TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155822
Played Sep 20Finished
Maksym Khomenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9117111311117118
Ruslan Novak
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaksym Khomenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Khomenko above · Ruslan Novak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 99 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Maksym Khomenko at 54.0%
99 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Khomenko 29–29 Ruslan Novak Dead even across their 58 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:57What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Novak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-29 in 58
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khomenko 1624 vs Novak 1467
Khomenko
Correct
both rated, 158 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khomenko 20% vs Novak 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khomenko 30% vs Novak 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khomenko -2 · Novak -3
Novak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Khomenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novak form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhomenko 1.83 / Novak 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Khomenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13155822
Khomenko1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Novak1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhomenko6wins
AwayNovak4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKhomenko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhomenko75%3 of 4
AwayNovak50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khomenko4Novak6n = 10Novak took 6 of 10
S2Khomenko4Novak6n = 10Novak took 6 of 10
S3Khomenko6Novak4n = 10Khomenko took 6 of 10
S4Khomenko3Novak5n = 8Novak took 5 of 8
S5Khomenko4Novak0n = 4Khomenko took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhomenkoNovakK − NBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.640.7−4.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhomenkoNovakBasisWin rate · lifetime463 / 843 vs 260 / 50254.9%51.8%463 / 843 vs 260 / 502Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhomenkoKhomenko 1.83/Novak 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Khomenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Khomenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 01:00M. Khomenko51971311113R. Novak48111111782
WSep 13 · 13:35M. Khomenko46116711113R. Novak4791111882
WSep 13 · 01:00M. Khomenko331111113R. Novak219570
LAug 9 · 18:05M. Khomenko36561781R. Novak48111115113
LAug 9 · 01:00M. Khomenko25114461R. Novak4071111113
LAug 2 · 14:35M. Khomenko22531131R. Novak4211119113
WAug 1 · 22:30M. Khomenko559111311113R. Novak49117111372
WJul 26 · 01:00M. Khomenko3811124113R. Novak356101181
LJul 12 · 01:00M. Khomenko165650R. Novak331111113
WJul 5 · 17:05M. Khomenko44511116113R. Novak4411851192
M. Khomenko10
WSep 20 · 02:00Y. Tebenko2.635780M. Khomenko1.441111113LSep 20 · 24:00M. Khomenko2.10113891D. Shchegelskyi1.6751111113LSep 19 · 22:30M. Khomenko1.7371180V. Kovalchuk2.001113113WSep 19 · 20:30M. Khomenko1.251111113Y. Parahailo3.759780LSep 18 · 11:35M. Khomenko1.911156101V. Slozka1.8081111123LSep 18 · 09:35M. Loboda2.251111113M. Khomenko1.579670LSep 18 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.8011811133M. Khomenko1.919118111WSep 18 · 06:35M. Khomenko2.501081111113Y. Vorsuliak1.5012115682LSep 18 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi1.6771111113M. Khomenko2.10115281WSep 17 · 18:05M. Khomenko1.73101113113M. Loboda2.001251121
R. Novak10
LSep 19 · 23:00Y. Tebenko1.91111011113R. Novak1.80912971LSep 19 · 22:00R. Novak2.101211971D. Shchegelskyi1.6714111113LSep 19 · 21:00V. Kovalchuk2.381113123R. Novak1.53711100WSep 13 · 18:05R. Novak2.2581114113Y. Kolos1.571121291LSep 13 · 16:35R. Novak1.53891191V. Kovalchuk2.3811114113WSep 13 · 15:05R. Novak1.831461110113Y. Parahailo1.83121191292LSep 13 · 13:35R. Novak1.8091111882M. Khomenko1.91116711113LSep 13 · 12:05R. Novak2.636680O. Rodin1.441111113LSep 13 · 03:00R. Novak2.631178101O. Rodin1.4491111123LSep 13 · 01:00M. Khomenko2.001111113R. Novak1.739570
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.