TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13143256
Played Sep 17Finished
Maksym Khomenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
10121151311112––
Myroslav Loboda
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:42 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeMaksym Khomenko to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Khomenko above · Myroslav Loboda below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 75 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Maksym Khomenko at 59.3%
75 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Khomenko 17–6 Myroslav Loboda Myroslav Loboda has won 6 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:42What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Khomenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-6 in 23
Khomenko
Correct
gap of 11 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khomenko 1687 vs Loboda 1669
Khomenko
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khomenko 20% vs Loboda 100%
Loboda
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khomenko 50% vs Loboda 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khomenko -3 · Loboda +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Khomenko) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Loboda form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhomenko 1.73 / Loboda 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Khomenko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13143256
Khomenko1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 78 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it100% 46 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it86% 57 of 66
Loboda2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog47% won 83 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back20% 17 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhomenko6wins
AwayLoboda4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKhomenko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhomenko50%2 of 4
AwayLoboda33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khomenko4Loboda6n = 10Loboda took 6 of 10
S2Khomenko6Loboda4n = 10Khomenko took 6 of 10
S3Khomenko5Loboda5n = 10split evenly
S4Khomenko5Loboda4n = 9Khomenko took 5 of 9
S5Khomenko3Loboda1n = 4Khomenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhomenkoLobodaK − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.336.4+1.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhomenkoLobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime468 / 845 vs 498 / 96055.4%51.9%468 / 845 vs 498 / 960Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhomenkoKhomenko 1.73/Loboda 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.3%
Khomenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Khomenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 16:05M. Khomenko26111143M. Loboda74210
WFeb 25 · 23:30M. Khomenko518101111113M. Loboda4311129832
WDec 19 · 10:05M. Khomenko48611911113M. Loboda4211511782
WDec 18 · 19:35M. Khomenko3521111113M. Loboda24112741
LDec 18 · 03:30M. Khomenko32116961M. Loboda4071111113
LDec 12 · 06:05M. Khomenko33581461M. Loboda45111112113
WDec 11 · 17:35M. Khomenko471211211113M. Loboda4214811452
LDec 10 · 22:00M. Khomenko331114351M. Loboda4461611113
LNov 21 · 12:05M. Khomenko4191111552M. Loboda48116911113
WNov 20 · 16:05M. Khomenko3711114113M. Loboda29811191
M. Khomenko10
LSep 17 · 16:35M. Khomenko2.6351191192D. Shchegelskyi1.44114113113LSep 17 · 15:05M. Khomenko1.8389111142O. Rodin1.83111154113LSep 17 · 13:35M. Khomenko2.3876110Y. Vorsuliak1.531111133WSep 17 · 12:05M. Khomenko1.531111113V. Slozka2.389770LSep 14 · 10:35Y. Parahailo4.003141011133M. Khomenko1.221112128112WSep 14 · 09:35M. Khomenko1.40117118113Y. Tebenko2.7531181172LSep 14 · 08:35M. Khomenko2.50511811112Y. Vorsuliak1.50118119133WSep 14 · 07:05M. Khomenko1.73171111113V. Kovalchuk2.001513371WSep 14 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.80141198113O. Rodin1.91128111192WSep 13 · 19:05Y. Parahailo3.7571190M. Khomenko1.251113103
M. Loboda10
WSep 17 · 17:05M. Loboda1.67111177123O. Rodin2.10551111102WSep 17 · 16:05M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.004830WSep 17 · 14:35M. Loboda1.61111111113D. Shchegelskyi2.20341381WSep 17 · 12:35M. Loboda1.4411311113Y. Vorsuliak2.63311691WSep 17 · 02:00O. Rodin1.91261131M. Loboda1.8011114113LSep 17 · 01:00M. Loboda1.44741371Y. Vorsuliak2.63111111113LSep 17 · 24:00M. Loboda1.83111166102V. Krokhmal1.83991111123LSep 16 · 22:30M. Loboda1.61711691D. Shchegelskyi2.2011211113LSep 16 · 20:30M. Loboda1.7312711562V. Slozka2.001011811113WSep 15 · 02:45D. Shchegelskyi2.2066111362M. Loboda1.611111911113
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