TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142799
Played Sep 17Finished
Myroslav Loboda
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1151157117111210
Oleksii Rodin
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:23 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeMyroslav Loboda to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMyroslav Loboda above · Oleksii Rodin below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 90 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Myroslav Loboda at 54.9%
90 points played in total.
H2H Myroslav Loboda 4–2 Oleksii Rodin Oleksii Rodin has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:23What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Loboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Loboda
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Loboda 1657 vs Rodin 1693
Rodin
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Loboda 80% vs Rodin 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Loboda 50% vs Rodin 70%
Rodin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Loboda +4 · Rodin +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Loboda) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rodin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLoboda 1.67 / Rodin 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Loboda)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13142799
Loboda1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite56% won 152 of 271
Up 2–0, closes it91% 91 of 100
Up 1–0, closes it74% 126 of 170
Rodin2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog51% won 30 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back23% 5 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeLoboda4wins
AwayRodin2wins
Loboda leads 4–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLoboda75%3 of 4
AwayRodinn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Loboda4Rodin2n = 6Loboda took 4 of 6
S2Loboda3Rodin3n = 6split evenly
S3Loboda2Rodin4n = 6Rodin took 4 of 6
S4Loboda4Rodin1n = 5Loboda took 4 of 5
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home467%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricLobodaRodinL − RBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match35.031.5+3.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLobodaRodinBasisWin rate · lifetime497 / 959 vs 190 / 31851.8%59.8%497 / 959 vs 190 / 318Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaLoboda 1.67/Rodin 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Loboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 17 · 02:00M. Loboda3711114113O. Rodin22261131
LSep 6 · 14:05M. Loboda33138571O. Rodin44111111113
WSep 3 · 17:05M. Loboda3821411113O. Rodin321112631
WAug 28 · 08:35M. Loboda4211911113O. Rodin27411481
WAug 27 · 16:05M. Loboda3911125113O. Rodin314101161
LAug 27 · 24:00M. Loboda216780O. Rodin331111113
M. Loboda10
LSep 17 · 18:05M. Khomenko1.73101113113M. Loboda2.001251121WSep 17 · 16:05M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.004830WSep 17 · 14:35M. Loboda1.61111111113D. Shchegelskyi2.20341381WSep 17 · 12:35M. Loboda1.4411311113Y. Vorsuliak2.63311691WSep 17 · 02:00O. Rodin1.91261131M. Loboda1.8011114113LSep 17 · 01:00M. Loboda1.44741371Y. Vorsuliak2.63111111113LSep 17 · 24:00M. Loboda1.83111166102V. Krokhmal1.83991111123LSep 16 · 22:30M. Loboda1.61711691D. Shchegelskyi2.2011211113LSep 16 · 20:30M. Loboda1.7312711562V. Slozka2.001011811113WSep 15 · 02:45D. Shchegelskyi2.2066111362M. Loboda1.611111911113
O. Rodin10
WSep 17 · 15:05M. Khomenko1.8389111142O. Rodin1.83111154113WSep 17 · 14:05O. Rodin1.831111133V. Slozka1.8395110WSep 17 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.83261191O. Rodin1.8311117113LSep 17 · 02:00O. Rodin1.91261131M. Loboda1.8011114113WSep 17 · 24:30O. Rodin2.00111011113D. Shchegelskyi1.73512871WSep 16 · 23:00O. Rodin1.9111911113Y. Vorsuliak1.80311831WSep 16 · 21:30O. Rodin2.201111113V. Slozka1.617790WSep 16 · 20:00O. Rodin2.00131111113V. Krokhmal1.73156771LSep 14 · 11:35Y. Tebenko3.0011125133O. Rodin1.3671011111LSep 14 · 10:05O. Rodin1.8381111172Y. Vorsuliak1.83111189113
Upcoming Matches
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O. Rodin
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