Oleksandr Storozhenko vs Yaroslav Makovka 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13128384

Played Sep 15Finished

Oleksandr Storozhenko

Home

1.73

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

11911710128111513

Yaroslav Makovka

Away

2.00

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:51 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%

Graded at full time

Oleksandr Storozhenko to win

54.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingOleksandr Storozhenko above · Yaroslav Makovka below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 10-12

Set 4 · 8-11

Set 5 · 15-13

Point 107 set 5, 15-13 — our read held Oleksandr Storozhenko at 54.5%

107 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 08:51

What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Storozhenko

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Storozhenko 1551 vs Makovka 1486

Storozhenko

Correct

both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Storozhenko 40% vs Makovka 80%

Makovka

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Storozhenko 50% vs Makovka 40%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Storozhenko -1 · Makovka +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Storozhenko) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Makovka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsStorozhenko 1.73 / Makovka 2.00

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Storozhenko)+0.3pp

Setka Cup · #13128384

Storozhenko1.73

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite56% won 154 of 276

Up 2–0, closes it87% 54 of 62

Up 1–0, closes it69% 100 of 144

Makovka2.00

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog35% won 44 of 126

Down 0–1, comes back22% 19 of 85

Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 53

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricStorozhenkoMakovkaBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 492 vs 144 / 36851.8%39.1%255 / 492 vs 144 / 368Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.935.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Storozhenko

Storozhenko 1.73/Makovka 2.00

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Storozhenko · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Storozhenko won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

O. Storozhenko10