TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136766
Played Sep 16Finished
Iurii Hrekh
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611311––––
Ihor Sukovatyi
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:20 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeIhor Sukovatyi to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIurii Hrekh above · Ihor Sukovatyi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 51 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Ihor Sukovatyi at 56.2%
51 points played in total.
H2H Iurii Hrekh 5–7 Ihor Sukovatyi Iurii Hrekh has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:20What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sukovatyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Sukovatyi
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrekh 1725 vs Sukovatyi 1739
Sukovatyi
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrekh 80% vs Sukovatyi 60%
Hrekh
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrekh 60% vs Sukovatyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrekh +1 · Sukovatyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Sukovatyi) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrekh form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrekh 2.20 / Sukovatyi 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Sukovatyi)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13136766
Hrekh2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 82 of 180
Down 0–1, comes back20% 19 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 53
Sukovatyi1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 174 of 293
Up 2–0, closes it97% 95 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it82% 134 of 163
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHrekh4wins
AwaySukovatyi6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSukovatyi leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrekh66.7%2 of 3
AwaySukovatyi71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrekh3Sukovatyi7n = 10Sukovatyi took 7 of 10
S2Hrekh4Sukovatyi6n = 10Sukovatyi took 6 of 10
S3Hrekh4Sukovatyi6n = 10Sukovatyi took 6 of 10
S4Hrekh1Sukovatyi4n = 5Sukovatyi took 4 of 5
S5Hrekh3Sukovatyi1n = 4Hrekh took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricHrekhSukovatyiH − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.438.4−3.0per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrekhSukovatyiBasisWin rate · lifetime279 / 535 vs 277 / 50752.2%54.6%279 / 535 vs 277 / 507Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SukovatyiHrekh 2.20/Sukovatyi 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Sukovatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sukovatyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 31 · 24:45I. Hrekh45311119113I. Sukovatyi4611891172
LAug 20 · 05:35I. Hrekh247980I. Sukovatyi331111113
LAug 19 · 16:35I. Hrekh227870I. Sukovatyi331111113
WAug 8 · 20:15I. Hrekh5511111210113I. Sukovatyi49913101252
WAug 6 · 06:05I. Hrekh49811118113I. Sukovatyi4011681142
LAug 5 · 13:35I. Hrekh2510870I. Sukovatyi341211113
WAug 4 · 20:00I. Hrekh361411113I. Sukovatyi2412750
LJul 13 · 24:45I. Hrekh321181031I. Sukovatyi4391112113
LJul 11 · 20:15I. Hrekh229940I. Sukovatyi331111113
LJun 11 · 24:00I. Hrekh44212711122I. Sukovatyi491110113143
I. Hrekh10
WSep 16 · 15:05I. Hrekh2.2571111113G. Kuzmenko1.57116891LSep 16 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.83712100A. Romanenko1.831114123WSep 16 · 12:05I. Hrekh1.8011118113O. Pohonov1.91691171WSep 15 · 02:15I. Hrekh1.831111113R. Konkulovskyi1.835870WSep 15 · 24:45I. Hrekh1.5312114113D. Shchegelskyi2.381081171LSep 14 · 23:15I. Hrekh1.80512491O. Pohonov1.91111011113WSep 14 · 21:45I. Hrekh1.731211113V. Krokhmal2.0010590LSep 13 · 20:14I. Hrekh2.006950M. Loboda1.731111113WSep 11 · 10:35I. Hrekh2.1011911113M. Loboda1.67511561LSep 11 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.44711631D. Shchegelskyi2.6311911113
I. Sukovatyi10
WSep 16 · 15:35I. Sukovatyi1.61115118113A. Romanenko2.2071171162LSep 16 · 14:35B. Chaikovskyi1.83911119103I. Sukovatyi1.8311581182LSep 16 · 13:05I. Sukovatyi1.61791181G. Kuzmenko2.2011115113WSep 16 · 03:00I. Sukovatyi1.671111113A. Romanenko2.104860WSep 16 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi2.0091050I. Sukovatyi1.731112113WSep 15 · 23:00G. Kuzmenko2.10128111162I. Sukovatyi1.67141147113WSep 15 · 22:00I. Sukovatyi1.57211115113V. Krokhmal2.2511641192WSep 15 · 21:00B. Chaikovskyi1.838101271I. Sukovatyi1.83111210113LSep 13 · 01:14I. Sukovatyi1.671021151A. Romanenko2.1012116113LSep 13 · 24:15I. Sukovatyi2.756101361O. Pohonov1.40111211113
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