TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142863
Played Sep 17Finished
Yaroslav Vorsuliak
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111012711––––
Viktor Slozka
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:45 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeViktor Slozka to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYaroslav Vorsuliak above · Viktor Slozka below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 56 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Viktor Slozka at 58.9%
56 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Vorsuliak 16–31 Viktor Slozka Yaroslav Vorsuliak has won 16 of their 47 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:45What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Slozka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-31 in 47
Slozka
Correct
gap of 15 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vorsuliak 1665 vs Slozka 1628
Vorsuliak
Wrong
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorsuliak 60% vs Slozka 20%
Vorsuliak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorsuliak 60% vs Slozka 30%
Vorsuliak
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorsuliak -1 · Slozka -4
Slozka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Slozka) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorsuliak 2.38 / Slozka 1.53
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Slozka)-1.0pp
Setka Cup · #13142863
Vorsuliak2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 71 of 173
Down 0–1, comes back22% 22 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 58
Slozka1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 81 of 147
Up 2–0, closes it89% 41 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it71% 55 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorsuliak5wins
AwaySlozka5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorsuliak100%3 of 3
AwaySlozka71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorsuliak3Slozka7n = 10Slozka took 7 of 10
S2Vorsuliak6Slozka4n = 10Vorsuliak took 6 of 10
S3Vorsuliak3Slozka7n = 10Slozka took 7 of 10
S4Vorsuliak5Slozka1n = 6Vorsuliak took 5 of 6
S5Vorsuliak2Slozka2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorsuliakSlozkaV − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.638.2−2.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorsuliakSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime447 / 885 vs 380 / 83850.5%45.4%447 / 885 vs 380 / 838Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaVorsuliak 2.38/Slozka 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.8%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 03:00Y. Vorsuliak45711511113V. Slozka4111811652
LSep 11 · 06:35Y. Vorsuliak4691171182V. Slozka50118119113
WSep 10 · 19:05Y. Vorsuliak45611413113V. Slozka46115111182
WSep 10 · 03:00Y. Vorsuliak3411111113V. Slozka31811751
LSep 4 · 06:35Y. Vorsuliak50131312392V. Slozka5815111011113
LSep 3 · 01:30Y. Vorsuliak2046100V. Slozka341111123
LAug 28 · 08:05Y. Vorsuliak1961030V. Slozka341112113
LAug 27 · 19:05Y. Vorsuliak2458110V. Slozka351111133
WAug 27 · 03:00Y. Vorsuliak4011117113V. Slozka36971191
WJul 31 · 08:05Y. Vorsuliak331111113V. Slozka174850
Y. Vorsuliak10
WSep 17 · 19:05O. Rodin1.73118118102Y. Vorsuliak2.00211711123LSep 17 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20121211113Y. Vorsuliak1.611410371WSep 17 · 13:35M. Khomenko2.3876110Y. Vorsuliak1.531111133LSep 17 · 12:35M. Loboda1.4411311113Y. Vorsuliak2.63311691WSep 17 · 03:00Y. Vorsuliak2.20711511113V. Slozka1.6111811652WSep 17 · 01:00M. Loboda1.44741371Y. Vorsuliak2.63111111113LSep 16 · 23:00O. Rodin1.9111911113Y. Vorsuliak1.80311831LSep 16 · 22:00Y. Vorsuliak1.91811891V. Krokhmal1.8011911113WSep 16 · 21:00D. Shchegelskyi2.2071311372Y. Vorsuliak1.611111711113WSep 14 · 11:05V. Kovalchuk2.106470Y. Vorsuliak1.671111113
V. Slozka10
WSep 17 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi3.0012106101V. Slozka1.36101211123LSep 17 · 16:05M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.004830LSep 17 · 14:05O. Rodin1.831111133V. Slozka1.8395110LSep 17 · 12:05M. Khomenko1.531111113V. Slozka2.389770LSep 17 · 03:00Y. Vorsuliak2.20711511113V. Slozka1.6111811652WSep 17 · 01:30V. Slozka1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.833690WSep 16 · 23:30D. Shchegelskyi2.6361070V. Slozka1.441112113LSep 16 · 21:30O. Rodin2.201111113V. Slozka1.617790WSep 16 · 20:30M. Loboda1.7312711562V. Slozka2.001011811113LSep 11 · 11:35V. Slozka1.839148101V. Krokhmal1.83111211123
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