TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155014
Played Sep 19Finished
Maksym Khomenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111113811––––
Vladyslav Kovalchuk
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:20 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeMaksym Khomenko to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaksym Khomenko above · Vladyslav Kovalchuk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 61 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Maksym Khomenko at 56.5%
61 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Khomenko 29–27 Vladyslav Kovalchuk Vladyslav Kovalchuk has won 27 of their 56 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:20What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Khomenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-27 in 56
Khomenko
Wrong
gap of 2 in 56, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khomenko 1665 vs Kovalchuk 1549
Khomenko
Wrong
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khomenko 40% vs Kovalchuk 80%
Kovalchuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khomenko 30% vs Kovalchuk 50%
Kovalchuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khomenko +1 · Kovalchuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Khomenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovalchuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhomenko 1.73 / Kovalchuk 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Khomenko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13155014
Khomenko1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite68% won 79 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it100% 47 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it86% 57 of 66
Kovalchuk2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 98 of 226
Down 0–1, comes back22% 24 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhomenko7wins
AwayKovalchuk3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKhomenko leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhomenko66.7%4 of 6
AwayKovalchuk25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khomenko6Kovalchuk4n = 10Khomenko took 6 of 10
S2Khomenko6Kovalchuk4n = 10Khomenko took 6 of 10
S3Khomenko3Kovalchuk6n = 9Kovalchuk took 6 of 9
S4Khomenko6Kovalchuk1n = 7Khomenko took 6 of 7
S5Khomenko3Kovalchuk2n = 5Khomenko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhomenkoKovalchukKhomenko − KovalchukBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.137.4+3.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhomenkoKovalchukBasisWin rate · lifetime462 / 840 vs 371 / 77155%48.1%462 / 840 vs 371 / 771Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhomenkoKhomenko 1.73/Kovalchuk 2.00
Miss
What we said
56.5%
Khomenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kovalchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 14 · 07:05M. Khomenko50171111113V. Kovalchuk381513371
WSep 12 · 22:30M. Khomenko47111186113V. Kovalchuk3956111162
WAug 24 · 07:05M. Khomenko351111133V. Kovalchuk2164110
WAug 23 · 13:35M. Khomenko506111012113V. Kovalchuk44118121032
LAug 22 · 22:30M. Khomenko2696110V. Kovalchuk351111133
LAug 17 · 08:05M. Khomenko3511171152V. Kovalchuk48811117113
WAug 16 · 24:30M. Khomenko4491211123V. Kovalchuk3311102101
WAug 10 · 07:05M. Khomenko44611511113V. Kovalchuk3311211452
LAug 9 · 14:35M. Khomenko3911581142V. Kovalchuk46911114113
M. Khomenko10
WSep 19 · 20:30M. Khomenko1.251111113Y. Parahailo3.759780LSep 18 · 11:35M. Khomenko1.911156101V. Slozka1.8081111123LSep 18 · 09:35M. Loboda2.251111113M. Khomenko1.579670LSep 18 · 07:35I. Hrekh1.8011811133M. Khomenko1.919118111WSep 18 · 06:35M. Khomenko2.501081111113Y. Vorsuliak1.5012115682LSep 18 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi1.6771111113M. Khomenko2.10115281WSep 17 · 18:05M. Khomenko1.73101113113M. Loboda2.001251121LSep 17 · 16:35M. Khomenko2.6351191192D. Shchegelskyi1.44114113113LSep 17 · 15:05M. Khomenko1.8389111142O. Rodin1.83111154113LSep 17 · 13:35M. Khomenko2.3876110Y. Vorsuliak1.531111133
V. Kovalchuk10
WSep 19 · 21:00V. Kovalchuk2.381113123R. Novak1.53711100LSep 19 · 02:00I. Fashchevskyi2.751111115113V. Kovalchuk1.4076131192WSep 19 · 01:00V. Kovalchuk1.33111011113D. Maltsev3.25312991WSep 19 · 24:00V. Kovalchuk1.571111143I. Pytsko2.2599120WSep 18 · 22:30V. Kovalchuk1.80915119113O. Budnikov1.91111311162LSep 18 · 20:30V. Kovalchuk1.8311811972O. Storozhenko1.83911811113LSep 14 · 11:05V. Kovalchuk2.106470Y. Vorsuliak1.671111113WSep 14 · 09:05Y. Parahailo1.5059111172V. Kovalchuk2.50111172113LSep 14 · 08:05V. Kovalchuk2.6391111782O. Rodin1.44119911113LSep 14 · 07:05M. Khomenko1.73171111113V. Kovalchuk2.001513371
Upcoming Matches
M. Khomenko
V. Kovalchuk
Sep 20 · 24:30V. Kovalchuk1.73Y. Tebenko2.00—Sep 20 · 02:30V. Kovalchuk2.10D. Shchegelskyi1.67—Sep 20 · 12:35V. Kovalchuk2.10D. Shchegelskyi1.67—Sep 20 · 14:35V. Kovalchuk2.63Y. Parahailo1.44—Sep 20 · 16:05V. Kovalchuk1.80O. Storozhenko1.91—Sep 20 · 17:05V. Kovalchuk1.73Y. Tebenko2.00—Sep 20 · 18:05V. Kovalchuk2.20R. Novak1.61—
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