TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131189
Played Sep 15Finished
Ivan Fashchevskyi
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171181614––––
Ivan Pytsko
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:11 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Fashchevskyi above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 16-14
Point 67 set 3, 16-14 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 56.9%
67 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Fashchevskyi 9–13 Ivan Pytsko Ivan Fashchevskyi has won 9 of their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:11What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Pytsko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-13 in 22
Pytsko
Wrong
gap of 4 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fashchevskyi 1409 vs Pytsko 1566
Pytsko
Wrong
both rated, 158 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fashchevskyi 20% vs Pytsko 60%
Pytsko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fashchevskyi 40% vs Pytsko 60%
Pytsko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fashchevskyi -1 · Pytsko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Pytsko) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fashchevskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFashchevskyi 2.10 / Pytsko 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Pytsko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13131189
Fashchevskyi2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 78 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back24% 22 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Pytsko1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite51% won 58 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it74% 45 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFashchevskyi5wins
AwayPytsko5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFashchevskyi50%3 of 6
AwayPytsko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fashchevskyi6Pytsko4n = 10Fashchevskyi took 6 of 10
S2Fashchevskyi4Pytsko6n = 10Pytsko took 6 of 10
S3Fashchevskyi5Pytsko5n = 10split evenly
S4Fashchevskyi5Pytsko4n = 9Fashchevskyi took 5 of 9
S5Fashchevskyi2Pytsko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFashchevskyiPytskoF − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.042.3−0.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFashchevskyiPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime287 / 575 vs 336 / 60149.9%55.9%287 / 575 vs 336 / 601Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoFashchevskyi 2.10/Pytsko 1.67
Miss
What we said
59%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Fashchevskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 15 · 01:30I. Fashchevskyi35118791I. Pytsko4071111113
LSep 9 · 06:35I. Fashchevskyi531471011112I. Pytsko531211125133
LSep 7 · 22:15I. Fashchevskyi44611116102I. Pytsko49119611123
WSep 2 · 10:35I. Fashchevskyi45711511113I. Pytsko4511911862
WAug 24 · 22:00I. Fashchevskyi331111113I. Pytsko229580
WAug 2 · 21:00I. Fashchevskyi44111011123I. Pytsko389127101
WJul 25 · 07:25I. Fashchevskyi46811412113I. Pytsko50119111092
WJul 24 · 15:25I. Fashchevskyi4511812143I. Pytsko3851110121
LJul 23 · 23:15I. Fashchevskyi415161191I. Pytsko4411184113
LJul 14 · 18:05I. Fashchevskyi34138671I. Pytsko44111111113
I. Fashchevskyi10
LSep 15 · 13:05Y. Tebenko1.5011119143I. Fashchevskyi2.509411121WSep 15 · 03:00D. Maltsev1.808711101I. Fashchevskyi1.9111118123LSep 15 · 01:30I. Fashchevskyi2.00118791I. Pytsko1.7371111113LSep 14 · 23:30Y. Makovka1.801114113I. Fashchevskyi1.9181290LSep 14 · 21:30O. Storozhenko1.6751111123I. Fashchevskyi2.101178101LSep 14 · 20:30V. Korobko1.5711812113I. Fashchevskyi2.256111071LSep 11 · 18:55M. Slozka1.731171110113I. Fashchevskyi2.0091151292WSep 11 · 17:25I. Fashchevskyi1.91111198113D. Maltsev1.8088111192WSep 11 · 15:25V. Kuzmych2.10148511102I. Fashchevskyi1.671211116123WSep 11 · 13:25S. Prus2.00561151I. Fashchevskyi1.7311114113
I. Pytsko10
LSep 15 · 12:05Y. Makovka4.0011118113I. Pytsko1.22591191WSep 15 · 02:30Y. Makovka3.254950I. Pytsko1.331111113WSep 15 · 01:30I. Fashchevskyi2.00118791I. Pytsko1.7371111113WSep 15 · 24:00V. Korobko2.0081060I. Pytsko1.731112113LSep 14 · 22:00D. Maltsev2.508111312113I. Pytsko1.50118111492WSep 14 · 20:00O. Storozhenko1.61118111372I. Pytsko2.20611915113WSep 12 · 02:45V. Korobko1.914570I. Pytsko1.801111113LSep 12 · 01:45O. Storozhenko1.67101312113I. Pytsko2.1012111061WSep 12 · 24:15Y. Tebenko2.007570I. Pytsko1.731111113LSep 11 · 22:15R. Novak1.6111911173I. Pytsko2.207117151
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