TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136614
Played Sep 16Finished
Yaroslav Vorsuliak
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811119811911––
Vitalii Krokhmal
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitalii Krokhmal to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYaroslav Vorsuliak above · Vitalii Krokhmal below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 78 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Vitalii Krokhmal at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Vorsuliak 6–13 Vitalii Krokhmal Yaroslav Vorsuliak has won 6 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:55What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Krokhmal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-13 in 19
Krokhmal
Correct
gap of 7 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vorsuliak 1672 vs Krokhmal 1606
Vorsuliak
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorsuliak 100% vs Krokhmal 20%
Vorsuliak
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorsuliak 70% vs Krokhmal 20%
Vorsuliak
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorsuliak +5 · Krokhmal -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krokhmal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorsuliak 1.91 / Krokhmal 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krokhmal)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13136614
Vorsuliak1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog40% won 69 of 174
Down 0–1, comes back21% 21 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 58
Krokhmal1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite48% won 51 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it78% 29 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorsuliak3wins
AwayKrokhmal7wins
7 of 10 to a deciderKrokhmal leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorsuliak40%2 of 5
AwayKrokhmal80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorsuliak5Krokhmal5n = 10split evenly
S2Vorsuliak3Krokhmal7n = 10Krokhmal took 7 of 10
S3Vorsuliak6Krokhmal4n = 10Vorsuliak took 6 of 10
S4Vorsuliak4Krokhmal5n = 9Krokhmal took 5 of 9
S5Vorsuliak2Krokhmal5n = 7Krokhmal took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorsuliakKrokhmalV − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.244.9−0.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorsuliakKrokhmalBasisWin rate · lifetime447 / 883 vs 169 / 36950.6%45.8%447 / 883 vs 169 / 369Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrokhmalVorsuliak 1.91/Krokhmal 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Krokhmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krokhmal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 10:05Y. Vorsuliak401199111V. Krokhmal4161111133
LSep 10 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak46111151272V. Krokhmal541391110113
WSep 9 · 22:00Y. Vorsuliak531111812113V. Krokhmal44213111082
LJul 31 · 11:35Y. Vorsuliak46118111152V. Krokhmal47131148113
LJul 30 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2569100V. Krokhmal341111123
LJul 30 · 24:00Y. Vorsuliak4811811992V. Krokhmal49711911113
WJul 27 · 20:15Y. Vorsuliak4251115113V. Krokhmal421191391
LJul 24 · 10:05Y. Vorsuliak4571111792V. Krokhmal50118911113
LJul 23 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak4611911962V. Krokhmal46811511113
WJul 9 · 03:00Y. Vorsuliak51118129113V. Krokhmal42611101142
Y. Vorsuliak10
WSep 16 · 21:00D. Shchegelskyi2.2071311372Y. Vorsuliak1.611111711113WSep 14 · 11:05V. Kovalchuk2.106470Y. Vorsuliak1.671111113WSep 14 · 10:05O. Rodin1.8381111172Y. Vorsuliak1.83111189113WSep 14 · 08:35M. Khomenko2.50511811112Y. Vorsuliak1.50118119133WSep 14 · 06:35Y. Tebenko2.209149101Y. Vorsuliak1.61111211123WSep 14 · 04:35Y. Parahailo2.2512790Y. Vorsuliak1.571411113WSep 11 · 11:05D. Shchegelskyi2.107660Y. Vorsuliak1.671111113LSep 11 · 10:05V. Krokhmal1.8061111133Y. Vorsuliak1.911199111LSep 11 · 08:35M. Loboda1.4411114113Y. Vorsuliak2.63631191LSep 11 · 06:35V. Slozka1.61118119113Y. Vorsuliak2.2091171182
V. Krokhmal10
LSep 16 · 20:00O. Rodin2.00131111113V. Krokhmal1.73156771WSep 16 · 02:30B. Chaikovskyi1.4011411782V. Krokhmal2.75711811113WSep 16 · 01:30A. Romanenko1.808611101V. Krokhmal1.9111118123LSep 16 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi2.00811115113V. Krokhmal1.7311461152LSep 15 · 22:00I. Sukovatyi1.57211115113V. Krokhmal2.2511641192LSep 15 · 20:00G. Kuzmenko1.6111812123V. Krokhmal2.2091110101LSep 15 · 03:15O. Pohonov1.67111512113V. Krokhmal2.1013131041WSep 15 · 01:45V. Krokhmal1.835131014113M. Loboda1.831111121282LSep 14 · 23:45D. Shchegelskyi2.501114143V. Krokhmal1.50812120WSep 11 · 10:05V. Krokhmal1.8061111133Y. Vorsuliak1.911199111
Upcoming Matches
Y. Vorsuliak
Sep 17 · 01:00Y. Vorsuliak2.63M. Loboda1.44—Sep 17 · 03:00Y. Vorsuliak2.20V. Slozka1.61—Sep 17 · 12:35Y. Vorsuliak2.63M. Loboda1.44—Sep 17 · 13:35Y. Vorsuliak1.53M. Khomenko2.38—Sep 17 · 15:35Y. Vorsuliak1.61D. Shchegelskyi2.20—Sep 17 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.20V. Slozka1.61—Sep 17 · 19:05Y. Vorsuliak1.80O. Rodin1.91—
V. Krokhmal
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