TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13149300
Played Sep 19Finished
Vladyslav Kovalchuk
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191191412––––
Ivan Pytsko
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:38 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeVladyslav Kovalchuk to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladyslav Kovalchuk above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 14-12
Point 66 set 3, 14-12 — our read held Vladyslav Kovalchuk at 62.0%
66 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Kovalchuk 29–13 Ivan Pytsko Ivan Pytsko has won 13 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:38What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kovalchuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-13 in 42
Kovalchuk
Correct
gap of 16 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kovalchuk 1538 vs Pytsko 1532
Kovalchuk
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovalchuk 40% vs Pytsko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovalchuk 30% vs Pytsko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovalchuk +1 · Pytsko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kovalchuk) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovalchuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovalchuk 1.57 / Pytsko 2.25
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kovalchuk)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13149300
Kovalchuk1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite67% won 79 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it88% 30 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it76% 56 of 74
Pytsko2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 22 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKovalchuk6wins
AwayPytsko4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKovalchuk leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovalchuk71.4%5 of 7
AwayPytsko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovalchuk7Pytsko3n = 10Kovalchuk took 7 of 10
S2Kovalchuk5Pytsko5n = 10split evenly
S3Kovalchuk5Pytsko5n = 10split evenly
S4Kovalchuk5Pytsko2n = 7Kovalchuk took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKovalchukPytskoK − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.435.1+5.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovalchukPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime369 / 768 vs 332 / 59548.1%55.8%369 / 768 vs 332 / 595Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovalchukKovalchuk 1.57/Pytsko 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.3%
Kovalchuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kovalchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 19 · 24:00V. Kovalchuk361111143I. Pytsko3099120
LAug 5 · 08:35V. Kovalchuk381181091I. Pytsko4391112113
LJan 26 · 06:05V. Kovalchuk4798111182I. Pytsko48111178113
WJan 8 · 07:55V. Kovalchuk3611311113I. Pytsko25611351
LJan 7 · 19:25V. Kovalchuk32115971I. Pytsko4181111113
WJan 5 · 10:35V. Kovalchuk331111113I. Pytsko167450
WJan 4 · 17:05V. Kovalchuk44111111113I. Pytsko29571341
WDec 12 · 11:55V. Kovalchuk5815111011113I. Pytsko5317912782
WDec 11 · 14:25V. Kovalchuk4011117113I. Pytsko31941171
V. Kovalchuk10
WSep 19 · 01:00V. Kovalchuk1.33111011113D. Maltsev3.25312991WSep 18 · 22:30V. Kovalchuk1.80915119113O. Budnikov1.91111311162LSep 18 · 20:30V. Kovalchuk1.8311811972O. Storozhenko1.83911811113LSep 14 · 11:05V. Kovalchuk2.106470Y. Vorsuliak1.671111113WSep 14 · 09:05Y. Parahailo1.5059111172V. Kovalchuk2.50111172113LSep 14 · 08:05V. Kovalchuk2.6391111782O. Rodin1.44119911113LSep 14 · 07:05M. Khomenko1.73171111113V. Kovalchuk2.001513371LSep 14 · 05:35V. Kovalchuk1.67135641Y. Tebenko2.10111111113LSep 13 · 18:35V. Kovalchuk2.63471131O. Rodin1.4411119113WSep 13 · 16:35R. Novak1.53891191V. Kovalchuk2.3811114113
I. Pytsko10
WSep 18 · 22:00D. Maltsev2.38711531I. Pytsko1.5311811113LSep 18 · 20:00I. Fashchevskyi2.0011912113I. Pytsko1.738111091LSep 16 · 11:35I. Pytsko1.50127111172D. Maltsev2.50141167113LSep 16 · 09:35Y. Makovka2.751111163I. Pytsko1.4059140WSep 16 · 07:35I. Fashchevskyi1.91111281292I. Pytsko1.804141110113LSep 16 · 06:35I. Pytsko2.108115111O. Storozhenko1.6711611133WSep 16 · 05:35Y. Tebenko1.835116101I. Pytsko1.8311311123LSep 15 · 18:35Y. Tebenko1.831111113I. Pytsko1.835790LSep 15 · 17:35O. Storozhenko1.67115111113I. Pytsko2.1091161182WSep 15 · 16:05D. Maltsev2.3891160I. Pytsko1.531113113
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