Sukovatyi1.67—Sep 16 · 17:35A. Romanenko2.50O. Pohonov1.50—Sep 16 · 19:05A. Romanenko1.50G. Kuzmenko2.50—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.