TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142837
Played Sep 17Finished
Myroslav Loboda
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1131141113118––
Dmytro Shchegelskyi
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:25 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeMyroslav Loboda to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMyroslav Loboda above · Dmytro Shchegelskyi below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 72 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Myroslav Loboda at 60.9%
72 points played in total.
H2H Myroslav Loboda 26–23 Dmytro Shchegelskyi Dmytro Shchegelskyi has won 23 of their 49 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:25What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Loboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-23 in 49
Loboda
Correct
gap of 3 in 49, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Loboda 1635 vs Shchegelskyi 1523
Loboda
Correct
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Loboda 40% vs Shchegelskyi 20%
Loboda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Loboda 40% vs Shchegelskyi 20%
Loboda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Loboda +2 · Shchegelskyi -4
Shchegelskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Loboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shchegelskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLoboda 1.61 / Shchegelskyi 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Loboda)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13142837
Loboda1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 152 of 271
Up 2–0, closes it91% 91 of 100
Up 1–0, closes it74% 126 of 170
Shchegelskyi2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 59 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back21% 22 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLoboda5wins
AwayShchegelskyi5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLoboda83.3%5 of 6
AwayShchegelskyi100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Loboda6Shchegelskyi4n = 10Loboda took 6 of 10
S2Loboda8Shchegelskyi2n = 10Loboda took 8 of 10
S3Loboda4Shchegelskyi6n = 10Shchegelskyi took 6 of 10
S4Loboda3Shchegelskyi5n = 8Shchegelskyi took 5 of 8
S5Loboda2Shchegelskyi3n = 5Shchegelskyi took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLobodaShchegelskyiL − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.638.8+1.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLobodaShchegelskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime495 / 957 vs 470 / 90651.7%51.9%495 / 957 vs 470 / 906Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaLoboda 1.61/Shchegelskyi 2.20
Hit
What we said
60.9%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Loboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 22:30M. Loboda33711691D. Shchegelskyi3511211113
WSep 15 · 02:45M. Loboda531111911113D. Shchegelskyi4266111362
LSep 11 · 07:05M. Loboda4181261142D. Shchegelskyi491110116113
WSep 10 · 14:35M. Loboda331111113D. Shchegelskyi197750
LSep 9 · 22:30M. Loboda4081111282D. Shchegelskyi50118911113
WSep 6 · 18:35M. Loboda331111113D. Shchegelskyi259970
LSep 4 · 07:05M. Loboda50111111892D. Shchegelskyi49591311113
LSep 3 · 14:35M. Loboda311011371D. Shchegelskyi4212811113
WSep 2 · 22:30M. Loboda551191211123D. Shchegelskyi45411146102
WAug 28 · 09:35M. Loboda3711411113D. Shchegelskyi32911391
M. Loboda10
WSep 17 · 16:05M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.004830WSep 17 · 12:35M. Loboda1.4411311113Y. Vorsuliak2.63311691WSep 17 · 02:00O. Rodin1.91261131M. Loboda1.8011114113LSep 17 · 01:00M. Loboda1.44741371Y. Vorsuliak2.63111111113LSep 17 · 24:00M. Loboda1.83111166102V. Krokhmal1.83991111123LSep 16 · 22:30M. Loboda1.61711691D. Shchegelskyi2.2011211113LSep 16 · 20:30M. Loboda1.7312711562V. Slozka2.001011811113WSep 15 · 02:45D. Shchegelskyi2.2066111362M. Loboda1.611111911113LSep 15 · 01:45V. Krokhmal1.835131014113M. Loboda1.831111121282WSep 15 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi1.445640M. Loboda2.631111113
D. Shchegelskyi10
WSep 17 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20121211113Y. Vorsuliak1.611410371LSep 17 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.83261191O. Rodin1.8311117113LSep 17 · 02:30D. Shchegelskyi2.251111118102V. Krokhmal1.57791311123LSep 17 · 24:30O. Rodin2.00111011113D. Shchegelskyi1.73512871LSep 16 · 23:30D. Shchegelskyi2.6361070V. Slozka1.441112113WSep 16 · 22:30M. Loboda1.61711691D. Shchegelskyi2.2011211113LSep 16 · 21:00D. Shchegelskyi2.2071311372Y. Vorsuliak1.611111711113LSep 15 · 02:45D. Shchegelskyi2.2066111362M. Loboda1.611111911113LSep 15 · 24:45I. Hrekh1.5312114113D. Shchegelskyi2.381081171WSep 14 · 23:45D. Shchegelskyi2.501114143V. Krokhmal1.50812120
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