TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13128889
Played Sep 15Finished
Dmytro Shchegelskyi
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6116111191311611
Myroslav Loboda
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:51 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeMyroslav Loboda to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Shchegelskyi above · Myroslav Loboda below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 95 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Myroslav Loboda at 60.9%
95 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Shchegelskyi 22–25 Myroslav Loboda Dmytro Shchegelskyi has won 22 of their 47 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 10:51What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Loboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-25 in 47
Loboda
Correct
gap of 3 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shchegelskyi 1557 vs Loboda 1673
Loboda
Correct
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shchegelskyi 40% vs Loboda 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shchegelskyi 50% vs Loboda 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shchegelskyi -1 · Loboda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Loboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Loboda form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShchegelskyi 2.20 / Loboda 1.61
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Loboda)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13128889
Shchegelskyi2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 57 of 157
Down 0–1, comes back21% 22 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 60
Loboda1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 153 of 274
Up 2–0, closes it91% 90 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it73% 127 of 173
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShchegelskyi5wins
AwayLoboda5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShchegelskyi100%4 of 4
AwayLoboda83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shchegelskyi4Loboda6n = 10Loboda took 6 of 10
S2Shchegelskyi2Loboda8n = 10Loboda took 8 of 10
S3Shchegelskyi5Loboda5n = 10split evenly
S4Shchegelskyi4Loboda3n = 7Shchegelskyi took 4 of 7
S5Shchegelskyi3Loboda1n = 4Shchegelskyi took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricShchegelskyiLobodaS − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.538.8−1.3per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShchegelskyiLobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime482 / 914 vs 492 / 95052.7%51.8%482 / 914 vs 492 / 950Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaShchegelskyi 2.20/Loboda 1.61
Hit
What we said
60.9%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Loboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 07:05D. Shchegelskyi491110116113M. Loboda4181261142
LSep 10 · 14:35D. Shchegelskyi197750M. Loboda331111113
WSep 9 · 22:30D. Shchegelskyi50118911113M. Loboda4081111282
LSep 6 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi259970M. Loboda331111113
WSep 4 · 07:05D. Shchegelskyi49591311113M. Loboda50111111892
WSep 3 · 14:35D. Shchegelskyi4212811113M. Loboda311011371
LSep 2 · 22:30D. Shchegelskyi45411146102M. Loboda551191211123
LAug 28 · 09:35D. Shchegelskyi32911391M. Loboda3711411113
WAug 27 · 14:35D. Shchegelskyi3911611113M. Loboda33911671
LAug 26 · 22:30D. Shchegelskyi2561180M. Loboda351113113
D. Shchegelskyi10
LSep 15 · 24:45I. Hrekh1.5312114113D. Shchegelskyi2.381081171WSep 14 · 23:45D. Shchegelskyi2.501114143V. Krokhmal1.50812120LSep 14 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi1.441111143D. Shchegelskyi2.6398120WSep 14 · 21:15D. Shchegelskyi2.381181111113O. Pohonov1.5381171392LSep 11 · 11:05D. Shchegelskyi2.107660Y. Vorsuliak1.671111113WSep 11 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.44711631D. Shchegelskyi2.6311911113WSep 11 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi2.75111110113V. Krokhmal1.40461291WSep 11 · 07:05M. Loboda1.5781261142D. Shchegelskyi2.251110116113LSep 11 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.5041280V. Slozka1.501114113LSep 10 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi3.258890V. Krokhmal1.331111113
M. Loboda10
LSep 15 · 01:45V. Krokhmal1.835131014113M. Loboda1.831111121282WSep 15 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi1.445640M. Loboda2.631111113LSep 14 · 22:15O. Pohonov2.20111146113M. Loboda1.6199111192WSep 13 · 20:14I. Hrekh2.006950M. Loboda1.731111113LSep 11 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.1011911113M. Loboda1.67511561WSep 11 · 09:35M. Loboda1.67111158123V. Slozka2.10961111102WSep 11 · 08:35M. Loboda1.4411114113Y. Vorsuliak2.63631191LSep 11 · 07:05M. Loboda1.5781261142D. Shchegelskyi2.251110116113LSep 11 · 05:05M. Loboda1.8311611382V. Krokhmal1.83511811113WSep 10 · 18:05I. Hrekh2.00612851M. Loboda1.73111011113
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