TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136556
Played Sep 16Finished
Ivan Pytsko
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111165111113––
Oleksandr Storozhenko
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:45 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Storozhenko to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Pytsko above · Oleksandr Storozhenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 76 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Oleksandr Storozhenko at 56.2%
76 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Pytsko 6–11 Oleksandr Storozhenko Ivan Pytsko has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:45What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Storozhenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-11 in 17
Storozhenko
Correct
gap of 5 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pytsko 1536 vs Storozhenko 1571
Storozhenko
Correct
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pytsko 40% vs Storozhenko 80%
Storozhenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pytsko 50% vs Storozhenko 70%
Storozhenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pytsko +1 · Storozhenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Storozhenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Storozhenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPytsko 2.10 / Storozhenko 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Storozhenko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13136556
Pytsko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 22 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Storozhenko1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 157 of 282
Up 2–0, closes it87% 55 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it69% 102 of 148
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePytsko3wins
AwayStorozhenko7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStorozhenko leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePytsko66.7%2 of 3
AwayStorozhenko85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pytsko3Storozhenko7n = 10Storozhenko took 7 of 10
S2Pytsko5Storozhenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Pytsko4Storozhenko6n = 10Storozhenko took 6 of 10
S4Pytsko5Storozhenko4n = 9Pytsko took 5 of 9
S5Pytsko1Storozhenko3n = 4Storozhenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPytskoStorozhenkoP − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.842.6−1.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPytskoStorozhenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime337 / 603 vs 262 / 50155.9%52.3%337 / 603 vs 262 / 501Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StorozhenkoPytsko 2.10/Storozhenko 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Storozhenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Storozhenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 06:35I. Pytsko358115111O. Storozhenko4111611133
LSep 15 · 17:35I. Pytsko4591161182O. Storozhenko39115111113
WSep 14 · 20:00I. Pytsko52611915113O. Storozhenko50118111372
LSep 12 · 01:45I. Pytsko3912111061O. Storozhenko46101312113
WSep 9 · 11:35I. Pytsko45121011123O. Storozhenko3810126101
LSep 8 · 17:35I. Pytsko4888111382O. Storozhenko511111711113
LSep 8 · 02:45I. Pytsko27381151O. Storozhenko3711114113
WSep 4 · 13:55I. Pytsko4411117153O. Storozhenko409711131
LAug 5 · 06:35I. Pytsko228860O. Storozhenko331111113
LAug 2 · 23:30I. Pytsko511011111092O. Storozhenko51128812113
I. Pytsko10
WSep 16 · 05:35Y. Tebenko1.835116101I. Pytsko1.8311311123LSep 15 · 18:35Y. Tebenko1.831111113I. Pytsko1.835790LSep 15 · 17:35O. Storozhenko1.67115111113I. Pytsko2.1091161182WSep 15 · 16:05D. Maltsev2.3891160I. Pytsko1.531113113LSep 15 · 14:05I. Fashchevskyi2.101111163I. Pytsko1.6778140LSep 15 · 12:05Y. Makovka4.0011118113I. Pytsko1.22591191WSep 15 · 02:30Y. Makovka3.254950I. Pytsko1.331111113WSep 15 · 01:30I. Fashchevskyi2.00118791I. Pytsko1.7371111113WSep 15 · 24:00V. Korobko2.0081060I. Pytsko1.731112113LSep 14 · 22:00D. Maltsev2.508111312113I. Pytsko1.50118111492
O. Storozhenko10
WSep 16 · 04:35I. Fashchevskyi2.20761161O. Storozhenko1.6111117113LSep 15 · 19:05I. Fashchevskyi2.2081111123O. Storozhenko1.611168101WSep 15 · 17:35O. Storozhenko1.67115111113I. Pytsko2.1091161182WSep 15 · 15:35Y. Tebenko1.831212121492O. Storozhenko1.8310101416113WSep 15 · 13:35Y. Makovka2.2541131162O. Storozhenko1.57114119113WSep 15 · 12:35D. Maltsev1.83613961O. Storozhenko1.83111111113LSep 15 · 02:00O. Storozhenko1.735680V. Korobko2.001111113WSep 15 · 24:30O. Storozhenko1.731111108153Y. Makovka2.00971211132LSep 14 · 23:00O. Storozhenko1.734260D. Maltsev2.001111113WSep 14 · 21:30O. Storozhenko1.6751111123I. Fashchevskyi2.101178101
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