TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13128463
Played Sep 14Finished
Oleksandr Storozhenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411211611––––
Denys Maltsev
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:10 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Storozhenko to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Storozhenko above · Denys Maltsev below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 45 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Oleksandr Storozhenko at 54.7%
45 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Storozhenko 25–30 Denys Maltsev Oleksandr Storozhenko has won 25 of their 55 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:10What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Storozhenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-30 in 55
Maltsev
Correct
gap of 5 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Storozhenko 1551 vs Maltsev 1513
Storozhenko
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Storozhenko 60% vs Maltsev 80%
Maltsev
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Storozhenko 50% vs Maltsev 70%
Maltsev
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Storozhenko +1 · Maltsev +4
Maltsev
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Storozhenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maltsev form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStorozhenko 1.73 / Maltsev 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Storozhenko)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #13128463
Storozhenko1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 154 of 276
Up 2–0, closes it87% 54 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it69% 100 of 144
Maltsev2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 76 of 173
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStorozhenko7wins
AwayMaltsev3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStorozhenko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStorozhenko83.3%5 of 6
AwayMaltsev50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Storozhenko6Maltsev4n = 10Storozhenko took 6 of 10
S2Storozhenko5Maltsev5n = 10split evenly
S3Storozhenko7Maltsev3n = 10Storozhenko took 7 of 10
S4Storozhenko5Maltsev3n = 8Storozhenko took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStorozhenkoMaltsevS − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.033.9+4.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStorozhenkoMaltsevBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 492 vs 453 / 88051.8%51.5%255 / 492 vs 453 / 880Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StorozhenkoStorozhenko 1.73/Maltsev 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.7%
Storozhenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Maltsev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 23:00O. Storozhenko124260D. Maltsev331111113
LSep 9 · 06:05O. Storozhenko49111111972D. Maltsev44135411113
WSep 8 · 19:05O. Storozhenko331111113D. Maltsev197750
WSep 8 · 24:45O. Storozhenko46117114133D. Maltsev49711911112
LSep 6 · 01:30O. Storozhenko33116971D. Maltsev3741111113
WSep 4 · 11:55O. Storozhenko45101113113D. Maltsev341231181
WAug 31 · 11:35O. Storozhenko4211119113D. Maltsev28561161
WAug 29 · 22:00O. Storozhenko4291111113D. Maltsev28119441
WAug 29 · 01:45O. Storozhenko3711114113D. Maltsev346111251
WAug 26 · 10:05O. Storozhenko4111811113D. Maltsev33711961
O. Storozhenko10
WSep 14 · 21:30O. Storozhenko1.6751111123I. Fashchevskyi2.101178101LSep 14 · 20:00O. Storozhenko1.61118111372I. Pytsko2.20611915113LSep 12 · 03:15R. Novak1.53111511113O. Storozhenko2.38917771WSep 12 · 01:45O. Storozhenko1.67101312113I. Pytsko2.1012111061WSep 11 · 23:45V. Korobko1.8375111172O. Storozhenko1.83111178113WSep 11 · 21:45M. Potapov2.25711971O. Storozhenko1.5711511113LSep 11 · 20:45Y. Tebenko1.9111513113O. Storozhenko1.807111181LSep 9 · 11:35I. Pytsko2.25121011123O. Storozhenko1.5710126101WSep 9 · 10:05O. Storozhenko1.6712611113I. Fashchevskyi2.101011481LSep 9 · 08:05Y. Tebenko2.001111113O. Storozhenko1.738980
D. Maltsev10
WSep 14 · 22:00D. Maltsev2.508111312113I. Pytsko1.50118111492WSep 14 · 21:00Y. Makovka1.91811491D. Maltsev1.8011411113WSep 12 · 11:25D. Maltsev1.5791111113M. Slozka2.25115771WSep 12 · 09:25S. Prus3.255450D. Maltsev1.331111113LSep 12 · 07:25D. Palii1.8351112113D. Maltsev1.831131041WSep 12 · 06:25D. Maltsev2.25111211113T. Gil1.57814781WSep 12 · 05:25V. Kuzmych1.733320D. Maltsev2.001111113LSep 11 · 18:25V. Kuzmych2.00611114133D. Maltsev1.73117711112LSep 11 · 17:25I. Fashchevskyi1.91111198113D. Maltsev1.8088111192WSep 11 · 15:55D. Palii1.7371141152D. Maltsev2.00118118113
Upcoming Matches
O. Storozhenko
Sep 15 · 24:30O. Storozhenko1.73Y. Makovka2.00—Sep 15 · 02:00O. Storozhenko1.73V. Korobko2.00—Sep 15 · 12:35O. Storozhenko1.73D. Maltsev2.00—Sep 15 · 13:35O. Storozhenko—Y. Makovka——Sep 15 · 15:35O. Storozhenko1.83Y. Tebenko1.83—Sep 15 · 17:35O. Storozhenko1.67I. Pytsko2.10—Sep 15 · 19:05O. Storozhenko1.67I. Fashchevskyi2.10—
D. Maltsev
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