TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13128543
Played Sep 14Finished
Iurii Hrekh
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5111210411911––
Oleksandr Pohonov
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Pohonov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIurii Hrekh above · Oleksandr Pohonov below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 73 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandr Pohonov at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Iurii Hrekh 12–10 Oleksandr Pohonov Oleksandr Pohonov has won 10 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:31What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hrekh
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-10 in 22
Hrekh
Wrong
gap of 2 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrekh 1704 vs Pohonov 1727
Pohonov
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrekh 60% vs Pohonov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrekh 40% vs Pohonov 60%
Pohonov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrekh +1 · Pohonov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hrekh) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrekh 1.80 / Pohonov 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hrekh)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13128543
Hrekh1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 161 of 273
Up 2–0, closes it98% 96 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it79% 128 of 162
Pohonov1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog32% won 37 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrekh7wins
AwayPohonov3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHrekh leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrekh71.4%5 of 7
AwayPohonov33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrekh7Pohonov3n = 10Hrekh took 7 of 10
S2Hrekh6Pohonov4n = 10Hrekh took 6 of 10
S3Hrekh5Pohonov5n = 10split evenly
S4Hrekh5Pohonov5n = 10split evenly
S5Hrekh2Pohonov1n = 3Hrekh took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrekhPohonovH − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.637.5+3.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrekhPohonovBasisWin rate · lifetime275 / 529 vs 269 / 52052%51.7%275 / 529 vs 269 / 520Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrekhHrekh 1.80/Pohonov 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hrekh · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pohonov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 23:15I. Hrekh521112108113O. Pohonov48610121192
LAug 23 · 21:45I. Hrekh29471171O. Pohonov4011117113
LAug 21 · 06:05I. Hrekh3811114572O. Pohonov44651111113
WAug 19 · 12:05I. Hrekh4011117113O. Pohonov27571141
WAug 16 · 23:15I. Hrekh44111111113O. Pohonov34713771
LAug 14 · 04:35I. Hrekh351375101O. Pohonov45111111123
WAug 13 · 12:05I. Hrekh491151111113O. Pohonov4581161372
WAug 13 · 01:30I. Hrekh4181111113O. Pohonov34117971
WAug 10 · 20:15I. Hrekh4011117113O. Pohonov29451191
WAug 9 · 23:15I. Hrekh3851111113O. Pohonov29118551
I. Hrekh10
WSep 14 · 21:45I. Hrekh1.731211113V. Krokhmal2.0010590LSep 13 · 20:14I. Hrekh2.006950M. Loboda1.731111113WSep 11 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.1011911113M. Loboda1.67511561LSep 11 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.44711631D. Shchegelskyi2.6311911113WSep 11 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.67111178113V. Slozka2.1087111162LSep 11 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.671168111V. Krokhmal2.1091111133LSep 11 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.447590Y. Vorsuliak2.631111113LSep 10 · 18:05I. Hrekh2.00612851M. Loboda1.73111011113WSep 10 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.4411211113D. Shchegelskyi2.63611691LSep 10 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.6761291162V. Slozka2.101110119113
O. Pohonov10
WSep 14 · 22:15O. Pohonov2.20111146113M. Loboda1.6199111192LSep 14 · 21:15D. Shchegelskyi2.381181111113O. Pohonov1.5381171392LSep 13 · 01:43O. Pohonov2.3811421182B. Chaikovskyi1.53611114113WSep 13 · 24:15I. Sukovatyi2.756101361O. Pohonov1.40111211113WSep 12 · 22:45B. Chaikovskyi1.4411391192O. Pohonov2.63911112113LSep 12 · 21:15A. Romanenko2.63891111113O. Pohonov1.4411114872WSep 12 · 20:15R. Konkulovskyi2.201051291O. Pohonov1.61121110113WSep 10 · 11:35A. Romanenko2.258780O. Pohonov1.571111113WSep 10 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.4011115133I. Sukovatyi2.759911111LSep 10 · 08:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5791111113O. Pohonov2.25118531
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