TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136551
Played Sep 16Finished
Ihor Sukovatyi
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117511117811116
Andrii Romanenko
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:36 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeIhor Sukovatyi to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Sukovatyi above · Andrii Romanenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 88 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Ihor Sukovatyi at 56.2%
88 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Sukovatyi 40–35 Andrii Romanenko Andrii Romanenko has won 35 of their 75 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:36What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sukovatyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-35 in 75
Sukovatyi
Correct
gap of 5 in 75, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sukovatyi 1716 vs Romanenko 1715
Sukovatyi
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sukovatyi 60% vs Romanenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sukovatyi 60% vs Romanenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sukovatyi -2 · Romanenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Sukovatyi) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Romanenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSukovatyi 1.61 / Romanenko 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Sukovatyi)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13136551
Sukovatyi1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 174 of 293
Up 2–0, closes it97% 95 of 98
Up 1–0, closes it82% 134 of 163
Romanenko2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 73 of 189
Down 0–1, comes back21% 23 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSukovatyi7wins
AwayRomanenko3wins
Sukovatyi leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSukovatyi100%7 of 7
AwayRomanenko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sukovatyi7Romanenko3n = 10Sukovatyi took 7 of 10
S2Sukovatyi5Romanenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Sukovatyi7Romanenko3n = 10Sukovatyi took 7 of 10
S4Sukovatyi5Romanenko3n = 8Sukovatyi took 5 of 8
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSukovatyiRomanenkoS − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.933.3+3.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSukovatyiRomanenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 506 vs 298 / 55554.6%53.7%276 / 506 vs 298 / 555Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SukovatyiSukovatyi 1.61/Romanenko 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Sukovatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sukovatyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 03:00I. Sukovatyi331111113A. Romanenko184860
LSep 13 · 01:14I. Sukovatyi281021151A. Romanenko4012116113
WSep 12 · 22:15I. Sukovatyi3911611113A. Romanenko28611651
LSep 10 · 06:35I. Sukovatyi32811491A. Romanenko4211911113
WSep 9 · 17:05I. Sukovatyi4111118113A. Romanenko37991181
WAug 31 · 02:45I. Sukovatyi331111113A. Romanenko228950
WAug 29 · 20:45I. Sukovatyi47111011153A. Romanenko398126131
WAug 27 · 07:35I. Sukovatyi3911611113A. Romanenko33911761
WAug 26 · 14:05I. Sukovatyi4011711113A. Romanenko33811681
LAug 25 · 21:00I. Sukovatyi377111181A. Romanenko4111613113
I. Sukovatyi10
WSep 16 · 16:35I. Hrekh2.209630I. Sukovatyi1.611111113LSep 16 · 14:35B. Chaikovskyi1.83911119103I. Sukovatyi1.8311581182LSep 16 · 13:05I. Sukovatyi1.61791181G. Kuzmenko2.2011115113WSep 16 · 03:00I. Sukovatyi1.671111113A. Romanenko2.104860WSep 16 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi2.0091050I. Sukovatyi1.731112113WSep 15 · 23:00G. Kuzmenko2.10128111162I. Sukovatyi1.67141147113WSep 15 · 22:00I. Sukovatyi1.57211115113V. Krokhmal2.2511641192WSep 15 · 21:00B. Chaikovskyi1.838101271I. Sukovatyi1.83111210113LSep 13 · 01:14I. Sukovatyi1.671021151A. Romanenko2.1012116113LSep 13 · 24:15I. Sukovatyi2.756101361O. Pohonov1.40111211113
A. Romanenko10
WSep 16 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.83712100A. Romanenko1.831114123WSep 16 · 12:35B. Chaikovskyi1.5711661162A. Romanenko2.25811117113LSep 16 · 03:00I. Sukovatyi1.671111113A. Romanenko2.104860LSep 16 · 01:30A. Romanenko1.808611101V. Krokhmal1.9111118123WSep 15 · 23:30B. Chaikovskyi1.531181111102A. Romanenko2.38611713123LSep 15 · 21:30G. Kuzmenko3.001111123A. Romanenko1.3648100WSep 15 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi2.504511101A. Romanenko1.5011116123WSep 13 · 01:14I. Sukovatyi1.671021151A. Romanenko2.1012116113WSep 13 · 24:45A. Romanenko1.531111113R. Konkulovskyi2.385790LSep 12 · 23:45A. Romanenko2.63128110B. Chaikovskyi1.441411133
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