TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136802
Played Sep 16Finished
Myroslav Loboda
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711112611911––
Dmytro Shchegelskyi
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:16 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeMyroslav Loboda to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMyroslav Loboda above · Dmytro Shchegelskyi below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 68 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Myroslav Loboda at 60.9%
68 points played in total.
H2H Myroslav Loboda 26–22 Dmytro Shchegelskyi Dmytro Shchegelskyi has won 22 of their 48 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:16What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Loboda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-22 in 48
Loboda
Wrong
gap of 4 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Loboda 1669 vs Shchegelskyi 1542
Loboda
Wrong
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Loboda 40% vs Shchegelskyi 20%
Loboda
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Loboda 50% vs Shchegelskyi 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Loboda -1 · Shchegelskyi -3
Shchegelskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Loboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shchegelskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLoboda 1.61 / Shchegelskyi 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Loboda)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13136802
Loboda1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 153 of 270
Up 2–0, closes it91% 91 of 100
Up 1–0, closes it75% 127 of 170
Shchegelskyi2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 58 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back21% 22 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLoboda5wins
AwayShchegelskyi5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLoboda83.3%5 of 6
AwayShchegelskyi100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Loboda6Shchegelskyi4n = 10Loboda took 6 of 10
S2Loboda8Shchegelskyi2n = 10Loboda took 8 of 10
S3Loboda4Shchegelskyi6n = 10Shchegelskyi took 6 of 10
S4Loboda3Shchegelskyi5n = 8Shchegelskyi took 5 of 8
S5Loboda2Shchegelskyi3n = 5Shchegelskyi took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLobodaShchegelskyiL − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.639.2+1.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLobodaShchegelskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime493 / 952 vs 473 / 90651.8%52.2%493 / 952 vs 473 / 906Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaLoboda 1.61/Shchegelskyi 2.20
Miss
What we said
60.9%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Shchegelskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 02:45M. Loboda531111911113D. Shchegelskyi4266111362
LSep 11 · 07:05M. Loboda4181261142D. Shchegelskyi491110116113
WSep 10 · 14:35M. Loboda331111113D. Shchegelskyi197750
LSep 9 · 22:30M. Loboda4081111282D. Shchegelskyi50118911113
WSep 6 · 18:35M. Loboda331111113D. Shchegelskyi259970
LSep 4 · 07:05M. Loboda50111111892D. Shchegelskyi49591311113
LSep 3 · 14:35M. Loboda311011371D. Shchegelskyi4212811113
WSep 2 · 22:30M. Loboda551191211123D. Shchegelskyi45411146102
WAug 28 · 09:35M. Loboda3711411113D. Shchegelskyi32911391
LAug 27 · 14:35M. Loboda33911671D. Shchegelskyi3911611113
M. Loboda10
LSep 16 · 20:30M. Loboda1.7312711562V. Slozka2.001011811113WSep 15 · 02:45D. Shchegelskyi2.2066111362M. Loboda1.611111911113LSep 15 · 01:45V. Krokhmal1.835131014113M. Loboda1.831111121282WSep 15 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi1.445640M. Loboda2.631111113LSep 14 · 22:15O. Pohonov2.20111146113M. Loboda1.6199111192WSep 13 · 20:14I. Hrekh2.006950M. Loboda1.731111113LSep 11 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.1011911113M. Loboda1.67511561WSep 11 · 09:35M. Loboda1.67111158123V. Slozka2.10961111102WSep 11 · 08:35M. Loboda1.4411114113Y. Vorsuliak2.63631191LSep 11 · 07:05M. Loboda1.5781261142D. Shchegelskyi2.251110116113
D. Shchegelskyi10
LSep 16 · 21:00D. Shchegelskyi2.2071311372Y. Vorsuliak1.611111711113LSep 15 · 02:45D. Shchegelskyi2.2066111362M. Loboda1.611111911113LSep 15 · 24:45I. Hrekh1.5312114113D. Shchegelskyi2.381081171WSep 14 · 23:45D. Shchegelskyi2.501114143V. Krokhmal1.50812120LSep 14 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi1.441111143D. Shchegelskyi2.6398120WSep 14 · 21:15D. Shchegelskyi2.381181111113O. Pohonov1.5381171392LSep 11 · 11:05D. Shchegelskyi2.107660Y. Vorsuliak1.671111113WSep 11 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.44711631D. Shchegelskyi2.6311911113WSep 11 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi2.75111110113V. Krokhmal1.40461291WSep 11 · 07:05M. Loboda1.5781261142D. Shchegelskyi2.251110116113
Upcoming Matches
M. Loboda
Sep 17 · 24:00M. Loboda1.83V. Krokhmal1.83—Sep 17 · 01:00M. Loboda1.44Y. Vorsuliak2.63—Sep 17 · 02:00M. Loboda1.73O. Rodin2.00—Sep 17 · 12:35M. Loboda1.44Y. Vorsuliak2.63—Sep 17 · 14:35M. Loboda1.61D. Shchegelskyi2.20—Sep 17 · 16:05M. Loboda1.73V. Slozka2.00—Sep 17 · 17:05M. Loboda1.80O. Rodin1.91—Sep 17 · 18:05M. Loboda2.20M. Khomenko1.61—
D. Shchegelskyi
Sep 17 · 24:30D. Shchegelskyi1.73O. Rodin2.00—Sep 17 · 02:30D. Shchegelskyi2.20V. Krokhmal1.61—Sep 17 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.73O. Rodin2.00—Sep 17 · 14:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20M. Loboda1.61—Sep 17 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20Y. Vorsuliak1.61—Sep 17 · 16:35D. Shchegelskyi1.67M. Khomenko2.10—Sep 17 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi2.63V. Slozka1.44—
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