TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131325
Played Sep 15Finished
Denys Maltsev
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111113611––––
Ivan Pytsko
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:46 and never touched — 63.2% is still 63.2%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
63.2%
63.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDenys Maltsev above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 61 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 63.2%
61 points played in total.
H2H Denys Maltsev 13–40 Ivan Pytsko Denys Maltsev has won 13 of their 53 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:46What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Pytsko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-40 in 53
Pytsko
Correct
gap of 27 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maltsev 1489 vs Pytsko 1559
Pytsko
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maltsev 40% vs Pytsko 60%
Pytsko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maltsev 60% vs Pytsko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maltsev -3 · Pytsko -2
Maltsev
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Pytsko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaltsev 2.38 / Pytsko 1.53
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Pytsko)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13131325
Maltsev2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 77 of 174
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Pytsko1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite51% won 58 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it74% 45 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaltsev5wins
AwayPytsko5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaltsev75%3 of 4
AwayPytsko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maltsev4Pytsko6n = 10Pytsko took 6 of 10
S2Maltsev8Pytsko2n = 10Maltsev took 8 of 10
S3Maltsev3Pytsko7n = 10Pytsko took 7 of 10
S4Maltsev3Pytsko7n = 10Pytsko took 7 of 10
S5Maltsev3Pytsko1n = 4Maltsev took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaltsevPytskoM − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.742.4−0.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaltsevPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime454 / 884 vs 336 / 60251.4%55.8%454 / 884 vs 336 / 602Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoMaltsev 2.38/Pytsko 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.2%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pytsko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 22:00D. Maltsev558111312113I. Pytsko53118111492
LSep 9 · 07:35D. Maltsev29411861I. Pytsko4111811113
LSep 8 · 14:05D. Maltsev354111281I. Pytsko4111514113
LSep 7 · 20:15D. Maltsev49114134172I. Pytsko619111111193
LSep 4 · 14:55D. Maltsev387111191I. Pytsko3811313113
LSep 1 · 18:35D. Maltsev32711771I. Pytsko3911611113
WAug 25 · 01:30D. Maltsev43111110113I. Pytsko34871271
WAug 5 · 10:05D. Maltsev45111148113I. Pytsko3656111132
WJul 17 · 22:15D. Maltsev49291311143I. Pytsko501111115122
WJul 15 · 06:05D. Maltsev4211119113I. Pytsko31671171
D. Maltsev10
LSep 15 · 17:05D. Maltsev1.83113641I. Fashchevskyi1.8331111113LSep 15 · 14:35D. Maltsev1.837350Y. Tebenko1.831111113LSep 15 · 12:35D. Maltsev1.83613961O. Storozhenko1.83111111113LSep 15 · 03:00D. Maltsev1.808711101I. Fashchevskyi1.9111118123WSep 15 · 01:00V. Korobko3.506680D. Maltsev1.281111113WSep 14 · 23:00O. Storozhenko1.734260D. Maltsev2.001111113WSep 14 · 22:00D. Maltsev2.508111312113I. Pytsko1.50118111492WSep 14 · 21:00Y. Makovka1.91811491D. Maltsev1.8011411113WSep 12 · 11:25D. Maltsev1.5791111113M. Slozka2.25115771WSep 12 · 09:25S. Prus3.255450D. Maltsev1.331111113
I. Pytsko10
LSep 15 · 17:35O. Storozhenko1.67115111113I. Pytsko2.1091161182LSep 15 · 14:05I. Fashchevskyi2.101111163I. Pytsko1.6778140LSep 15 · 12:05Y. Makovka4.0011118113I. Pytsko1.22591191WSep 15 · 02:30Y. Makovka3.254950I. Pytsko1.331111113WSep 15 · 01:30I. Fashchevskyi2.00118791I. Pytsko1.7371111113WSep 15 · 24:00V. Korobko2.0081060I. Pytsko1.731112113LSep 14 · 22:00D. Maltsev2.508111312113I. Pytsko1.50118111492WSep 14 · 20:00O. Storozhenko1.61118111372I. Pytsko2.20611915113WSep 12 · 02:45V. Korobko1.914570I. Pytsko1.801111113LSep 12 · 01:45O. Storozhenko1.67101312113I. Pytsko2.1012111061
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