TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142928
Played Sep 17Finished
Dmytro Shchegelskyi
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
121010126111012––
Viktor Slozka
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:43 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timeViktor Slozka to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Shchegelskyi above · Viktor Slozka below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 83 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Viktor Slozka at 68.9%
83 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Shchegelskyi 5–16 Viktor Slozka Dmytro Shchegelskyi has won 5 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:43What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Slozka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-16 in 21
Slozka
Correct
gap of 11 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shchegelskyi 1548 vs Slozka 1643
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shchegelskyi 40% vs Slozka 20%
Shchegelskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shchegelskyi 30% vs Slozka 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shchegelskyi +2 · Slozka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Slozka) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (20%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShchegelskyi 3.00 / Slozka 1.36
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Slozka)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13142928
Shchegelskyi3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 59 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back21% 22 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 63
Slozka1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 81 of 147
Up 2–0, closes it89% 41 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it71% 55 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShchegelskyi1wins
AwaySlozka9wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSlozka leads 9–1, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShchegelskyi25%1 of 4
AwaySlozka100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shchegelskyi4Slozka6n = 10Slozka took 6 of 10
S2Shchegelskyi4Slozka6n = 10Slozka took 6 of 10
S3Shchegelskyi2Slozka8n = 10Slozka took 8 of 10
S4Shchegelskyi4Slozka4n = 8split evenly
S5Shchegelskyi1Slozka5n = 6Slozka took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricShchegelskyiSlozkaShchegelskyi − SlozkaBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.446.1−8.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShchegelskyiSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime472 / 909 vs 380 / 83851.9%45.4%472 / 909 vs 380 / 838Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaShchegelskyi 3.00/Slozka 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.2%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 23:30D. Shchegelskyi2361070V. Slozka341112113
LSep 11 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2441280V. Slozka361114113
LSep 10 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi5015961192V. Slozka551311119113
LSep 9 · 23:30D. Shchegelskyi39131110052V. Slozka531181211113
LSep 4 · 11:05D. Shchegelskyi38121411102V. Slozka511011117123
WSep 2 · 23:30D. Shchegelskyi48111268113V. Slozka50910111192
LAug 28 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi368117101V. Slozka3911511123
LAug 27 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi4471181172V. Slozka50118119113
LAug 26 · 21:00D. Shchegelskyi31751361V. Slozka44111111113
LJun 28 · 02:45D. Shchegelskyi4175111172V. Slozka49111188113
D. Shchegelskyi10
WSep 17 · 16:35M. Khomenko2.6351191192D. Shchegelskyi1.44114113113WSep 17 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20121211113Y. Vorsuliak1.611410371LSep 17 · 14:35M. Loboda1.61111111113D. Shchegelskyi2.20341381LSep 17 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.83261191O. Rodin1.8311117113LSep 17 · 02:30D. Shchegelskyi2.251111118102V. Krokhmal1.57791311123LSep 17 · 24:30O. Rodin2.00111011113D. Shchegelskyi1.73512871LSep 16 · 23:30D. Shchegelskyi2.6361070V. Slozka1.441112113WSep 16 · 22:30M. Loboda1.61711691D. Shchegelskyi2.2011211113LSep 16 · 21:00D. Shchegelskyi2.2071311372Y. Vorsuliak1.611111711113LSep 15 · 02:45D. Shchegelskyi2.2066111362M. Loboda1.611111911113
V. Slozka10
WSep 17 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.3851070V. Slozka1.531112113LSep 17 · 16:05M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.004830LSep 17 · 14:05O. Rodin1.831111133V. Slozka1.8395110LSep 17 · 12:05M. Khomenko1.531111113V. Slozka2.389770LSep 17 · 03:00Y. Vorsuliak2.20711511113V. Slozka1.6111811652WSep 17 · 01:30V. Slozka1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.833690WSep 16 · 23:30D. Shchegelskyi2.6361070V. Slozka1.441112113LSep 16 · 21:30O. Rodin2.201111113V. Slozka1.617790WSep 16 · 20:30M. Loboda1.7312711562V. Slozka2.001011811113LSep 11 · 11:35V. Slozka1.839148101V. Krokhmal1.83111211123
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