TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126309
Played Sep 14Finished
Vladyslav Kovalchuk
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611411711––––
Yaroslav Vorsuliak
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Vorsuliak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladyslav Kovalchuk above · Yaroslav Vorsuliak below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 50 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Yaroslav Vorsuliak at 54.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Kovalchuk 33–45 Yaroslav Vorsuliak Vladyslav Kovalchuk has won 33 of their 78 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:12What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vorsuliak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
33-45 in 78
Vorsuliak
Correct
gap of 12 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kovalchuk 1483 vs Vorsuliak 1656
Vorsuliak
Correct
both rated, 173 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovalchuk 20% vs Vorsuliak 100%
Vorsuliak
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovalchuk 20% vs Vorsuliak 70%
Vorsuliak
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovalchuk +1 · Vorsuliak +5
Vorsuliak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vorsuliak) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorsuliak form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovalchuk 2.10 / Vorsuliak 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Vorsuliak)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13126309
Kovalchuk2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 98 of 224
Down 0–1, comes back23% 25 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 53
Vorsuliak1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 96 of 159
Up 2–0, closes it91% 41 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it80% 70 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKovalchuk3wins
AwayVorsuliak7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVorsuliak leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovalchuk40%2 of 5
AwayVorsuliak80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovalchuk5Vorsuliak5n = 10split evenly
S2Kovalchuk6Vorsuliak4n = 10Kovalchuk took 6 of 10
S3Kovalchuk2Vorsuliak8n = 10Vorsuliak took 8 of 10
S4Kovalchuk2Vorsuliak7n = 9Vorsuliak took 7 of 9
S5Kovalchuk2Vorsuliak1n = 3Kovalchuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKovalchukVorsuliakK − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.043.0−4.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovalchukVorsuliakBasisWin rate · lifetime373 / 786 vs 451 / 89047.5%50.7%373 / 786 vs 451 / 890Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorsuliakKovalchuk 2.10/Vorsuliak 1.67
Hit
What we said
59%
Vorsuliak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vorsuliak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 22 · 23:30V. Kovalchuk48711118113Y. Vorsuliak4811991182
LAug 17 · 05:35V. Kovalchuk38159681Y. Vorsuliak46131111113
WAug 16 · 01:38V. Kovalchuk47117711113Y. Vorsuliak4691111872
LAug 15 · 22:00V. Kovalchuk345111081Y. Vorsuliak4311912113
LJul 13 · 08:05V. Kovalchuk37912791Y. Vorsuliak43111011113
LJul 12 · 18:35V. Kovalchuk331110751Y. Vorsuliak4281211113
LJun 22 · 11:05V. Kovalchuk51811814102Y. Vorsuliak551191112123
WJun 21 · 13:05V. Kovalchuk341111123Y. Vorsuliak2055100
LJun 20 · 23:30V. Kovalchuk341185101Y. Vorsuliak4391111123
LJun 15 · 04:35V. Kovalchuk348114111Y. Vorsuliak4411911133
V. Kovalchuk10
WSep 14 · 09:05Y. Parahailo1.5059111172V. Kovalchuk2.50111172113LSep 14 · 08:05V. Kovalchuk2.6391111782O. Rodin1.44119911113LSep 14 · 07:05M. Khomenko1.73171111113V. Kovalchuk2.001513371LSep 14 · 05:35V. Kovalchuk1.67135641Y. Tebenko2.10111111113LSep 13 · 18:35V. Kovalchuk2.63471131O. Rodin1.4411119113WSep 13 · 16:35R. Novak1.53891191V. Kovalchuk2.3811114113LSep 13 · 15:35V. Kovalchuk1.837860M. Khomenko1.83111193LSep 13 · 14:35Y. Kolos1.83913814123V. Kovalchuk1.8311111112102LSep 13 · 13:05V. Kovalchuk2.50591181Y. Parahailo1.5011117113LSep 13 · 02:30V. Kovalchuk2.501110451Y. Parahailo1.5071211113
Y. Vorsuliak10
WSep 14 · 10:05O. Rodin1.8381111172Y. Vorsuliak1.83111189113WSep 14 · 08:35M. Khomenko2.50511811112Y. Vorsuliak1.50118119133WSep 14 · 06:35Y. Tebenko2.209149101Y. Vorsuliak1.61111211123WSep 14 · 04:35Y. Parahailo2.2512790Y. Vorsuliak1.571411113WSep 11 · 11:05D. Shchegelskyi2.107660Y. Vorsuliak1.671111113LSep 11 · 10:05V. Krokhmal1.8061111133Y. Vorsuliak1.911199111LSep 11 · 08:35M. Loboda1.4411114113Y. Vorsuliak2.63631191LSep 11 · 06:35V. Slozka1.61118119113Y. Vorsuliak2.2091171182WSep 11 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.447590Y. Vorsuliak2.631111113WSep 10 · 19:05V. Slozka1.57115111182Y. Vorsuliak2.25611413113
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