TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13128911
Played Sep 14Finished
Denys Maltsev
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
81111813111214119
Ivan Pytsko
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:00 and never touched — 63.2% is still 63.2%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
63.2%
63.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDenys Maltsev above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 108 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 63.2%
108 points played in total.
H2H Denys Maltsev 12–40 Ivan Pytsko Denys Maltsev has won 12 of their 52 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:00What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Pytsko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-40 in 52
Pytsko
Wrong
gap of 28 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maltsev 1483 vs Pytsko 1557
Pytsko
Wrong
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maltsev 80% vs Pytsko 60%
Maltsev
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maltsev 60% vs Pytsko 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maltsev +3 · Pytsko +2
Maltsev
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Pytsko) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maltsev form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaltsev 2.50 / Pytsko 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Pytsko)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13128911
Maltsev2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 76 of 173
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Pytsko1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 55 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it74% 43 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaltsev4wins
AwayPytsko6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPytsko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaltsev75%3 of 4
AwayPytsko83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maltsev4Pytsko6n = 10Pytsko took 6 of 10
S2Maltsev7Pytsko3n = 10Maltsev took 7 of 10
S3Maltsev3Pytsko7n = 10Pytsko took 7 of 10
S4Maltsev3Pytsko7n = 10Pytsko took 7 of 10
S5Maltsev2Pytsko1n = 3Maltsev took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaltsevPytskoM − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.741.3−1.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaltsevPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime451 / 878 vs 333 / 59651.4%55.9%451 / 878 vs 333 / 596Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoMaltsev 2.50/Pytsko 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.9%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Maltsev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 07:35D. Maltsev29411861I. Pytsko4111811113
LSep 8 · 14:05D. Maltsev354111281I. Pytsko4111514113
LSep 7 · 20:15D. Maltsev49114134172I. Pytsko619111111193
LSep 4 · 14:55D. Maltsev387111191I. Pytsko3811313113
LSep 1 · 18:35D. Maltsev32711771I. Pytsko3911611113
WAug 25 · 01:30D. Maltsev43111110113I. Pytsko34871271
WAug 5 · 10:05D. Maltsev45111148113I. Pytsko3656111132
WJul 17 · 22:15D. Maltsev49291311143I. Pytsko501111115122
WJul 15 · 06:05D. Maltsev4211119113I. Pytsko31671171
LJul 14 · 17:05D. Maltsev355101191I. Pytsko4211128113
D. Maltsev10
WSep 14 · 21:00Y. Makovka1.91811491D. Maltsev1.8011411113WSep 12 · 11:25D. Maltsev1.5791111113M. Slozka2.25115771WSep 12 · 09:25S. Prus3.255450D. Maltsev1.331111113LSep 12 · 07:25D. Palii1.8351112113D. Maltsev1.831131041WSep 12 · 06:25D. Maltsev2.25111211113T. Gil1.57814781WSep 12 · 05:25V. Kuzmych1.733320D. Maltsev2.001111113LSep 11 · 18:25V. Kuzmych2.00611114133D. Maltsev1.73117711112LSep 11 · 17:25I. Fashchevskyi1.91111198113D. Maltsev1.8088111192WSep 11 · 15:55D. Palii1.7371141152D. Maltsev2.00118118113LSep 11 · 13:55M. Slozka2.631112113D. Maltsev1.4461080
I. Pytsko10
WSep 14 · 20:00O. Storozhenko1.61118111372I. Pytsko2.20611915113WSep 12 · 02:45V. Korobko1.914570I. Pytsko1.801111113LSep 12 · 01:45O. Storozhenko1.67101312113I. Pytsko2.1012111061WSep 12 · 24:15Y. Tebenko2.007570I. Pytsko1.731111113LSep 11 · 22:15R. Novak1.6111911173I. Pytsko2.207117151WSep 11 · 20:15M. Potapov2.20891161I. Pytsko1.6111115113WSep 9 · 11:35I. Pytsko2.25121011123O. Storozhenko1.5710126101LSep 9 · 09:35M. Potapov2.20911115113I. Pytsko1.6111691152WSep 9 · 07:35D. Maltsev2.25411861I. Pytsko1.5711811113WSep 9 · 06:35I. Pytsko1.731211125133I. Fashchevskyi2.001471011112
Upcoming Matches
D. Maltsev
I. Pytsko
Sep 15 · 24:00I. Pytsko1.73V. Korobko2.00—Sep 15 · 01:30I. Pytsko1.73I. Fashchevskyi2.00—Sep 15 · 02:30I. Pytsko1.30Y. Makovka3.40—Sep 15 · 12:05I. Pytsko1.30Y. Makovka3.40—Sep 15 · 14:05I. Pytsko1.73I. Fashchevskyi2.00—Sep 15 · 16:05I. Pytsko1.50D. Maltsev2.50—Sep 15 · 17:35I. Pytsko2.20O. Storozhenko1.61—Sep 15 · 18:35I. Pytsko1.83Y. Tebenko1.83—
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