TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148592
Played Sep 18Finished
Myroslav Loboda
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
111310121171191311
Viktor Slozka
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:26 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMyroslav Loboda to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMyroslav Loboda above · Viktor Slozka below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 108 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Myroslav Loboda at 55.8%
108 points played in total.
H2H Myroslav Loboda 51–45 Viktor Slozka Viktor Slozka has won 45 of their 96 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 13h before this match
Loboda beat Slozka 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:26What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Loboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
51-45 in 96
Loboda
Correct
gap of 6 in 96, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Loboda 1658 vs Slozka 1652
Loboda
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Loboda 80% vs Slozka 40%
Loboda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Loboda 50% vs Slozka 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Loboda -1 · Slozka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Loboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Loboda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLoboda 1.67 / Slozka 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Loboda)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13148592
Loboda1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite56% won 152 of 271
Up 2–0, closes it91% 91 of 100
Up 1–0, closes it74% 126 of 170
Slozka2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 116 of 237
Down 0–1, comes back25% 30 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLoboda6wins
AwaySlozka4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLoboda leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLoboda83.3%5 of 6
AwaySlozka75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Loboda6Slozka4n = 10Loboda took 6 of 10
S2Loboda5Slozka5n = 10split evenly
S3Loboda8Slozka2n = 10Loboda took 8 of 10
S4Loboda2Slozka4n = 6Slozka took 4 of 6
S5Loboda2Slozka2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLobodaSlozkaL − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.135.1+2.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLobodaSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime498 / 961 vs 381 / 83851.8%45.5%498 / 961 vs 381 / 838Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LobodaLoboda 1.67/Slozka 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Loboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Loboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 16:05M. Loboda331111113V. Slozka154830
LSep 16 · 20:30M. Loboda4112711562V. Slozka511011811113
WSep 11 · 09:35M. Loboda47111158123V. Slozka47961111102
WSep 10 · 17:05M. Loboda331111113V. Slozka226970
LSep 9 · 20:30M. Loboda48109111172V. Slozka45121147113
LSep 7 · 22:00M. Loboda32681171V. Slozka3811115113
WSep 4 · 08:35M. Loboda331111113V. Slozka215880
WSep 2 · 20:30M. Loboda47119115113V. Slozka4681181182
LAug 30 · 20:45M. Loboda205960V. Slozka331111113
WAug 28 · 07:05M. Loboda3741111113V. Slozka33119671
M. Loboda10
LSep 17 · 18:05M. Khomenko1.73101113113M. Loboda2.001251121WSep 17 · 17:05M. Loboda1.67111177123O. Rodin2.10551111102WSep 17 · 16:05M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.004830WSep 17 · 14:35M. Loboda1.61111111113D. Shchegelskyi2.20341381WSep 17 · 12:35M. Loboda1.4411311113Y. Vorsuliak2.63311691WSep 17 · 02:00O. Rodin1.91261131M. Loboda1.8011114113LSep 17 · 01:00M. Loboda1.44741371Y. Vorsuliak2.63111111113LSep 17 · 24:00M. Loboda1.83111166102V. Krokhmal1.83991111123LSep 16 · 22:30M. Loboda1.61711691D. Shchegelskyi2.2011211113LSep 16 · 20:30M. Loboda1.7312711562V. Slozka2.001011811113
V. Slozka10
LSep 18 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.6761113113V. Slozka2.101111171WSep 17 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi3.0012106101V. Slozka1.36101211123WSep 17 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.3851070V. Slozka1.531112113LSep 17 · 16:05M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.004830LSep 17 · 14:05O. Rodin1.831111133V. Slozka1.8395110LSep 17 · 12:05M. Khomenko1.531111113V. Slozka2.389770LSep 17 · 03:00Y. Vorsuliak2.20711511113V. Slozka1.6111811652WSep 17 · 01:30V. Slozka1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.833690WSep 16 · 23:30D. Shchegelskyi2.6361070V. Slozka1.441112113WSep 16 · 20:30M. Loboda1.7312711562V. Slozka2.001011811113
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