TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13128583
Played Sep 14Finished
Oleksandr Storozhenko
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1168111191315711
Ivan Pytsko
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:51 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Storozhenko to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Storozhenko above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 13-15
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 102 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Oleksandr Storozhenko at 55.9%
102 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Storozhenko 9–6 Ivan Pytsko Ivan Pytsko has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:51What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Storozhenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-6 in 15
Storozhenko
Wrong
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Storozhenko 1560 vs Pytsko 1557
Storozhenko
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Storozhenko 60% vs Pytsko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Storozhenko 40% vs Pytsko 60%
Pytsko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Storozhenko -1 · Pytsko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Storozhenko) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pytsko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStorozhenko 1.61 / Pytsko 2.20
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Storozhenko)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13128583
Storozhenko1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 154 of 276
Up 2–0, closes it87% 54 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it69% 100 of 144
Pytsko2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 21 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back26% 8 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStorozhenko6wins
AwayPytsko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStorozhenko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStorozhenko71.4%5 of 7
AwayPytsko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Storozhenko7Pytsko3n = 10Storozhenko took 7 of 10
S2Storozhenko6Pytsko4n = 10Storozhenko took 6 of 10
S3Storozhenko5Pytsko5n = 10split evenly
S4Storozhenko3Pytsko5n = 8Pytsko took 5 of 8
S5Storozhenko2Pytsko1n = 3Storozhenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStorozhenkoPytskoS − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.539.0+2.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStorozhenkoPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime254 / 490 vs 333 / 59651.8%55.9%254 / 490 vs 333 / 596Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StorozhenkoStorozhenko 1.61/Pytsko 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.3%
Storozhenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pytsko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 20:00O. Storozhenko50118111372I. Pytsko52611915113
WSep 12 · 01:45O. Storozhenko46101312113I. Pytsko3912111061
LSep 9 · 11:35O. Storozhenko3810126101I. Pytsko45121011123
WSep 8 · 17:35O. Storozhenko511111711113I. Pytsko4888111382
WSep 8 · 02:45O. Storozhenko3711114113I. Pytsko27381151
LSep 4 · 13:55O. Storozhenko409711131I. Pytsko4411117153
WAug 5 · 06:35O. Storozhenko331111113I. Pytsko228860
WAug 2 · 23:30O. Storozhenko51128812113I. Pytsko511011111092
LJul 23 · 21:45O. Storozhenko361358101I. Pytsko45111111123
WJul 18 · 01:45O. Storozhenko331111113I. Pytsko175840
O. Storozhenko10
LSep 12 · 03:15R. Novak1.53111511113O. Storozhenko2.38917771WSep 12 · 01:45O. Storozhenko1.67101312113I. Pytsko2.1012111061WSep 11 · 23:45V. Korobko1.8375111172O. Storozhenko1.83111178113WSep 11 · 21:45M. Potapov2.25711971O. Storozhenko1.5711511113LSep 11 · 20:45Y. Tebenko1.9111513113O. Storozhenko1.807111181LSep 9 · 11:35I. Pytsko2.25121011123O. Storozhenko1.5710126101WSep 9 · 10:05O. Storozhenko1.6712611113I. Fashchevskyi2.101011481LSep 9 · 08:05Y. Tebenko2.001111113O. Storozhenko1.738980LSep 9 · 06:05D. Maltsev2.10135411113O. Storozhenko1.67111111972LSep 9 · 05:05M. Potapov2.5081111113O. Storozhenko1.50118961
I. Pytsko10
WSep 12 · 02:45V. Korobko1.914570I. Pytsko1.801111113LSep 12 · 01:45O. Storozhenko1.67101312113I. Pytsko2.1012111061WSep 12 · 24:15Y. Tebenko2.007570I. Pytsko1.731111113LSep 11 · 22:15R. Novak1.6111911173I. Pytsko2.207117151WSep 11 · 20:15M. Potapov2.20891161I. Pytsko1.6111115113WSep 9 · 11:35I. Pytsko2.25121011123O. Storozhenko1.5710126101LSep 9 · 09:35M. Potapov2.20911115113I. Pytsko1.6111691152WSep 9 · 07:35D. Maltsev2.25411861I. Pytsko1.5711811113WSep 9 · 06:35I. Pytsko1.731211125133I. Fashchevskyi2.001471011112LSep 9 · 05:35Y. Tebenko2.001211113I. Pytsko1.7310450
Upcoming Matches
O. Storozhenko
Sep 14 · 21:30O. Storozhenko1.67I. Fashchevskyi2.10—Sep 14 · 23:00O. Storozhenko1.73D. Maltsev2.00—Sep 15 · 24:30O. Storozhenko1.73Y. Makovka2.00—Sep 15 · 02:00O. Storozhenko1.73V. Korobko2.00—Sep 15 · 12:35O. Storozhenko1.73D. Maltsev2.00—Sep 15 · 15:35O. Storozhenko1.83Y. Tebenko1.83—Sep 15 · 17:35O. Storozhenko1.61I. Pytsko2.20—Sep 15 · 19:05O. Storozhenko1.67I. Fashchevskyi2.10—
I. Pytsko
Sep 14 · 22:00I. Pytsko1.53D. Maltsev2.38—Sep 15 · 24:00I. Pytsko1.73V. Korobko2.00—Sep 15 · 01:30I. Pytsko1.73I. Fashchevskyi2.00—Sep 15 · 02:30I. Pytsko1.30Y. Makovka3.40—Sep 15 · 12:05I. Pytsko1.30Y. Makovka3.40—Sep 15 · 14:05I. Pytsko1.73I. Fashchevskyi2.00—Sep 15 · 16:05I. Pytsko1.53D. Maltsev2.38—Sep 15 · 17:35I. Pytsko2.20O. Storozhenko1.61—Sep 15 · 18:35I. Pytsko1.83Y. Tebenko1.83—
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