TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13128465
Played Sep 15Finished
Yaroslav Makovka
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411911511––––
Ivan Pytsko
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:10 and never touched — 75.5% is still 75.5%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
75.5%
75.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYaroslav Makovka above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 51 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 75.5%
51 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Makovka 2–3 Ivan Pytsko Yaroslav Makovka has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:10What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Pytsko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Makovka 1477 vs Pytsko 1562
Pytsko
Correct
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Makovka 60% vs Pytsko 80%
Pytsko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Makovka 40% vs Pytsko 70%
Pytsko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Makovka -1 · Pytsko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Pytsko) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Makovka form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMakovka 3.25 / Pytsko 1.33
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Pytsko)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13128465
Makovka3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 44 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back22% 19 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 53
Pytsko1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 55 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it74% 43 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeMakovka2wins
AwayPytsko3wins
2 of 5 to a deciderPytsko leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMakovkan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPytsko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Makovka2Pytsko3n = 5Pytsko took 3 of 5
S2Makovka1Pytsko4n = 5Pytsko took 4 of 5
S3Makovka1Pytsko4n = 5Pytsko took 4 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away360%
These 5 meetings
MetricMakovkaPytskoM − PBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match35.640.2−4.6per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMakovkaPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime144 / 369 vs 335 / 59939%55.9%144 / 369 vs 335 / 599Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoMakovka 3.25/Pytsko 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.1%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pytsko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 10 · 08:35Y. Makovka218850I. Pytsko331111113
WSep 9 · 13:35Y. Makovka571111914123I. Pytsko53881116102
WSep 8 · 20:30Y. Makovka46117116113I. Pytsko4681181182
LSep 3 · 06:35Y. Makovka2789100I. Pytsko341111123
LSep 2 · 15:05Y. Makovka2711880I. Pytsko351311113
Y. Makovka10
LSep 15 · 24:30O. Storozhenko1.731111108153Y. Makovka2.00971211132WSep 14 · 23:30Y. Makovka1.801114113I. Fashchevskyi1.9181290WSep 14 · 22:30V. Korobko1.91561111Y. Makovka1.8011116113LSep 14 · 21:00Y. Makovka1.91811491D. Maltsev1.8011411113WAug 30 · 10:30O. Blashkun1.40561171Y. Makovka2.7511117113WAug 30 · 09:30Y. Makovka3.001111113R. Sopivnyk1.367420LAug 30 · 08:30Y. Makovka2.7510131081Y. Holoborodko1.40121112113LAug 30 · 07:00Y. Makovka2.7511123292V. Merzlikin1.409101111113LAug 30 · 05:00Y. Makovka2.6312115622O. Zhyrnov1.441081111113LAug 29 · 17:40O. Blashkun1.30811911113Y. Makovka3.4011611572
I. Pytsko10
WSep 15 · 01:30I. Fashchevskyi2.00118791I. Pytsko1.7371111113WSep 15 · 24:00V. Korobko2.0081060I. Pytsko1.731112113LSep 14 · 22:00D. Maltsev2.508111312113I. Pytsko1.50118111492WSep 14 · 20:00O. Storozhenko1.61118111372I. Pytsko2.20611915113WSep 12 · 02:45V. Korobko1.914570I. Pytsko1.801111113LSep 12 · 01:45O. Storozhenko1.67101312113I. Pytsko2.1012111061WSep 12 · 24:15Y. Tebenko2.007570I. Pytsko1.731111113LSep 11 · 22:15R. Novak1.6111911173I. Pytsko2.207117151WSep 11 · 20:15M. Potapov2.20891161I. Pytsko1.6111115113WSep 9 · 11:35I. Pytsko2.25121011123O. Storozhenko1.5710126101
Upcoming Matches
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