TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13128990
Played Sep 15Finished
Ivan Fashchevskyi
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117811711911––
Ivan Pytsko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:22 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Fashchevskyi above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 75 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 56.9%
75 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Fashchevskyi 9–12 Ivan Pytsko Ivan Fashchevskyi has won 9 of their 21 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 11:22What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pytsko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-12 in 21
Pytsko
Correct
gap of 3 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fashchevskyi 1405 vs Pytsko 1555
Pytsko
Correct
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fashchevskyi 20% vs Pytsko 60%
Pytsko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fashchevskyi 40% vs Pytsko 60%
Pytsko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fashchevskyi -4 · Pytsko +1
Fashchevskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Pytsko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fashchevskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFashchevskyi 2.00 / Pytsko 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Pytsko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13128990
Fashchevskyi2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 77 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back24% 22 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 42
Pytsko1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite51% won 55 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it74% 43 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFashchevskyi6wins
AwayPytsko4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderFashchevskyi leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFashchevskyi60%3 of 5
AwayPytsko40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fashchevskyi5Pytsko5n = 10split evenly
S2Fashchevskyi5Pytsko5n = 10split evenly
S3Fashchevskyi6Pytsko4n = 10Fashchevskyi took 6 of 10
S4Fashchevskyi6Pytsko3n = 9Fashchevskyi took 6 of 9
S5Fashchevskyi2Pytsko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFashchevskyiPytskoF − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.041.7+0.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFashchevskyiPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime286 / 572 vs 334 / 59850%55.9%286 / 572 vs 334 / 598Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoFashchevskyi 2.00/Pytsko 1.73
Hit
What we said
56.9%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pytsko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 06:35I. Fashchevskyi531471011112I. Pytsko531211125133
LSep 7 · 22:15I. Fashchevskyi44611116102I. Pytsko49119611123
WSep 2 · 10:35I. Fashchevskyi45711511113I. Pytsko4511911862
WAug 24 · 22:00I. Fashchevskyi331111113I. Pytsko229580
WAug 2 · 21:00I. Fashchevskyi44111011123I. Pytsko389127101
WJul 25 · 07:25I. Fashchevskyi46811412113I. Pytsko50119111092
WJul 24 · 15:25I. Fashchevskyi4511812143I. Pytsko3851110121
LJul 23 · 23:15I. Fashchevskyi415161191I. Pytsko4411184113
LJul 14 · 18:05I. Fashchevskyi34138671I. Pytsko44111111113
WJul 8 · 12:55I. Fashchevskyi3521111113I. Pytsko34119591
I. Fashchevskyi10
LSep 14 · 23:30Y. Makovka1.801114113I. Fashchevskyi1.9181290LSep 14 · 21:30O. Storozhenko1.6751111123I. Fashchevskyi2.101178101LSep 14 · 20:30V. Korobko1.5711812113I. Fashchevskyi2.256111071LSep 11 · 18:55M. Slozka1.731171110113I. Fashchevskyi2.0091151292WSep 11 · 17:25I. Fashchevskyi1.91111198113D. Maltsev1.8088111192WSep 11 · 15:25V. Kuzmych2.10148511102I. Fashchevskyi1.671211116123WSep 11 · 13:25S. Prus2.00561151I. Fashchevskyi1.7311114113LSep 11 · 12:25D. Palii2.10121265163I. Fashchevskyi1.6710101111142WSep 11 · 03:15I. Fashchevskyi1.731111113D. Palii2.007970LSep 11 · 01:15O. Sydorchuk2.101615117113I. Fashchevskyi1.67141761192
I. Pytsko10
WSep 15 · 02:30Y. Makovka3.254950I. Pytsko1.331111113WSep 15 · 24:00V. Korobko2.0081060I. Pytsko1.731112113LSep 14 · 22:00D. Maltsev2.508111312113I. Pytsko1.50118111492WSep 14 · 20:00O. Storozhenko1.61118111372I. Pytsko2.20611915113WSep 12 · 02:45V. Korobko1.914570I. Pytsko1.801111113LSep 12 · 01:45O. Storozhenko1.67101312113I. Pytsko2.1012111061WSep 12 · 24:15Y. Tebenko2.007570I. Pytsko1.731111113LSep 11 · 22:15R. Novak1.6111911173I. Pytsko2.207117151WSep 11 · 20:15M. Potapov2.20891161I. Pytsko1.6111115113WSep 9 · 11:35I. Pytsko2.25121011123O. Storozhenko1.5710126101
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