TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148509
Played Sep 18Finished
Ivan Fashchevskyi
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1189111210119––
Ivan Pytsko
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:13 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Fashchevskyi above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 81 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 56.9%
81 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Fashchevskyi 10–14 Ivan Pytsko Ivan Fashchevskyi has won 10 of their 24 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:13What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pytsko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-14 in 24
Pytsko
Wrong
gap of 4 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fashchevskyi 1428 vs Pytsko 1550
Pytsko
Wrong
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fashchevskyi 0% vs Pytsko 40%
Pytsko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fashchevskyi 30% vs Pytsko 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fashchevskyi -5 · Pytsko -2
Fashchevskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Pytsko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pytsko form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFashchevskyi 2.00 / Pytsko 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Pytsko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13148509
Fashchevskyi2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 80 of 189
Down 0–1, comes back24% 23 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Pytsko1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite50% won 60 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it97% 28 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it74% 46 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFashchevskyi6wins
AwayPytsko4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderFashchevskyi leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFashchevskyi57.1%4 of 7
AwayPytsko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fashchevskyi7Pytsko3n = 10Fashchevskyi took 7 of 10
S2Fashchevskyi5Pytsko5n = 10split evenly
S3Fashchevskyi5Pytsko5n = 10split evenly
S4Fashchevskyi6Pytsko2n = 8Fashchevskyi took 6 of 8
S5Fashchevskyi2Pytsko3n = 5Pytsko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFashchevskyiPytskoF − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.541.4+2.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFashchevskyiPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime288 / 581 vs 331 / 59249.6%55.9%288 / 581 vs 331 / 592Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoFashchevskyi 2.00/Pytsko 1.73
Miss
What we said
56.9%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Fashchevskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 07:35I. Fashchevskyi52111281292I. Pytsko504141110113
WSep 15 · 14:05I. Fashchevskyi381111163I. Pytsko2978140
LSep 15 · 01:30I. Fashchevskyi35118791I. Pytsko4071111113
LSep 9 · 06:35I. Fashchevskyi531471011112I. Pytsko531211125133
LSep 7 · 22:15I. Fashchevskyi44611116102I. Pytsko49119611123
WSep 2 · 10:35I. Fashchevskyi45711511113I. Pytsko4511911862
WAug 24 · 22:00I. Fashchevskyi331111113I. Pytsko229580
WAug 2 · 21:00I. Fashchevskyi44111011123I. Pytsko389127101
WJul 25 · 07:25I. Fashchevskyi46811412113I. Pytsko50119111092
WJul 24 · 15:25I. Fashchevskyi4511812143I. Pytsko3851110121
I. Fashchevskyi10
LSep 16 · 10:35I. Fashchevskyi2.2071151242Y. Makovka1.611121110113LSep 16 · 09:05I. Fashchevskyi2.63112811102Y. Tebenko1.44711119123LSep 16 · 07:35I. Fashchevskyi1.91111281292I. Pytsko1.804141110113LSep 16 · 06:05I. Fashchevskyi1.807390D. Maltsev1.911111113LSep 16 · 04:35I. Fashchevskyi2.20761161O. Storozhenko1.6111117113WSep 15 · 19:05I. Fashchevskyi2.2081111123O. Storozhenko1.611168101WSep 15 · 17:05D. Maltsev1.83113641I. Fashchevskyi1.8331111113LSep 15 · 15:05Y. Makovka1.60571111113I. Fashchevskyi2.2011117472WSep 15 · 14:05I. Fashchevskyi2.101111163I. Pytsko1.6778140LSep 15 · 13:05Y. Tebenko1.5011119143I. Fashchevskyi2.509411121
I. Pytsko10
LSep 16 · 11:35I. Pytsko1.50127111172D. Maltsev2.50141167113LSep 16 · 09:35Y. Makovka2.751111163I. Pytsko1.4059140WSep 16 · 07:35I. Fashchevskyi1.91111281292I. Pytsko1.804141110113LSep 16 · 06:35I. Pytsko2.108115111O. Storozhenko1.6711611133WSep 16 · 05:35Y. Tebenko1.835116101I. Pytsko1.8311311123LSep 15 · 18:35Y. Tebenko1.831111113I. Pytsko1.835790LSep 15 · 17:35O. Storozhenko1.67115111113I. Pytsko2.1091161182WSep 15 · 16:05D. Maltsev2.3891160I. Pytsko1.531113113LSep 15 · 14:05I. Fashchevskyi2.101111163I. Pytsko1.6778140LSep 15 · 12:05Y. Makovka4.0011118113I. Pytsko1.22591191
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